---
title: "PAINKILLER JOKER case on Casehug: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "PAINKILLER JOKER ($71.01) on Casehug, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.50% from 76 items with odds, observed 86.04% over 645 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/painkiller-joker
rendered: 2026-11-11T22:05Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) / [PAINKILLER JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/painkiller-joker)

# [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) · PAINKILLER JOKER

A case on Casehug, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/painkiller-joker?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/painkiller-joker?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/painkiller-joker) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/painkiller-joker?window=all)

Price · $71.01

Advertised RTP · 87.50% · EV $62.14 from 76 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 86.04% · 645 openings, odds method

Variance · 3.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 14 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 82.6% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 73 openings · below min

7 days · 85.95% ±15.65 488 openings

30 days · 86.04% ±13.62 645 openings

since tracking started · 86.04% ±13.62 645 openings

42.0% 82.8% 123.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/painkiller-joker?window=24h) | 73 | 82.87% ±40.2 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/painkiller-joker?window=7d) | 488 | 85.95% ±15.7 | −0.2σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/painkiller-joker) | 645 | 86.04% ±13.6 | −0.2σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/painkiller-joker?window=all) | 645 | 86.04% ±13.6 | −0.2σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 76 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 649 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Occult (Field-Tested) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-occult-field-tested) | 1 in 69 | $596 | 13.9% | 0 | 9.4 | 0.00× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Occult (Well-Worn) gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-occult-well-worn) | 1 in 69 | $531 | 12.4% | 0 | 9.4 | 0.00× |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 23 | $385 | 26.9% | 24 | 28.2 | 0.85× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Occult (Battle-Scarred) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-occult-battle-scarred) | 1 in 69 | $347 | 8.1% | 0 | 9.4 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-factory-new) | 1 in 115 | $295 | 4.1% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Leet Museo (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-field-tested) | 1 in 69 | $188 | 4.4% | 0 | 9.4 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-minimal-wear) | 1 in 115 | $117 | 1.6% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Leet Museo (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-well-worn) | 1 in 69 | $85.07 | 2.0% | 0 | 9.4 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-field-tested) | 1 in 115 | $80.78 | 1.1% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Leet Museo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-battle-scarred) | 1 in 69 | $80.22 | 1.9% | 0 | 9.4 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-battle-scarred) | 1 in 115 | $74.56 | 1.0% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-well-worn) | 1 in 115 | $71.89 | 1.0% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-field-tested) | 1 in 69 | $70.53 | 1.6% | 0 | 9.4 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Vaporwave (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-vaporwave-field-tested) | 1 in 69 | $58.66 | 1.4% | 0 | 9.4 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Vaporwave (Well-Worn) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-vaporwave-well-worn) | 1 in 69 | $58.43 | 1.4% | 0 | 9.4 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-well-worn) | 1 in 69 | $54.22 | 1.3% | 0 | 9.4 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 69 | $53.66 | 1.3% | 0 | 9.4 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 69 | $51.98 | 1.2% | 0 | 9.4 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-battle-scarred) | 1 in 69 | $49.68 | 1.2% | 0 | 9.4 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 69 | $48.70 | 1.1% | 0 | 9.4 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Vaporwave (Battle-Scarred) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-vaporwave-battle-scarred) | 1 in 69 | $45.99 | 1.1% | 0 | 9.4 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-minimal-wear) | 1 in 92 | $35.83 | 0.6% | 0 | 7.1 | 0.00× |
| [P250 \| Undertow (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-undertow-minimal-wear) | 1 in 23 | $28.23 | 2.0% | 26 | 28.2 | 0.92× |
| [AK-47 \| Cartel (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-cartel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 92 | $25.62 | 0.4% | 0 | 7.1 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Cartel (Well-Worn) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-cartel-well-worn) | 1 in 92 | $23.69 | 0.4% | 0 | 7.1 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-battle-scarred) | 1 in 92 | $23.06 | 0.4% | 0 | 7.1 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-field-tested) | 1 in 92 | $22.80 | 0.4% | 0 | 7.1 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-well-worn) | 1 in 92 | $22.66 | 0.4% | 0 | 7.1 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Cartel (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-cartel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 92 | $19.42 | 0.3% | 0 | 7.1 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Cartel (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-cartel-field-tested) | 1 in 92 | $18.02 | 0.3% | 0 | 7.1 | 0.00× |
| [Tec-9 \| Fuel Injector (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-fuel-injector-minimal-wear) | 1 in 46 | $15.77 | 0.6% | 0 | 14.1 | 0.00× |
| [Tec-9 \| Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-fuel-injector-field-tested) | 1 in 46 | $13.95 | 0.5% | 0 | 14.1 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-minimal-wear) | 1 in 69 | $9.90 | 0.2% | 0 | 9.4 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Party Animal (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-party-animal-well-worn) | 1 in 69 | $9.11 | 0.2% | 0 | 9.4 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled-field-tested) | 1 in 69 | $8.92 | 0.2% | 0 | 9.4 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Party Animal (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-party-animal-field-tested) | 1 in 69 | $8.25 | 0.2% | 0 | 9.4 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Party Animal (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-party-animal-battle-scarred) | 1 in 69 | $8.11 | 0.2% | 0 | 9.4 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| The Outsiders (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-outsiders-field-tested) | 1 in 69 | $7.60 | 0.2% | 0 | 9.4 | 0.00× |
| [P90 \| Deathgaze (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-deathgaze-field-tested) | 1 in 69 | $7.46 | 0.2% | 0 | 9.4 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| The Outsiders (Well-Worn) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-outsiders-well-worn) | 1 in 69 | $6.96 | 0.2% | 0 | 9.4 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Vogue (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-minimal-wear) | 1 in 92 | $6.76 | 0.1% | 0 | 7.1 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Ice Coaled (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled-well-worn) | 1 in 69 | $6.72 | 0.2% | 0 | 9.4 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Mirror Mosaic (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-mirror-mosaic-field-tested) | 1 in 46 | $6.47 | 0.2% | 0 | 14.1 | 0.00× |
| [P90 \| Deathgaze (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-deathgaze-well-worn) | 1 in 69 | $6.26 | 0.1% | 0 | 9.4 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| The Outsiders (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-outsiders-battle-scarred) | 1 in 69 | $6.15 | 0.1% | 0 | 9.4 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Well-Worn) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-well-worn) | 1 in 69 | $5.40 | 0.1% | 0 | 9.4 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-field-tested) | 1 in 69 | $5.39 | 0.1% | 0 | 9.4 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Mirror Mosaic (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-mirror-mosaic-well-worn) | 1 in 46 | $4.82 | 0.2% | 0 | 14.1 | 0.00× |
| [P90 \| Deathgaze (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-deathgaze-battle-scarred) | 1 in 69 | $4.76 | 0.1% | 0 | 9.4 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Vogue (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-well-worn) | 1 in 92 | $4.61 | 0.1% | 0 | 7.1 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Vogue (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-field-tested) | 1 in 92 | $4.61 | 0.1% | 0 | 7.1 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Vogue (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-battle-scarred) | 1 in 92 | $4.54 | 0.1% | 0 | 7.1 | 0.00× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Dezastre (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-dezastre-field-tested) | 1 in 69 | $4.36 | 0.1% | 0 | 9.4 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Ice Coaled (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled-battle-scarred) | 1 in 69 | $4.16 | 0.1% | 0 | 9.4 | 0.00× |
| [MAC-10 \| Cat Fight (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-cat-fight-factory-new) | 1 in 115 | $4.13 | 0.1% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Dezastre (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-dezastre-battle-scarred) | 1 in 69 | $2.94 | 0.1% | 0 | 9.4 | 0.00× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Dezastre (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-dezastre-well-worn) | 1 in 69 | $2.85 | 0.1% | 0 | 9.4 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Serpent Strike (Factory New) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-serpent-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 115 | $1.95 | 0.0% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [Zeus x27 \| Tosai (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-tosai-factory-new) | 1 in 115 | $1.92 | 0.0% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [P90 \| Neoqueen (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-neoqueen-factory-new) | 1 in 115 | $1.64 | 0.0% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [MAC-10 \| Cat Fight (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-cat-fight-minimal-wear) | 1 in 115 | $1.61 | 0.0% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Serpent Strike (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-serpent-strike-minimal-wear) | 1 in 115 | $0.96 | 0.0% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [Zeus x27 \| Tosai (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-tosai-minimal-wear) | 1 in 115 | $0.83 | 0.0% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [MAC-10 \| Cat Fight (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-cat-fight-field-tested) | 1 in 115 | $0.78 | 0.0% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [MAC-10 \| Cat Fight (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-cat-fight-well-worn) | 1 in 115 | $0.64 | 0.0% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Serpent Strike (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-serpent-strike-well-worn) | 1 in 115 | $0.61 | 0.0% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Serpent Strike (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-serpent-strike-battle-scarred) | 1 in 115 | $0.58 | 0.0% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Serpent Strike (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-serpent-strike-field-tested) | 1 in 115 | $0.57 | 0.0% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [Zeus x27 \| Tosai (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-tosai-field-tested) | 1 in 115 | $0.57 | 0.0% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [Zeus x27 \| Tosai (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-tosai-battle-scarred) | 1 in 115 | $0.52 | 0.0% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [MAC-10 \| Cat Fight (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-cat-fight-battle-scarred) | 1 in 115 | $0.49 | 0.0% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [Zeus x27 \| Tosai (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-tosai-well-worn) | 1 in 115 | $0.49 | 0.0% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [P90 \| Neoqueen (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-neoqueen-battle-scarred) | 1 in 115 | $0.47 | 0.0% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [P90 \| Neoqueen (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-neoqueen-minimal-wear) | 1 in 115 | $0.46 | 0.0% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [P90 \| Neoqueen (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-neoqueen-well-worn) | 1 in 115 | $0.41 | 0.0% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [P90 \| Neoqueen (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-neoqueen-field-tested) | 1 in 115 | $0.41 | 0.0% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |

Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `casehug:cases/painkiller-joker`, 11 Nov, 20:45 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Sport Gloves | Occult gloves · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-occult) Hidden $73.24 $538 7.35x 2026-11-03 01:32 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Occult gloves · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-occult) Hidden $73.64 $527 7.15x 2026-11-04 13:16 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Occult gloves · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-occult) Hidden $73.64 $527 7.15x 2026-11-04 12:41 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Occult gloves · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-occult) [larro](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/larro) $74.22 $527 7.10x 2026-11-05 06:28 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Occult gloves · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-occult) Hidden $73.64 $526 7.15x 2026-11-05 03:55 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Occult gloves · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-occult) [Johnny SKINS](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Johnny%20SKINS) $73.64 $526 7.15x 2026-11-04 23:25 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Occult gloves · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-occult) Hidden $73.64 $526 7.15x 2026-11-04 22:48 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Occult gloves · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-occult) [m00rtal](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/m00rtal) $73.64 $526 7.15x 2026-11-04 19:56 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Occult gloves · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-occult) Hidden $74.61 $524 7.03x 2026-11-05 22:37 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Occult gloves · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-occult) Hidden $74.61 $524 7.03x 2026-11-05 20:53 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=casehug&case=painkiller-joker)

[Tec-9 | Fuel Injector weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-fuel-injector) Hidden $71.01 $14.86 0.21x 2026-11-11 20:18 UTC

[M4A1-S | Party Animal weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-party-animal) Hidden $71.01 $8.49 0.12x 2026-11-11 20:18 UTC

[AK-47 | Leet Museo weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo) Hidden $71.01 $118 1.66x 2026-11-11 20:18 UTC

[P90 | Deathgaze weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-deathgaze) [Big Smoke it\_#039;s me Carl chil chil](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Big%20Smoke%20it_%23039%3Bs%20me%20Carl%20chil%20chil) $71.01 $6.16 0.09x 2026-11-11 20:18 UTC

[M4A1-S | Vaporwave weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-vaporwave) Hidden $71.01 $54.36 0.77x 2026-11-11 19:15 UTC

[MAC-10 | Cat Fight weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-cat-fight) Hidden $71.01 $1.53 0.02x 2026-11-11 19:15 UTC

[Zeus x27 | Tosai weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-tosai) Hidden $71.01 $0.87 0.01x 2026-11-11 19:15 UTC

[USP-S | Monster Mashup weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup) [Parówek37](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Par%C3%B3wek37) $71.01 $26.09 0.37x 2026-11-11 19:15 UTC

[P90 | Neoqueen weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-neoqueen) [????Tysiak™](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/%3F%3F%3F%3FTysiak%E2%84%A2) $71.01 $0.68 0.01x 2026-11-11 19:01 UTC

[AK-47 | The Outsiders weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-outsiders) [remoremeroCS2.ME](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/remoremeroCS2.ME) $71.01 $6.90 0.10x 2026-11-11 18:59 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 20:45 UTC | $71.01 | 87.50% | 76 |
| 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC | $70.26 | 87.50% | 76 |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $70.90 | 87.50% | 76 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $70.28 | 87.49% | 76 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $71.76 | 87.50% | 76 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $72.17 | 87.50% | 76 |
| 8 Nov, 23:35 UTC | $73.91 | 87.50% | 76 |
| 7 Nov, 23:20 UTC | $73.56 | 88.32% | 76 |
| 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $74.28 | 87.50% | 76 |
| 6 Nov, 17:00 UTC | $74.25 | 87.50% | 76 |
| 6 Nov, 10:57 UTC | $73.56 | 87.50% | 76 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $74.61 | 87.50% | 76 |
| 5 Nov, 04:40 UTC | $74.22 | 87.50% | 76 |
| 4 Nov, 22:36 UTC | $73.64 | 87.50% | 76 |
| 4 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $73.64 | 87.50% | 76 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $73.64 | 87.50% | 76 |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | $73.24 | 87.50% | 76 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed legendary 5.8% sunny 1.4% epic 1.4% covert 14.5% Ancient 1.4% red 2.9% rare 4.3% classified 15.6% #d32ee6 2.2% pink 17.8% Legendary 6.5% #d32ce6 1.4% uncommon 2.3% Classified 1.4% violet 14.8% Mythical 1.7% #8847ff 2.6% restricted 1.7% best hit $538 (7.35x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.50 on average: an expected loss of $12.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt