---
title: "NITRO V3 case on Casehug: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "NITRO V3 ($500.00) on Casehug, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.50% from 124 items with odds, observed 92.44% over 1,420 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/nitro-v3
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:25Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) / [NITRO V3](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/nitro-v3)

# [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) · NITRO V3

A case on Casehug (CREATORS), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/nitro-v3?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/nitro-v3?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/nitro-v3) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/nitro-v3?window=all)

Price · $500.00

Advertised RTP · 87.50% · EV $437.50 from 124 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 92.44% · 1,420 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 23.6% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 69.4% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 83.70% ±15.32 139 openings

7 days · 92.62% ±5.28 1,159 openings

30 days · 92.44% ±4.77 1,420 openings

since tracking started · 92.44% ±4.77 1,420 openings

67.5% 83.5% 99.5%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 87.52% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (87.67% – 97.20%, 1,420 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/nitro-v3?window=24h) | 139 | 83.70% ±15.3 | −0.5σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/nitro-v3?window=7d) | 1,159 | 92.62% ±5.28 | +1.9σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/nitro-v3) | 1,420 | 92.44% ±4.77 | +2.0σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/nitro-v3?window=all) | 1,420 | 92.44% ±4.77 | +2.0σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 124 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,420 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) | 1 in 50,000 | $18.9K | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $14.8K | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33,333 | $13.8K | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 16,667 | $12.2K | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-field-tested) | 1 in 16,667 | $9,628 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) | 1 in 16,667 | $9,562 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $8,950 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Howl (Minimal Wear) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $7,130 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Minimal Wear) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20,000 | $6,487 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) | 1 in 7,692 | $6,120 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-battle-scarred) | 1 in 6,250 | $5,630 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AWP \| Medusa (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $4,065 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Field-Tested) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-field-tested) | 1 in 8,333 | $4,017 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-well-worn) | 1 in 6,667 | $3,527 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AWP \| The Prince (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-factory-new) | 1 in 6,250 | $3,279 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 1,639 | $3,140 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [AWP \| Medusa (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-field-tested) | 1 in 2,439 | $2,804 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) | 1 in 16,667 | $2,797 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-battle-scarred) | 1 in 3,704 | $2,592 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [AWP \| The Prince (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,846 | $2,547 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 1,190 | $2,262 | 0.4% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.84× |
| [AWP \| The Prince (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-field-tested) | 1 in 2,857 | $2,171 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 1,136 | $2,146 | 0.4% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-well-worn) | 1 in 3,571 | $1,913 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · gold · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 106 | $1,627 | 3.5% | 11 | 13.3 | 0.82× |
| [AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-field-tested) | 1 in 305 | $1,569 | 1.2% | 0 | 4.7 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-minimal-wear) | 1 in 219 | $1,408 | 1.5% | 0 | 6.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-battle-scarred) | 1 in 229 | $1,361 | 1.4% | 0 | 6.2 | 0.00× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 88 | $1,345 | 3.5% | 22 | 16.1 | 1.36× |
| [★ Karambit \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 87 | $1,337 | 3.5% | 24 | 16.2 | 1.48× |
| [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-minimal-wear) | 1 in 474 | $1,254 | 0.6% | 0 | 3.0 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Imminent Danger (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-minimal-wear) | 1 in 272 | $1,167 | 1.0% | 0 | 5.2 | 0.00× |
| [★ Karambit \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 108 | $1,123 | 2.4% | 18 | 13.2 | 1.37× |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 103 | $1,071 | 2.4% | 14 | 13.8 | 1.01× |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 101 | $1,053 | 2.4% | 13 | 14.0 | 0.93× |
| [M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-field-tested) | 1 in 169 | $1,021 | 1.4% | 0 | 8.4 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-well-worn) | 1 in 455 | $1,014 | 0.5% | 0 | 3.1 | 0.00× |
| [★ Karambit \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-blue-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 413 | $990 | 0.5% | 0 | 3.4 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Jet Set (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jet-set-factory-new) | 1 in 452 | $977 | 0.5% | 0 | 3.1 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-field-tested) | 1 in 385 | $933 | 0.6% | 0 | 3.7 | 0.00× |
| [MAG-7 \| Cinquedea (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-cinquedea-factory-new) | 1 in 87 | $903 | 2.4% | 22 | 16.4 | 1.34× |
| [★ Karambit \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 342 | $901 | 0.6% | 0 | 4.1 | 0.00× |
| [★ Karambit \| Blue Steel (Well-Worn) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-blue-steel-well-worn) | 1 in 329 | $882 | 0.6% | 0 | 4.3 | 0.00× |
| [★ Karambit \| Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-blue-steel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 319 | $870 | 0.6% | 0 | 4.4 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Imminent Danger (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-field-tested) | 1 in 133 | $817 | 1.4% | 0 | 10.7 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 77 | $797 | 2.4% | 19 | 18.5 | 1.02× |
| [AWP \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 76 | $793 | 2.4% | 14 | 18.6 | 0.75× |
| [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-battle-scarred) | 1 in 161 | $716 | 1.0% | 0 | 8.8 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Blue Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-factory-new) | 1 in 45 | $662 | 3.3% | 29 | 31.4 | 0.92× |
| [AWP \| Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 42 | $616 | 3.3% | 31 | 33.7 | 0.92× |
| [AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-field-tested) | 1 in 172 | $610 | 0.8% | 0 | 8.3 | 0.00× |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 42 | $610 | 3.3% | 38 | 34.0 | 1.12× |
| [AK-47 \| Jet Set (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jet-set-minimal-wear) | 1 in 120 | $597 | 1.1% | 0 | 11.8 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-battle-scarred) | 1 in 215 | $532 | 0.6% | 0 | 6.6 | 0.00× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 35 | $513 | 3.3% | 37 | 40.4 | 0.92× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 35 | $506 | 3.3% | 31 | 41.0 | 0.76× |
| [AK-47 \| Jet Set (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jet-set-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $446 | 6.7% | 0 | 93.8 | 0.00× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $446 | 4.0% | 0 | 55.1 | 0.00× |
| [AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-well-worn) | 1 in 18 | $417 | 5.3% | 0 | 78.8 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-factory-new) | 1 in 158 | $411 | 0.6% | 0 | 9.0 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-minimal-wear) | 1 in 55 | $410 | 1.7% | 0 | 25.7 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-factory-new) | 1 in 74 | $401 | 1.2% | 0 | 19.1 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Fennec Fox (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-fennec-fox-factory-new) | 1 in 122 | $400 | 0.7% | 117 | 11.7 | 10.04× |
| [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-minimal-wear) | 1 in 518 | $390 | 0.2% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× |
| [AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-battle-scarred) | 1 in 289 | $369 | 0.3% | 0 | 4.9 | 0.00× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-well-worn) | 1 in 353 | $365 | 0.2% | 0 | 4.0 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-factory-new) | 1 in 112 | $345 | 0.7% | 10 | 12.7 | 0.79× |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 111 | $340 | 0.7% | 7 | 12.8 | 0.55× |
| [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-well-worn) | 1 in 377 | $320 | 0.2% | 0 | 3.8 | 0.00× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-battle-scarred) | 1 in 246 | $291 | 0.3% | 0 | 5.8 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-field-tested) | 1 in 313 | $284 | 0.2% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · sunny · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 99 | $283 | 0.7% | 15 | 14.3 | 1.05× |
| [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-factory-new) | 1 in 99 | $282 | 0.7% | 17 | 14.4 | 1.18× |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 508 | $277 | 0.1% | 0 | 2.8 | 0.00× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 1 in 96 | $269 | 0.6% | 12 | 14.8 | 0.81× |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-factory-new) | 1 in 332 | $269 | 0.2% | 0 | 4.3 | 0.00× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Autotronic (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-autotronic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 212 | $266 | 0.3% | 0 | 6.7 | 0.00× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 95 | $261 | 0.6% | 22 | 15.0 | 1.46× |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-factory-new) | 1 in 93 | $256 | 0.6% | 21 | 15.2 | 1.38× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-factory-new) | 1 in 86 | $222 | 0.6% | 14 | 16.6 | 0.84× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 155 | $219 | 0.3% | 0 | 9.2 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 203 | $218 | 0.2% | 0 | 7.0 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-field-tested) | 1 in 391 | $217 | 0.1% | 0 | 3.6 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 331 | $212 | 0.1% | 0 | 4.3 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-well-worn) | 1 in 327 | $210 | 0.1% | 0 | 4.3 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-minimal-wear) | 1 in 481 | $200 | 0.1% | 0 | 3.0 | 0.00× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 318 | $197 | 0.1% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 379 | $193 | 0.1% | 0 | 3.7 | 0.00× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 74 | $175 | 0.5% | 15 | 19.1 | 0.79× |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 243 | $175 | 0.2% | 0 | 5.8 | 0.00× |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 74 | $174 | 0.5% | 19 | 19.2 | 0.99× |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-field-tested) | 1 in 380 | $172 | 0.1% | 0 | 3.7 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-well-worn) | 1 in 255 | $166 | 0.1% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 72 | $164 | 0.5% | 19 | 19.8 | 0.96× |
| [M4A4 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 119 | $156 | 0.3% | 0 | 11.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 268 | $155 | 0.1% | 0 | 5.3 | 0.00× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 68 | $152 | 0.5% | 18 | 20.8 | 0.87× |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-well-worn) | 1 in 259 | $152 | 0.1% | 0 | 5.5 | 0.00× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $147 | 0.5% | 15 | 21.2 | 0.71× |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-field-tested) | 1 in 244 | $147 | 0.1% | 0 | 5.8 | 0.00× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Autotronic (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-autotronic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 198 | $146 | 0.2% | 0 | 7.2 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 147 | $141 | 0.2% | 0 | 9.6 | 0.00× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 64 | $137 | 0.5% | 16 | 22.1 | 0.72× |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-minimal-wear) | 1 in 476 | $128 | 0.1% | 0 | 3.0 | 0.00× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 61 | $125 | 0.5% | 16 | 23.3 | 0.69× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 61 | $125 | 0.5% | 26 | 23.4 | 1.11× |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-well-worn) | 1 in 224 | $124 | 0.1% | 0 | 6.3 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-battle-scarred) | 1 in 154 | $121 | 0.2% | 0 | 9.2 | 0.00× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 143 | $119 | 0.2% | 0 | 10.0 | 0.00× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 128 | $118 | 0.2% | 0 | 11.1 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-battle-scarred) | 1 in 200 | $115 | 0.1% | 0 | 7.1 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 101 | $111 | 0.3% | 0 | 14.0 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-minimal-wear) | 1 in 79 | $109 | 0.3% | 0 | 18.0 | 0.00× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 56 | $109 | 0.4% | 21 | 25.4 | 0.83× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 55 | $105 | 0.4% | 31 | 26.0 | 1.19× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 239 | $104 | 0.1% | 0 | 5.9 | 0.00× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 98 | $100 | 0.2% | 0 | 14.5 | 0.00× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $90.45 | 0.4% | 35 | 28.4 | 1.23× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 47 | $81.55 | 0.4% | 31 | 30.2 | 1.03× |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-field-tested) | 1 in 190 | $71.74 | 0.1% | 0 | 7.5 | 0.00× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Autotronic (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-autotronic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 110 | $64.08 | 0.1% | 0 | 12.9 | 0.00× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 95 | $58.20 | 0.1% | 0 | 15.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-well-worn) | 1 in 124 | $54.96 | 0.1% | 0 | 11.4 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-battle-scarred) | 1 in 122 | $53.92 | 0.1% | 0 | 11.7 | 0.00× |

Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `casehug:cases/nitro-v3`, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[AWP | Dragon Lore weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore) [TolukiTo](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/TolukiTo) $500 $11.3K 22.60x 2026-11-07 00:20 UTC

[M4A4 | Howl weapon · orange](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl) Hidden $500 $7,167 14.33x 2026-11-03 11:57 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box) [vstysiaaa](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/vstysiaaa) $500 $3,587 7.17x 2026-11-09 20:27 UTC

[AWP | Medusa weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa) [Sr Albondiga](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Sr%20Albondiga) $500 $3,297 6.59x 2026-11-04 13:35 UTC

[★ Karambit | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-factory-new) Hidden $500 $2,291 4.58x 2026-11-07 00:21 UTC

[★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · gold · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) [Suzii](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Suzii) $500 $1,703 3.41x 2026-11-05 18:29 UTC

[★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · gold · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) Hidden $500 $1,670 3.34x 2026-11-09 20:07 UTC

[★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · gold · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) Hidden $500 $1,670 3.34x 2026-11-09 20:07 UTC

[★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · gold · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) [hossy](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/hossy) $500 $1,670 3.34x 2026-11-09 19:12 UTC

[★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · gold · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) [HabiLive](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/HabiLive) $500 $1,670 3.34x 2026-11-09 14:49 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=casehug&case=nitro-v3)

[AK-47 | Fire Serpent weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent) Hidden $500 $904 1.81x 2026-11-11 13:09 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-fennec-fox-factory-new) Hidden $500 $400 0.80x 2026-11-11 13:09 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-fennec-fox-factory-new) [roninbaby](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/roninbaby) $500 $400 0.80x 2026-11-11 13:09 UTC

[M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle) Hidden $500 $1,189 2.38x 2026-11-11 11:59 UTC

[AUG | Akihabara Accept weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept) Hidden $500 $432 0.86x 2026-11-11 11:59 UTC

[AK-47 | Jet Set weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jet-set) [ChrasťoušekS](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Chras%C5%A5ou%C5%A1ekS) $500 $478 0.96x 2026-11-11 11:59 UTC

[★ Shadow Daggers | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $500 $109 0.22x 2026-11-11 11:57 UTC

[AK-47 | Neon Rider (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-factory-new) [ChrasťoušekS](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Chras%C5%A5ou%C5%A1ekS) $500 $222 0.44x 2026-11-11 11:57 UTC

[★ Karambit | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $500 $1,123 2.25x 2026-11-11 11:54 UTC

[AK-47 | Fire Serpent weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent) [ChrasťoušekS](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Chras%C5%A5ou%C5%A1ekS) $500 $904 1.81x 2026-11-11 11:54 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $500 | 87.50% | 124 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $500 | 87.68% | 124 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $500 | 87.52% | 124 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $500 | 87.44% | 124 |
| 9 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $500 | 87.61% | 124 |
| 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $500 | 87.61% | 124 |
| 8 Nov, 05:24 UTC | $500 | 87.67% | 124 |
| 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $500 | 87.63% | 124 |
| 7 Nov, 05:08 UTC | $500 | 87.47% | 124 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $500 | 87.62% | 124 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $500 | 87.46% | 124 |
| 4 Nov, 22:36 UTC | $500 | 87.32% | 124 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $500 | 87.54% | 124 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $500 | 87.50% | 124 |
| 3 Nov, 15:55 UTC | $500 | 87.52% | 124 |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | $500 | 87.47% | 124 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed legendary 0.0% covert 73.4% contraband 0.0% extraordinary 4.6% gold 1.9% epic 3.4% classified 11.8% sunny 1.6% rare 1.3% red 0.4% Immortal 1.5% best hit $11.3K (22.60x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.50 on average: an expected loss of $12.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt