---
title: "PLANT B JOKER case on Casehug: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "PLANT B JOKER ($255.47) on Casehug, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.50% from 27 items with odds, observed 84.14% over 202 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/plant-b-joker
rendered: 2026-11-11T23:41Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) / [PLANT B JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/plant-b-joker)

# [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) · PLANT B JOKER

A case on Casehug, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/plant-b-joker?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/plant-b-joker?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/plant-b-joker) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/plant-b-joker?window=all)

Price · $255.47

Advertised RTP · 87.50% · EV $223.54 from 27 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 84.14% · 202 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 14.3% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 76.2% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 61 openings · below min

7 days · 83.51% ±19.74 169 openings

30 days · 84.14% ±18.10 202 openings

since tracking started · 84.14% ±18.10 202 openings

49.5% 82.7% 116.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/plant-b-joker?window=24h) | 61 | 82.64% ±32.6 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/plant-b-joker?window=7d) | 169 | 83.51% ±19.7 | −0.4σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/plant-b-joker) | 202 | 84.14% ±18.1 | −0.4σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/plant-b-joker?window=all) | 202 | 84.14% ±18.1 | −0.4σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 27 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 223 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-minimal-wear) | 1 in 21 | $1,407 | 30.0% | 7 | 10.6 | 0.66× |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 21 | $895 | 19.1% | 16 | 10.6 | 1.51× |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 21 | $470 | 10.0% | 9 | 10.6 | 0.85× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 21 | $360 | 7.7% | 7 | 10.6 | 0.66× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Crimson Weave (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-crimson-weave-well-worn) | 1 in 21 | $291 | 6.2% | 14 | 10.6 | 1.32× |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 21 | $217 | 4.6% | 9 | 10.6 | 0.85× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Bronze Morph (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-bronze-morph-minimal-wear) | 1 in 21 | $169 | 3.6% | 14 | 10.6 | 1.32× |
| [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-field-tested) | 1 in 21 | $154 | 3.3% | 9 | 10.6 | 0.85× |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 21 | $152 | 3.2% | 15 | 10.6 | 1.41× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 42 | $146 | 1.6% | 0 | 5.3 | 0.00× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-web-battle-scarred) | 1 in 42 | $128 | 1.4% | 0 | 5.3 | 0.00× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 21 | $110 | 2.3% | 5 | 10.6 | 0.47× |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-battle-scarred) | 1 in 21 | $74.64 | 1.6% | 12 | 10.6 | 1.13× |
| [AK-47 \| Nouveau Rouge (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nouveau-rouge-factory-new) | 1 in 105 | $60.79 | 0.3% | 0 | 2.1 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-field-tested) | 1 in 21 | $54.76 | 1.2% | 16 | 10.6 | 1.51× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) | 1 in 21 | $50.86 | 1.1% | 13 | 10.6 | 1.22× |
| [AWP \| Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 21 | $43.61 | 0.9% | 9 | 10.6 | 0.85× |
| [AK-47 \| Head Shot (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-head-shot-field-tested) | 1 in 42 | $37.42 | 0.4% | 0 | 5.3 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Head Shot (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-head-shot-battle-scarred) | 1 in 42 | $32.56 | 0.3% | 0 | 5.3 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Nouveau Rouge (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nouveau-rouge-minimal-wear) | 1 in 105 | $25.20 | 0.1% | 0 | 2.1 | 0.00× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Xiangliu (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-xiangliu-well-worn) | 1 in 21 | $14.92 | 0.3% | 13 | 10.6 | 1.22× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Memento (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-memento-factory-new) | 1 in 21 | $13.95 | 0.3% | 7 | 10.6 | 0.66× |
| [Galil AR \| Vandal (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-vandal-factory-new) | 1 in 21 | $12.24 | 0.3% | 9 | 10.6 | 0.85× |
| [MAC-10 \| Tatter (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-tatter-factory-new) | 1 in 21 | $11.49 | 0.2% | 11 | 10.6 | 1.04× |
| [AK-47 \| Nouveau Rouge (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nouveau-rouge-field-tested) | 1 in 105 | $9.99 | 0.0% | 0 | 2.1 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Nouveau Rouge (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nouveau-rouge-well-worn) | 1 in 105 | $6.69 | 0.0% | 0 | 2.1 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Nouveau Rouge (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nouveau-rouge-battle-scarred) | 1 in 105 | $5.84 | 0.0% | 0 | 2.1 | 0.00× |

Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `casehug:cases/plant-b-joker`, 11 Nov, 20:45 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-minimal-wear) Hidden $259 $1,466 5.66x 2026-11-03 20:55 UTC

[M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-minimal-wear) [Vicious](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Vicious) $258 $1,442 5.60x 2026-11-05 17:19 UTC

[M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-minimal-wear) [GruchaGbałagan](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/GruchaGba%C5%82agan) $256 $1,423 5.56x 2026-11-05 21:25 UTC

[M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-minimal-wear) Hidden $256 $1,423 5.56x 2026-11-05 20:42 UTC

[M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-minimal-wear) [grochalek](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/grochalek) $256 $1,423 5.55x 2026-11-09 21:58 UTC

[M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-minimal-wear) Hidden $255 $1,407 5.51x 2026-11-11 19:11 UTC

[M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-minimal-wear) [Radziu](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Radziu) $255 $1,407 5.51x 2026-11-11 19:11 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-slaughter-field-tested) Hidden $256 $905 3.53x 2026-11-06 13:00 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-slaughter-field-tested) Hidden $259 $905 3.49x 2026-11-04 14:20 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-slaughter-field-tested) Hidden $259 $905 3.49x 2026-11-04 00:47 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=casehug&case=plant-b-joker)

[AWP | Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-field-tested) Hidden $255 $44.42 0.17x 2026-11-11 23:33 UTC

[AK-47 | Head Shot weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-head-shot) [grochalek](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/grochalek) $255 $34.23 0.13x 2026-11-11 23:33 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Code Red (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) Hidden $255 $50.86 0.20x 2026-11-11 23:33 UTC

[Galil AR | Vandal (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-vandal-factory-new) [grochalek](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/grochalek) $255 $12.24 0.05x 2026-11-11 23:33 UTC

[★ Stiletto Knife | Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-slaughter-field-tested) Hidden $255 $470 1.84x 2026-11-11 21:52 UTC

[★ Flip Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) Hidden $255 $360 1.41x 2026-11-11 21:52 UTC

[★ Classic Knife | Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-slaughter-field-tested) [grochalek](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/grochalek) $255 $217 0.85x 2026-11-11 21:52 UTC

[M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) Hidden $255 $152 0.60x 2026-11-11 19:12 UTC

[★ Classic Knife | Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-slaughter-field-tested) Hidden $255 $217 0.85x 2026-11-11 19:12 UTC

[AWP | Wildfire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-field-tested) Hidden $255 $54.76 0.21x 2026-11-11 19:12 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 20:45 UTC | $255 | 87.50% | 27 |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $254 | 87.50% | 27 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $255 | 87.50% | 27 |
| 10 Nov, 02:18 UTC | $256 | 87.50% | 27 |
| 8 Nov, 23:35 UTC | $258 | 87.50% | 27 |
| 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $256 | 87.50% | 27 |
| 8 Nov, 05:24 UTC | $256 | 87.50% | 27 |
| 7 Nov, 23:20 UTC | $256 | 87.50% | 27 |
| 6 Nov, 23:04 UTC | $256 | 87.50% | 27 |
| 6 Nov, 17:00 UTC | $256 | 87.50% | 27 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $256 | 87.50% | 27 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $258 | 87.50% | 27 |
| 4 Nov, 22:36 UTC | $256 | 87.50% | 27 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $259 | 87.50% | 27 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed classified 14.3% covert 42.9% extraordinary 14.3% gold 4.8% pink 3.8% Ancient 2.4% red 2.4% Legendary 1.0% mil spec 4.8% blue 4.8% violet 4.8% best hit $1,466 (5.66x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.50 on average: an expected loss of $12.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt