---
title: "MIŚ BIM JOKER case on Casehug: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "MIŚ BIM JOKER ($44.98) on Casehug, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.51% from 68 items with odds, observed 85.69% over 1,762 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/mis-bim-joker
rendered: 2026-11-11T20:36Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) / [MIŚ BIM JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/mis-bim-joker)

# [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) · MIŚ BIM JOKER

A case on Casehug, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/mis-bim-joker?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/mis-bim-joker?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/mis-bim-joker) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/mis-bim-joker?window=all)

Price · $44.98

Advertised RTP · 87.51% · EV $39.36 from 68 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 85.69% · 1,762 openings, odds method

Variance · 4.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 11 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 83.3% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 74.79% ±25.96 242 openings

7 days · 87.32% ±10.26 1,559 openings

30 days · 85.69% ±9.66 1,762 openings

since tracking started · 85.69% ±9.66 1,762 openings

48.0% 74.8% 101.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/mis-bim-joker?window=24h) | 242 | 74.79% ±26.0 | −1.0σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/mis-bim-joker?window=7d) | 1,559 | 87.32% ±10.3 | −0.1σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/mis-bim-joker) | 1,762 | 85.69% ±9.66 | −0.4σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/mis-bim-joker?window=all) | 1,762 | 85.69% ±9.66 | −0.4σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 68 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,807 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 21 | $347 | 41.9% | 78 | 86.0 | 0.91× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 21 | $287 | 34.7% | 91 | 86.0 | 1.06× |
| [AK-47 \| The Oligarch (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-oligarch-minimal-wear) | 1 in 84 | $121 | 3.7% | 0 | 21.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-minimal-wear) | 1 in 84 | $67.35 | 2.0% | 0 | 21.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-battle-scarred) | 1 in 84 | $55.42 | 1.7% | 0 | 21.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| The Oligarch (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-oligarch-field-tested) | 1 in 84 | $53.32 | 1.6% | 0 | 21.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-well-worn) | 1 in 84 | $52.11 | 1.6% | 0 | 21.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) | 1 in 84 | $50.86 | 1.5% | 0 | 21.5 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Gold Toof (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gold-toof-minimal-wear) | 1 in 84 | $39.09 | 1.2% | 0 | 21.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| The Oligarch (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-oligarch-well-worn) | 1 in 84 | $38.45 | 1.2% | 0 | 21.5 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Gold Toof (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gold-toof-well-worn) | 1 in 84 | $37.90 | 1.1% | 0 | 21.5 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Gold Toof (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gold-toof-field-tested) | 1 in 84 | $36.63 | 1.1% | 0 | 21.5 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Gold Toof (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gold-toof-battle-scarred) | 1 in 84 | $32.48 | 1.0% | 0 | 21.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| The Oligarch (Battle-Scarred) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-oligarch-battle-scarred) | 1 in 84 | $32.02 | 1.0% | 0 | 21.5 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| The End (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-end-field-tested) | 1 in 21 | $11.25 | 1.4% | 87 | 86.0 | 1.01× |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 84 | $8.09 | 0.2% | 0 | 21.5 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-minimal-wear) | 1 in 84 | $6.91 | 0.2% | 0 | 21.5 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 84 | $5.52 | 0.2% | 0 | 21.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-field-tested) | 1 in 84 | $5.25 | 0.2% | 0 | 21.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-battle-scarred) | 1 in 84 | $4.53 | 0.1% | 0 | 21.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-well-worn) | 1 in 84 | $4.48 | 0.1% | 0 | 21.5 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-field-tested) | 1 in 84 | $4.24 | 0.1% | 0 | 21.5 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-battle-scarred) | 1 in 84 | $4.06 | 0.1% | 0 | 21.5 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-well-worn) | 1 in 84 | $4.01 | 0.1% | 0 | 21.5 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-well-worn) | 1 in 84 | $3.90 | 0.1% | 0 | 21.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-minimal-wear) | 1 in 84 | $3.79 | 0.1% | 0 | 21.5 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Turbine (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-turbine-minimal-wear) | 1 in 84 | $3.63 | 0.1% | 0 | 21.5 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-field-tested) | 1 in 84 | $3.60 | 0.1% | 0 | 21.5 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-battle-scarred) | 1 in 84 | $3.38 | 0.1% | 0 | 21.5 | 0.00× |
| [P250 \| Franklin (Well-Worn) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-well-worn) | 1 in 63 | $3.27 | 0.1% | 0 | 28.7 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Heat Treated (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heat-treated-minimal-wear) | 1 in 84 | $3.08 | 0.1% | 0 | 21.5 | 0.00× |
| [Galil AR \| Firefight (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-firefight-minimal-wear) | 1 in 84 | $2.52 | 0.1% | 0 | 21.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-field-tested) | 1 in 84 | $2.40 | 0.1% | 0 | 21.5 | 0.00× |
| [P250 \| Franklin (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-minimal-wear) | 1 in 63 | $2.36 | 0.1% | 0 | 28.7 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-well-worn) | 1 in 84 | $1.90 | 0.1% | 0 | 21.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-battle-scarred) | 1 in 84 | $1.90 | 0.1% | 0 | 21.5 | 0.00× |
| [P250 \| Franklin (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-field-tested) | 1 in 63 | $1.64 | 0.1% | 0 | 28.7 | 0.00× |
| [Galil AR \| Firefight (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-firefight-field-tested) | 1 in 84 | $1.63 | 0.0% | 0 | 21.5 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Turbine (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-turbine-field-tested) | 1 in 84 | $1.45 | 0.0% | 0 | 21.5 | 0.00× |
| [Galil AR \| Firefight (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-firefight-battle-scarred) | 1 in 84 | $1.43 | 0.0% | 0 | 21.5 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Turbine (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-turbine-well-worn) | 1 in 84 | $1.39 | 0.0% | 0 | 21.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Heat Treated (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heat-treated-field-tested) | 1 in 84 | $1.39 | 0.0% | 0 | 21.5 | 0.00× |
| [Galil AR \| Firefight (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-firefight-well-worn) | 1 in 84 | $1.39 | 0.0% | 0 | 21.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Heat Treated (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heat-treated-battle-scarred) | 1 in 84 | $1.29 | 0.0% | 0 | 21.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Heat Treated (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heat-treated-well-worn) | 1 in 84 | $1.19 | 0.0% | 0 | 21.5 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Turbine (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-turbine-battle-scarred) | 1 in 84 | $1.16 | 0.0% | 0 | 21.5 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-minimal-wear) | 1 in 84 | $1.07 | 0.0% | 0 | 21.5 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-minimal-wear) | 1 in 84 | $1.01 | 0.0% | 0 | 21.5 | 0.00× |
| [P2000 \| Red Wing (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-red-wing-factory-new) | 1 in 105 | $0.89 | 0.0% | 0 | 17.2 | 0.00× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Hybrid (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hybrid-minimal-wear) | 1 in 21 | $0.84 | 0.1% | 87 | 86.0 | 1.01× |
| [M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-well-worn) | 1 in 84 | $0.81 | 0.0% | 0 | 21.5 | 0.00× |
| [XM1014 \| Mockingbird (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-mockingbird-factory-new) | 1 in 105 | $0.80 | 0.0% | 0 | 17.2 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-battle-scarred) | 1 in 84 | $0.78 | 0.0% | 0 | 21.5 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-field-tested) | 1 in 84 | $0.72 | 0.0% | 0 | 21.5 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-well-worn) | 1 in 84 | $0.70 | 0.0% | 0 | 21.5 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-field-tested) | 1 in 84 | $0.70 | 0.0% | 0 | 21.5 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-battle-scarred) | 1 in 84 | $0.69 | 0.0% | 0 | 21.5 | 0.00× |
| [P2000 \| Red Wing (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-red-wing-minimal-wear) | 1 in 105 | $0.24 | 0.0% | 0 | 17.2 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Steel Work (Factory New) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-steel-work-factory-new) | 1 in 42 | $0.17 | 0.0% | 0 | 43.0 | 0.00× |
| [XM1014 \| Mockingbird (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-mockingbird-minimal-wear) | 1 in 105 | $0.14 | 0.0% | 0 | 17.2 | 0.00× |
| [P2000 \| Red Wing (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-red-wing-field-tested) | 1 in 105 | $0.09 | 0.0% | 0 | 17.2 | 0.00× |
| [P2000 \| Red Wing (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-red-wing-well-worn) | 1 in 105 | $0.08 | 0.0% | 0 | 17.2 | 0.00× |
| [XM1014 \| Mockingbird (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-mockingbird-field-tested) | 1 in 105 | $0.08 | 0.0% | 0 | 17.2 | 0.00× |
| [P2000 \| Red Wing (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-red-wing-battle-scarred) | 1 in 105 | $0.06 | 0.0% | 0 | 17.2 | 0.00× |
| [XM1014 \| Mockingbird (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-mockingbird-well-worn) | 1 in 105 | $0.06 | 0.0% | 0 | 17.2 | 0.00× |
| [XM1014 \| Mockingbird (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-mockingbird-battle-scarred) | 1 in 105 | $0.06 | 0.0% | 0 | 17.2 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Steel Work (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-steel-work-minimal-wear) | 1 in 42 | $0.03 | 0.0% | 0 | 43.0 | 0.00× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Crimson Batik (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-crimson-batik-factory-new) | 1 in 21 | $0.02 | 0.0% | 100 | 86.0 | 1.16× |

Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `casehug:cases/mis-bim-joker`, 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=casehug&case=mis-bim-joker)

[P250 | Franklin weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin) [kubek](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/kubek) $44.24 $2.47 0.06x 2026-11-11 19:45 UTC

[Glock-18 | Gold Toof weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gold-toof) Hidden $44.24 $37.01 0.84x 2026-11-11 19:43 UTC

[M4A4 | Evil Daimyo weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo) Hidden $44.24 $4.27 0.10x 2026-11-11 19:43 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Crimson Batik (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-crimson-batik-factory-new) Hidden $44.24 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:43 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-field-tested) [stivalta67](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/stivalta67) $44.24 $268 6.05x 2026-11-11 19:43 UTC

[USP-S | Ticket to Hell weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell) Hidden $44.24 $0.78 0.02x 2026-11-11 19:33 UTC

[Glock-18 | Gold Toof weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gold-toof) Hidden $44.24 $37.01 0.84x 2026-11-11 19:33 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-field-tested) [good](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/good) $44.24 $268 6.05x 2026-11-11 19:33 UTC

[AK-47 | Slate weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate) Hidden $44.24 $5.80 0.13x 2026-11-11 19:25 UTC

[M4A4 | Steel Work weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-steel-work) Hidden $44.24 $0.10 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:25 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC | $44.98 | 87.51% | 68 |
| 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC | $44.24 | 87.49% | 68 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $45.00 | 87.49% | 68 |
| 10 Nov, 08:21 UTC | $44.99 | 87.50% | 68 |
| 10 Nov, 02:18 UTC | $46.23 | 87.50% | 68 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $44.81 | 87.49% | 68 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $46.23 | 87.50% | 68 |
| 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $46.05 | 87.50% | 68 |
| 8 Nov, 11:27 UTC | $45.67 | 87.50% | 68 |
| 8 Nov, 05:24 UTC | $46.11 | 87.49% | 68 |
| 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $45.84 | 87.51% | 68 |
| 7 Nov, 11:11 UTC | $46.11 | 87.49% | 68 |
| 6 Nov, 23:04 UTC | $45.84 | 87.51% | 68 |
| 6 Nov, 17:00 UTC | $46.71 | 87.50% | 68 |
| 5 Nov, 10:43 UTC | $46.66 | 87.50% | 68 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $46.89 | 87.51% | 68 |
| 4 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $46.41 | 87.49% | 68 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $46.89 | 87.51% | 68 |
| 3 Nov, 09:33 UTC | $47.43 | 87.49% | 68 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 14.3% Ancient 2.4% red 6.0% rare 1.2% pink 13.1% restricted 15.5% Mythical 8.3% classified 2.8% milspec 3.1% #d32ee6 1.6% Rare 4.0% blue 3.1% mil spec 1.2% Legendary 1.6% violet 9.5% blueLight 2.4% #4b69ff 2.9% Uncommon 2.4% Common 4.8% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.51 on average: an expected loss of $12.49 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt