--- title: "LAB case on Casehug: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "LAB ($150.00) on Casehug, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.41% from 8 items with odds, observed 88.11% over 1,246 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/lab rendered: 2026-11-11T13:47Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) / [LAB](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/lab) # [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) · LAB A case on Casehug (HIGH RISK), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/lab?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/lab?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/lab) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/lab?window=all) Price · $150.00 Advertised RTP · 87.41% · EV $131.11 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 88.11% · 1,246 openings, odds method Variance · 9.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 21 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 82.14% ±42.73 204 openings 7 days · 90.08% ±18.81 1,076 openings 30 days · 88.11% ±17.43 1,246 openings since tracking started · 88.11% ±17.43 1,246 openings 39.0% 82.3% 125.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/lab?window=24h) | 204 | 82.14% ±42.7 | −0.2σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/lab?window=7d) | 1,076 | 90.08% ±18.8 | +0.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/lab) | 1,246 | 88.11% ±17.4 | +0.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/lab?window=all) | 1,246 | 88.11% ±17.4 | +0.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,246 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-battle-scarred) | 1 in 194 | $5,630 | 22.2% | 6 | 6.4 | 0.93× | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-field-tested) | 1 in 337 | $1,444 | 3.3% | 0 | 3.7 | 0.00× | | [M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-field-tested) | 1 in 66 | $1,021 | 11.8% | 0 | 19.0 | 0.00× | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-well-worn) | 1 in 40 | $821 | 15.7% | 0 | 31.3 | 0.00× | | [M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-well-worn) | 1 in 67 | $756 | 8.6% | 0 | 18.6 | 0.00× | | [★ Karambit \| Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-ultraviolet-battle-scarred) | 1 in 29 | $606 | 15.7% | 36 | 42.4 | 0.85× | | [Desert Eagle \| Emerald Jörmungandr (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-minimal-wear) | 1 in 19 | $471 | 19.0% | 64 | 66.0 | 0.97× | | [AWP \| Atheris (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-field-tested) | 85.0% | $5.57 | 3.6% | 1,060 | 1058.6 | 1.00× | Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `casehug:cases/lab`, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-battle-scarred) Hidden $150 $6,009 40.06x 2026-11-10 00:39 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-battle-scarred) Hidden $150 $6,009 40.06x 2026-11-09 22:36 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-battle-scarred) [Gerdziu](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Gerdziu) $150 $6,009 40.06x 2026-11-06 14:18 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-battle-scarred) [愛](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/%E6%84%9B) $150 $5,825 38.83x 2026-11-09 19:13 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-battle-scarred) [roninbaby](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/roninbaby) $150 $5,630 37.54x 2026-11-11 13:08 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-battle-scarred) [CyberRulz](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/CyberRulz) $150 $5,472 36.48x 2026-11-04 20:48 UTC [M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle) Hidden $150 $896 5.97x 2026-11-09 19:28 UTC [M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle) [FattyM](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/FattyM) $150 $896 5.97x 2026-11-09 02:49 UTC [M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle) Hidden $150 $896 5.97x 2026-11-08 21:38 UTC [M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle) [XD](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/XD) $150 $896 5.97x 2026-11-08 21:38 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=casehug&case=lab) [AWP | Atheris (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-field-tested) Hidden $150 $5.57 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:36 UTC [AWP | Atheris (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-field-tested) Hidden $150 $5.57 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:36 UTC [AWP | Atheris (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-field-tested) [roninbaby](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/roninbaby) $150 $5.57 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:36 UTC [AWP | Atheris (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-field-tested) Hidden $150 $5.57 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:36 UTC [AWP | Atheris (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-field-tested) Hidden $150 $5.57 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:36 UTC [AWP | Atheris (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-field-tested) [roninbaby](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/roninbaby) $150 $5.57 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:36 UTC [AWP | Atheris (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-field-tested) Hidden $150 $5.57 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:22 UTC [★ Karambit | Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-ultraviolet-battle-scarred) [SoBoL BuK](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/SoBoL%20BuK) $150 $606 4.04x 2026-11-11 13:22 UTC [AWP | Atheris (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-field-tested) Hidden $150 $5.57 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:08 UTC [AWP | Atheris (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-field-tested) Hidden $150 $5.57 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:08 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $150 | 87.41% | 8 | | 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $150 | 87.08% | 8 | | 10 Nov, 02:18 UTC | $150 | 87.06% | 8 | | 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $150 | 87.07% | 8 | | 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $150 | 87.03% | 8 | | 9 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $150 | 87.07% | 8 | | 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $150 | 87.03% | 8 | | 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $150 | 87.07% | 8 | | 8 Nov, 23:35 UTC | $150 | 87.03% | 8 | | 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $150 | 87.07% | 8 | | 7 Nov, 23:20 UTC | $150 | 87.13% | 8 | | 7 Nov, 11:11 UTC | $150 | 87.01% | 8 | | 7 Nov, 05:08 UTC | $150 | 87.03% | 8 | | 6 Nov, 17:00 UTC | $150 | 87.03% | 8 | | 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $150 | 87.20% | 8 | | 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $150 | 87.03% | 8 | | 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $150 | 87.20% | 8 | | 5 Nov, 04:40 UTC | $150 | 87.12% | 8 | | 4 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $150 | 86.60% | 8 | | 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $150 | 86.93% | 8 | | 3 Nov, 16:38 UTC | $150 | 87.03% | 8 | | 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | $150 | 86.76% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 6.9% extraordinary 2.8% restricted 90.3% best hit $6,009 (40.06x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.41 on average: an expected loss of $12.59 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt