--- title: "LAB JOKER case on Casehug: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "LAB JOKER ($1,608.50) on Casehug, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.50% from 8 items with odds, observed 84.64% over 341 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/lab-joker rendered: 2026-11-11T17:28Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) / [LAB JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/lab-joker) # [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) · LAB JOKER A case on Casehug, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/lab-joker?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/lab-joker?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/lab-joker) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/lab-joker?window=all) Price · $1,608.50 Advertised RTP · 90.50% · EV $1,455.70 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 84.64% · 341 openings, odds method Variance · 1.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 16.7% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 83.3% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 51 openings · below min 7 days · 85.91% ±12.82 332 openings 30 days · 84.64% ±12.64 341 openings since tracking started · 84.64% ±12.64 341 openings 36.5% 69.5% 102.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/lab-joker?window=24h) | 51 | 69.44% ±32.5 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/lab-joker?window=7d) | 332 | 85.91% ±12.8 | −0.7σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/lab-joker) | 341 | 84.64% ±12.6 | −0.9σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/lab-joker?window=all) | 341 | 84.64% ±12.6 | −0.9σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 367 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-battle-scarred) | 16.7% | $5,630 | 64.5% | 57 | 61.2 | 0.93× | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $1,444 | 8.3% | 0 | 30.6 | 0.00× | | [M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $1,021 | 5.8% | 0 | 30.6 | 0.00× | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-well-worn) | 1 in 12 | $821 | 4.7% | 0 | 30.6 | 0.00× | | [M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-well-worn) | 1 in 12 | $756 | 4.3% | 0 | 30.6 | 0.00× | | [★ Karambit \| Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-ultraviolet-battle-scarred) | 16.7% | $606 | 6.9% | 72 | 61.2 | 1.18× | | [Desert Eagle \| Emerald Jörmungandr (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-minimal-wear) | 16.7% | $471 | 5.4% | 65 | 61.2 | 1.06× | | [AWP \| Atheris (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-field-tested) | 16.7% | $5.57 | 0.1% | 57 | 61.2 | 0.93× | Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `casehug:cases/lab-joker`, 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-battle-scarred) Hidden $1,695 $6,009 3.55x 2026-11-06 20:16 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-battle-scarred) Hidden $1,695 $6,009 3.55x 2026-11-06 20:16 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-battle-scarred) Hidden $1,687 $6,009 3.56x 2026-11-06 00:38 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-battle-scarred) Hidden $1,687 $6,009 3.56x 2026-11-06 00:37 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-battle-scarred) Hidden $1,687 $6,009 3.56x 2026-11-06 00:37 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-battle-scarred) [CRISTIANO RONALDO](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/CRISTIANO%20RONALDO) $1,687 $6,009 3.56x 2026-11-06 00:37 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-battle-scarred) Hidden $1,687 $6,009 3.56x 2026-11-06 00:37 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-battle-scarred) Hidden $1,687 $6,009 3.56x 2026-11-06 00:36 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-battle-scarred) [CRISTIANO RONALDO](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/CRISTIANO%20RONALDO) $1,687 $6,009 3.56x 2026-11-06 00:36 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-battle-scarred) [17curses](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/17curses) $1,658 $5,835 3.52x 2026-11-08 19:23 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=casehug&case=lab-joker) [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-battle-scarred) Hidden $1,609 $5,630 3.50x 2026-11-11 16:43 UTC [M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle) Hidden $1,609 $889 0.55x 2026-11-11 16:43 UTC [Desert Eagle | Emerald Jörmungandr (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-minimal-wear) Hidden $1,609 $471 0.29x 2026-11-11 16:43 UTC [★ Karambit | Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-ultraviolet-battle-scarred) [STASZEK](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/STASZEK) $1,609 $606 0.38x 2026-11-11 16:43 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-battle-scarred) Hidden $1,609 $5,630 3.50x 2026-11-11 16:43 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web) Hidden $1,609 $1,132 0.70x 2026-11-11 16:43 UTC [★ Karambit | Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-ultraviolet-battle-scarred) Hidden $1,609 $606 0.38x 2026-11-11 16:43 UTC [Desert Eagle | Emerald Jörmungandr (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-minimal-wear) [STASZEK](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/STASZEK) $1,609 $471 0.29x 2026-11-11 16:43 UTC [★ Karambit | Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-ultraviolet-battle-scarred) Hidden $1,609 $606 0.38x 2026-11-11 16:43 UTC [AWP | Atheris (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-field-tested) Hidden $1,609 $5.57 0.00x 2026-11-11 16:43 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $1,609 | 90.50% | 8 | | 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $1,608 | 90.50% | 8 | | 10 Nov, 02:18 UTC | $1,665 | 90.50% | 8 | | 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $1,699 | 90.50% | 8 | | 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $1,658 | 90.50% | 8 | | 7 Nov, 23:20 UTC | $1,661 | 90.50% | 8 | | 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $1,657 | 90.50% | 8 | | 6 Nov, 10:57 UTC | $1,695 | 90.50% | 8 | | 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $1,690 | 90.50% | 8 | | 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $1,687 | 90.50% | 8 | | 5 Nov, 04:40 UTC | $1,592 | 90.50% | 8 | | 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $1,592 | 90.50% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 50.0% extraordinary 16.7% restricted 33.3% best hit $6,009 (3.55x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.50 on average: an expected loss of $9.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt