---
title: "NITRO V1 case on Casehug: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "NITRO V1 ($1.00) on Casehug, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.50% from 49 items with odds, observed 85.67% over 37.8K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/nitro-v1
rendered: 2026-11-11T15:54Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) / [NITRO V1](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/nitro-v1)

# [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) · NITRO V1

A case on Casehug (CREATORS), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/nitro-v1?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/nitro-v1?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/nitro-v1) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/nitro-v1?window=all)

Price · $1.00

Advertised RTP · 87.50% · EV $0.88 from 49 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 85.67% · 37.8K openings, odds method

Variance · 39.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 22.2% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 83.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 81.66% ±18.19 4,641 openings

7 days · 86.97% ±6.99 31.1K openings

30 days · 85.67% ±6.32 37.8K openings

since tracking started · 85.67% ±6.32 37.8K openings

63.0% 81.7% 100.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/nitro-v1?window=24h) | 4,641 | 81.66% ±18.2 | −0.6σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/nitro-v1?window=7d) | 31.1K | 86.97% ±6.99 | −0.3σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/nitro-v1) | 37.8K | 85.67% ±6.32 | −0.8σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/nitro-v1?window=all) | 37.8K | 85.67% ±6.32 | −0.8σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 49 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 37.9K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Karambit \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 33,333 | $1,123 | 3.8% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.88× |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 14,286 | $133 | 1.1% | 1 | 2.7 | 0.38× |
| [AK-47 \| The Oligarch (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-oligarch-well-worn) | 1 in 10,000 | $38.45 | 0.4% | 5 | 3.8 | 1.32× |
| [AK-47 \| Aphrodite (Field-Tested) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aphrodite-field-tested) | 1 in 33,333 | $18.23 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Party Animal (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-party-animal-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $16.91 | 0.4% | 0 | 7.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Aphrodite (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aphrodite-well-worn) | 1 in 14,286 | $14.21 | 0.1% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Aphrodite (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aphrodite-battle-scarred) | 1 in 10,000 | $13.05 | 0.1% | 0 | 3.8 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Party Animal (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-party-animal-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $8.37 | 0.2% | 0 | 7.6 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Minimal Wear) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $7.60 | 0.1% | 0 | 3.8 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-minimal-wear) | 1 in 578 | $6.91 | 1.4% | 0 | 65.6 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-well-worn) | 1 in 5,000 | $5.37 | 0.1% | 0 | 7.6 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,000 | $5.09 | 0.1% | 0 | 7.6 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $4.88 | 0.1% | 0 | 7.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Safety Net (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safety-net-minimal-wear) | 1 in 260 | $4.87 | 2.1% | 0 | 145.9 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-field-tested) | 1 in 218 | $4.24 | 2.2% | 0 | 173.6 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-battle-scarred) | 1 in 200 | $4.06 | 2.3% | 0 | 189.2 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-well-worn) | 1 in 195 | $4.01 | 2.3% | 0 | 194.1 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Turbine (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-turbine-minimal-wear) | 1 in 308 | $3.63 | 1.3% | 0 | 123.2 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Safety Net (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safety-net-field-tested) | 1 in 136 | $3.52 | 3.0% | 0 | 279.8 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Safety Net (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safety-net-battle-scarred) | 1 in 123 | $3.35 | 3.1% | 0 | 308.6 | 0.00× |
| [M249 \| Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-nebula-crusader-minimal-wear) | 1 in 117 | $2.74 | 2.7% | 0 | 325.2 | 0.00× |
| [Zeus x27 \| Tosai (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-tosai-factory-new) | 1 in 336 | $1.79 | 0.6% | 0 | 113.0 | 0.00× |
| [SG 553 \| Dragon Tech (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-dragon-tech-factory-new) | 1 in 156 | $1.65 | 1.2% | 0 | 243.4 | 0.00× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Angel Eyes (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-angel-eyes-minimal-wear) | 1 in 183 | $1.50 | 0.9% | 0 | 207.4 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Glockingbird (Minimal Wear) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-glockingbird-minimal-wear) | 1 in 153 | $1.48 | 1.1% | 0 | 247.9 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Turbine (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-turbine-field-tested) | 1 in 49 | $1.45 | 3.4% | 0 | 769.5 | 0.00× |
| [P90 \| Vent Rush (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-vent-rush-factory-new) | 1 in 84 | $1.41 | 1.9% | 0 | 451.9 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Turbine (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-turbine-well-worn) | 1 in 45 | $1.39 | 3.5% | 0 | 837.7 | 0.00× |
| [M249 \| Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-nebula-crusader-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $1.33 | 5.5% | 0 | 1379.8 | 0.00× |
| [Tec-9 \| Brother (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-brother-minimal-wear) | 1 in 31 | $0.89 | 3.3% | 0 | 1234.6 | 0.00× |
| [SG 553 \| Dragon Tech (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-dragon-tech-minimal-wear) | 1 in 35 | $0.84 | 2.7% | 0 | 1070.9 | 0.00× |
| [P90 \| Wave Breaker (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-wave-breaker-minimal-wear) | 1 in 59 | $0.84 | 1.6% | 0 | 641.4 | 0.00× |
| [Zeus x27 \| Tosai (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-tosai-minimal-wear) | 1 in 64 | $0.83 | 1.5% | 0 | 595.9 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Glockingbird (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-glockingbird-field-tested) | 1 in 39 | $0.78 | 2.3% | 0 | 975.0 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Glockingbird (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-glockingbird-well-worn) | 1 in 33 | $0.70 | 2.4% | 0 | 1133.8 | 0.00× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Angel Eyes (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-angel-eyes-field-tested) | 1 in 36 | $0.66 | 2.1% | 0 | 1056.5 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Glockingbird (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-glockingbird-battle-scarred) | 1 in 28 | $0.61 | 2.5% | 0 | 1374.5 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Royal Guard (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-guard-field-tested) | 11.2% | $0.60 | 7.7% | 4,165 | 4241.8 | 0.98× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Angel Eyes (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-angel-eyes-well-worn) | 1 in 29 | $0.57 | 2.2% | 0 | 1296.4 | 0.00× |
| [Zeus x27 \| Tosai (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-tosai-field-tested) | 1 in 35 | $0.54 | 1.8% | 0 | 1087.2 | 0.00× |
| [P90 \| Wave Breaker (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-wave-breaker-field-tested) | 1 in 32 | $0.54 | 1.9% | 0 | 1189.5 | 0.00× |
| [Zeus x27 \| Tosai (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-tosai-well-worn) | 1 in 33 | $0.52 | 1.8% | 0 | 1145.9 | 0.00× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Angel Eyes (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-angel-eyes-battle-scarred) | 1 in 26 | $0.52 | 2.3% | 0 | 1474.2 | 0.00× |
| [P90 \| Wave Breaker (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-wave-breaker-well-worn) | 1 in 30 | $0.52 | 2.0% | 0 | 1254.0 | 0.00× |
| [P90 \| Wave Breaker (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-wave-breaker-battle-scarred) | 1 in 30 | $0.52 | 2.0% | 0 | 1254.0 | 0.00× |
| [Zeus x27 \| Tosai (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-tosai-battle-scarred) | 1 in 31 | $0.50 | 1.8% | 0 | 1210.7 | 0.00× |
| [Tec-9 \| Brother (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-brother-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $0.46 | 4.3% | 0 | 3109.9 | 0.00× |
| [SG 553 \| Dragon Tech (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-dragon-tech-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $0.43 | 3.5% | 0 | 2734.6 | 0.00× |
| [P90 \| Vent Rush (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-vent-rush-field-tested) | 1 in 10 | $0.43 | 4.8% | 0 | 3713.7 | 0.00× |

Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `casehug:cases/nitro-v1`, 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Karambit | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $1.00 $1,111 1,111x 2026-11-04 16:25 UTC

[★ Survival Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) [CS2SKINS.GIFT/CS2.ME](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/CS2SKINS.GIFT%2FCS2.ME) $1.00 $136 136.0x 2026-11-06 15:12 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=casehug&case=nitro-v1)

[Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-angel-eyes) [Krikoboss](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Krikoboss) $1.00 $0.62 0.62x 2026-11-11 15:51 UTC

[SG 553 | Dragon Tech weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-dragon-tech) Hidden $1.00 $0.61 0.61x 2026-11-11 15:51 UTC

[M4A4 | Turbine weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-turbine) [KanDy](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/KanDy) $1.00 $1.58 1.58x 2026-11-11 15:51 UTC

[P90 | Vent Rush weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-vent-rush) [clsHOTLINE](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/clsHOTLINE) $1.00 $0.54 0.54x 2026-11-11 15:50 UTC

[P90 | Vent Rush weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-vent-rush) [TimingIsAll 2](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/TimingIsAll%202) $1.00 $0.54 0.54x 2026-11-11 15:50 UTC

[M4A4 | Turbine weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-turbine) [clsHOTLINE](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/clsHOTLINE) $1.00 $1.58 1.58x 2026-11-11 15:50 UTC

[USP-S | Jawbreaker weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker) [TimingIsAll 2](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/TimingIsAll%202) $1.00 $4.39 4.39x 2026-11-11 15:50 UTC

[USP-S | Royal Guard (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-guard-field-tested) [itachi\_uchiha](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/itachi_uchiha) $1.00 $0.60 0.60x 2026-11-11 15:50 UTC

[USP-S | Royal Guard (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-guard-field-tested) [clsHOTLINE](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/clsHOTLINE) $1.00 $0.60 0.60x 2026-11-11 15:50 UTC

[P90 | Wave Breaker weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-wave-breaker) [TimingIsAll 2](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/TimingIsAll%202) $1.00 $0.57 0.57x 2026-11-11 15:50 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC | $1.00 | 87.50% | 49 |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $1.00 | 87.50% | 49 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $1.00 | 88.09% | 49 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $1.00 | 88.30% | 49 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $1.00 | 87.86% | 49 |
| 8 Nov, 23:35 UTC | $1.00 | 87.83% | 49 |
| 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $1.00 | 88.12% | 49 |
| 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $1.00 | 88.48% | 49 |
| 7 Nov, 11:11 UTC | $1.00 | 89.42% | 49 |
| 6 Nov, 23:04 UTC | $1.00 | 88.41% | 49 |
| 6 Nov, 17:00 UTC | $1.00 | 88.32% | 49 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $1.00 | 88.27% | 49 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $1.00 | 87.64% | 49 |
| 4 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $1.00 | 88.33% | 49 |
| 3 Nov, 16:38 UTC | $1.00 | 88.08% | 49 |
| 3 Nov, 09:33 UTC | $1.00 | 88.47% | 49 |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | $1.00 | 88.10% | 49 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.0% sunny 0.0% red 0.0% #eb4b4b 0.0% #d32ce6 0.0% classified 0.5% Classified 0.0% pink 1.2% Legendary 0.0% restricted 2.3% Mythical 16.1% uncommon 11.8% violet 55.4% #8847ff 12.5% best hit $1,111 (1,111x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.50 on average: an expected loss of $12.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt