---
title: "PLANT B case on Casehug: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "PLANT B ($36.00) on Casehug, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.50% from 27 items with odds, observed 89.15% over 3,715 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/plant-b
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:53Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) / [PLANT B](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/plant-b)

# [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) · PLANT B

A case on Casehug (REGULAR CASES), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/plant-b?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/plant-b?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/plant-b) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/plant-b?window=all)

Price · $36.00

Advertised RTP · 87.50% · EV $31.50 from 27 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 89.15% · 3,715 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 17.6% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 66.2% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 88.10% ±9.55 497 openings

7 days · 90.16% ±3.94 3,204 openings

30 days · 89.15% ±3.63 3,715 openings

since tracking started · 89.15% ±3.63 3,715 openings

78.0% 88.3% 98.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/plant-b?window=24h) | 497 | 88.10% ±9.55 | +0.2σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/plant-b?window=7d) | 3,204 | 90.16% ±3.94 | +1.3σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/plant-b) | 3,715 | 89.15% ±3.63 | +0.8σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/plant-b?window=all) | 3,715 | 89.15% ±3.63 | +0.8σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 27 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,719 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $1,396 | 0.9% | 3 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 3,333 | $879 | 0.8% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 1,667 | $470 | 0.9% | 2 | 2.2 | 0.90× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,429 | $359 | 0.8% | 3 | 2.6 | 1.15× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Crimson Weave (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-crimson-weave-well-worn) | 1 in 1,111 | $291 | 0.8% | 2 | 3.3 | 0.60× |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 833 | $213 | 0.8% | 2 | 4.5 | 0.45× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Bronze Morph (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-bronze-morph-minimal-wear) | 1 in 667 | $170 | 0.8% | 5 | 5.6 | 0.90× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 1,429 | $156 | 0.3% | 0 | 2.6 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 588 | $156 | 0.8% | 5 | 6.3 | 0.79× |
| [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-field-tested) | 1 in 47 | $128 | 8.7% | 14 | 79.2 | 0.18× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-web-battle-scarred) | 1 in 84 | $127 | 4.8% | 0 | 44.3 | 0.00× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 44 | $119 | 8.7% | 124 | 85.2 | 1.46× |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-battle-scarred) | 1 in 33 | $73.54 | 7.2% | 179 | 114.2 | 1.57× |
| [AK-47 \| Nouveau Rouge (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nouveau-rouge-factory-new) | 1 in 714 | $59.76 | 0.3% | 0 | 5.2 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $57.05 | 7.2% | 175 | 146.9 | 1.19× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $55.72 | 7.1% | 195 | 150.2 | 1.30× |
| [AWP \| Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-field-tested) | 10.4% | $44.35 | 14.7% | 285 | 387.1 | 0.74× |
| [AK-47 \| Head Shot (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-head-shot-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $37.36 | 6.9% | 0 | 216.1 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Head Shot (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-head-shot-battle-scarred) | 1 in 23 | $33.08 | 4.5% | 0 | 160.7 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Nouveau Rouge (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nouveau-rouge-minimal-wear) | 1 in 128 | $25.34 | 0.6% | 0 | 29.0 | 0.00× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Xiangliu (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-xiangliu-well-worn) | 11.0% | $15.47 | 5.4% | 434 | 410.2 | 1.06× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Memento (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-memento-factory-new) | 11.5% | $13.95 | 5.1% | 405 | 427.7 | 0.95× |
| [Galil AR \| Vandal (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-vandal-factory-new) | 12.1% | $12.26 | 4.7% | 480 | 450.4 | 1.07× |
| [AK-47 \| Nouveau Rouge (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nouveau-rouge-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $10.97 | 0.9% | 0 | 94.1 | 0.00× |
| [MAC-10 \| Tatter (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-tatter-factory-new) | 13.3% | $9.67 | 4.1% | 471 | 495.0 | 0.95× |
| [AK-47 \| Nouveau Rouge (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nouveau-rouge-well-worn) | 1 in 21 | $6.95 | 1.1% | 0 | 177.8 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Nouveau Rouge (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nouveau-rouge-battle-scarred) | 1 in 17 | $6.03 | 1.1% | 0 | 216.8 | 0.00× |

Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `casehug:cases/plant-b`, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-minimal-wear) [Prostě Cába](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Prost%C4%9B%20C%C3%A1ba) $36.00 $1,442 40.05x 2026-11-05 13:49 UTC

[M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-minimal-wear) [Karolak SKINS skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Karolak%20SKINS%20skins.army) $36.00 $1,415 39.30x 2026-11-07 18:46 UTC

[M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-minimal-wear) Hidden $36.00 $1,415 39.30x 2026-11-07 12:14 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=casehug&case=plant-b)

[MAC-10 | Tatter (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-tatter-factory-new) [Kaprix skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Kaprix%20skins.army) $36.00 $9.67 0.27x 2026-11-11 13:38 UTC

[AWP | Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-field-tested) [Kaprix skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Kaprix%20skins.army) $36.00 $44.35 1.23x 2026-11-11 13:38 UTC

[USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-battle-scarred) [Kaprix skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Kaprix%20skins.army) $36.00 $73.54 2.04x 2026-11-11 13:38 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Memento (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-memento-factory-new) Hidden $36.00 $13.95 0.39x 2026-11-11 13:35 UTC

[USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-battle-scarred) Hidden $36.00 $73.54 2.04x 2026-11-11 13:35 UTC

[USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-battle-scarred) [Salik skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Salik%20skins.army) $36.00 $73.54 2.04x 2026-11-11 13:35 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-xiangliu-well-worn) Hidden $36.00 $15.47 0.43x 2026-11-11 13:34 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-xiangliu-well-worn) Hidden $36.00 $15.47 0.43x 2026-11-11 13:34 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Memento (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-memento-factory-new) [Salik skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Salik%20skins.army) $36.00 $13.95 0.39x 2026-11-11 13:34 UTC

[MAC-10 | Tatter (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-tatter-factory-new) Hidden $36.00 $9.67 0.27x 2026-11-11 13:33 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $36.00 | 87.50% | 27 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $36.00 | 87.00% | 27 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $36.00 | 87.61% | 27 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $36.00 | 87.53% | 27 |
| 9 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $36.00 | 88.05% | 27 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $36.00 | 87.77% | 27 |
| 8 Nov, 23:35 UTC | $36.00 | 88.05% | 27 |
| 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $36.00 | 87.77% | 27 |
| 7 Nov, 23:20 UTC | $36.00 | 87.77% | 27 |
| 7 Nov, 11:11 UTC | $36.00 | 87.76% | 27 |
| 6 Nov, 23:04 UTC | $36.00 | 87.36% | 27 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $36.00 | 87.67% | 27 |
| 4 Nov, 22:36 UTC | $36.00 | 87.64% | 27 |
| 4 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $36.00 | 87.70% | 27 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $36.00 | 87.61% | 27 |
| 3 Nov, 10:08 UTC | $36.00 | 87.37% | 27 |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | $36.00 | 87.38% | 27 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed classified 21.5% covert 13.6% extraordinary 1.5% gold 2.3% pink 13.3% Ancient 5.8% red 4.3% Legendary 0.8% mil spec 11.5% blue 12.1% violet 13.3% best hit $1,442 (40.05x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.50 on average: an expected loss of $12.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt