---
title: "REDSTONE case on Casehug: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "REDSTONE ($800.00) on Casehug, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.50% from 49 items with odds, observed 87.34% over 745 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/redstone
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:35Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) / [REDSTONE](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/redstone)

# [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) · REDSTONE

A case on Casehug (PREMIUM), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/redstone?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/redstone?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/redstone) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/redstone?window=all)

Price · $800.00

Advertised RTP · 87.50% · EV $700.01 from 49 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 87.34% · 745 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 24.3% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 72.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 69 openings · below min

7 days · 88.28% ±6.44 601 openings

30 days · 87.34% ±5.81 745 openings

since tracking started · 87.34% ±5.81 745 openings

69.0% 88.0% 107.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/redstone?window=24h) | 69 | 88.01% ±18.3 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/redstone?window=7d) | 601 | 88.28% ±6.44 | +0.2σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/redstone) | 745 | 87.34% ±5.81 | −0.1σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/redstone?window=all) | 745 | 87.34% ±5.81 | −0.1σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 49 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 745 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 2,000 | $8,950 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) | 1 in 1,250 | $6,120 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,250 | $5,630 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Slingshot (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-slingshot-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $4,366 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Medusa (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-minimal-wear) | 1 in 909 | $4,065 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 185 | $2,787 | 2.1% | 3 | 4.0 | 0.75× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 182 | $2,738 | 2.2% | 4 | 4.1 | 0.98× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-battle-scarred) | 1 in 172 | $2,592 | 2.1% | 5 | 4.3 | 1.16× |
| [AWP \| The Prince (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-field-tested) | 1 in 145 | $2,171 | 2.1% | 4 | 5.1 | 0.78× |
| [AK-47 \| X-Ray (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-factory-new) | 1 in 1,111 | $2,110 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 137 | $2,049 | 2.1% | 4 | 5.4 | 0.74× |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Spearmint (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-spearmint-field-tested) | 1 in 135 | $2,038 | 2.2% | 3 | 5.5 | 0.54× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 103 | $1,971 | 2.7% | 2 | 7.2 | 0.28× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 90 | $1,719 | 2.7% | 11 | 8.3 | 1.33× |
| [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 85 | $1,635 | 2.7% | 9 | 8.7 | 1.03× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Superconductor (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-well-worn) | 1 in 85 | $1,630 | 2.7% | 12 | 8.7 | 1.38× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Crimson Weave (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-crimson-weave-minimal-wear) | 1 in 83 | $1,593 | 2.7% | 8 | 8.9 | 0.89× |
| [AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-field-tested) | 1 in 82 | $1,569 | 2.7% | 14 | 9.1 | 1.54× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-minimal-wear) | 1 in 667 | $1,498 | 0.3% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [★ Karambit \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 222 | $1,461 | 0.9% | 0 | 3.4 | 0.00× |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $1,441 | 0.5% | 0 | 1.9 | 0.00× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 70 | $1,345 | 2.7% | 8 | 10.6 | 0.76× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 56 | $1,138 | 2.9% | 10 | 13.4 | 0.75× |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 53 | $1,096 | 2.9% | 16 | 14.0 | 1.14× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Arid (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-arid-field-tested) | 1 in 52 | $1,073 | 2.9% | 19 | 14.2 | 1.34× |
| [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-well-worn) | 1 in 172 | $1,014 | 0.8% | 0 | 4.3 | 0.00× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Slingshot (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-slingshot-minimal-wear) | 1 in 57 | $968 | 2.4% | 0 | 13.0 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-field-tested) | 1 in 147 | $933 | 0.9% | 0 | 5.1 | 0.00× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 43 | $887 | 2.9% | 23 | 17.2 | 1.34× |
| [★ Karambit \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 41 | $840 | 2.9% | 11 | 18.2 | 0.61× |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 120 | $825 | 1.0% | 0 | 6.2 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 26 | $797 | 4.4% | 37 | 28.7 | 1.29× |
| [AWP \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 26 | $793 | 4.3% | 24 | 28.3 | 0.85× |
| [★ Karambit \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 39 | $759 | 2.8% | 0 | 19.0 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| X-Ray (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-field-tested) | 1 in 69 | $745 | 1.5% | 0 | 10.7 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-battle-scarred) | 1 in 63 | $716 | 1.6% | 0 | 11.9 | 0.00× |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 23 | $584 | 3.6% | 37 | 32.0 | 1.15× |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 49 | $580 | 1.7% | 0 | 15.3 | 0.00× |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 23 | $558 | 3.5% | 29 | 32.6 | 0.89× |
| [AK-47 \| X-Ray (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-well-worn) | 1 in 45 | $551 | 1.7% | 0 | 16.4 | 0.00× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 21 | $446 | 3.1% | 37 | 35.7 | 1.04× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-field-tested) | 1 in 53 | $446 | 1.2% | 0 | 14.2 | 0.00× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-well-worn) | 1 in 40 | $365 | 1.3% | 0 | 18.8 | 0.00× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 19 | $349 | 2.6% | 36 | 39.3 | 0.92× |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-crimson-web-battle-scarred) | 1 in 18 | $294 | 2.4% | 50 | 42.2 | 1.19× |
| [SG 553 \| Hazard Pay (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-hazard-pay-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $273 | 2.3% | 54 | 43.4 | 1.25× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $232 | 2.1% | 36 | 46.3 | 0.78× |
| [MP5-SD \| Oxide Oasis (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-oxide-oasis-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $179 | 1.8% | 52 | 51.4 | 1.01× |
| [P90 \| Run and Hide (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-run-and-hide-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $158 | 1.6% | 50 | 53.6 | 0.93× |

Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `casehug:cases/redstone`, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-battle-scarred) [愛](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/%E6%84%9B) $800 $6,009 7.51x 2026-11-06 17:49 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $800 $2,818 3.52x 2026-11-03 11:51 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new) [liv](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/liv) $800 $2,808 3.51x 2026-11-03 20:57 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $800 $2,803 3.50x 2026-11-07 14:20 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $800 $2,801 3.50x 2026-11-05 03:12 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) [mASKED](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/mASKED) $800 $2,801 3.50x 2026-11-05 19:22 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) [Rysiu](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Rysiu) $800 $2,784 3.48x 2026-11-07 13:20 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $800 $2,771 3.46x 2026-11-08 18:55 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-battle-scarred) Hidden $800 $2,694 3.37x 2026-11-05 21:05 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-battle-scarred) Hidden $800 $2,694 3.37x 2026-11-05 21:05 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=casehug&case=redstone)

[AWP | Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-factory-new) Hidden $800 $793 0.99x 2026-11-11 13:09 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-well-worn) Hidden $800 $1,630 2.04x 2026-11-11 13:09 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Arid (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-arid-field-tested) [roninbaby](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/roninbaby) $800 $1,073 1.34x 2026-11-11 13:09 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Arid (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-arid-field-tested) [Rysiu](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Rysiu) $800 $1,073 1.34x 2026-11-11 12:38 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Vice gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice) [Rysiu](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Rysiu) $800 $436 0.54x 2026-11-11 12:38 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) [Rysiu](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Rysiu) $800 $797 1.00x 2026-11-11 12:38 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-fade-factory-new) [Rysiu](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Rysiu) $800 $446 0.56x 2026-11-11 12:38 UTC

[MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-oxide-oasis-field-tested) [Rysiu](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Rysiu) $800 $179 0.22x 2026-11-11 12:38 UTC

[★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new) [Rysiu](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Rysiu) $800 $1,635 2.04x 2026-11-11 12:38 UTC

[★ Stiletto Knife | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-crimson-web-battle-scarred) [Rysiu](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Rysiu) $800 $294 0.37x 2026-11-11 12:38 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $800 | 87.50% | 49 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $800 | 87.93% | 49 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $800 | 87.57% | 49 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $800 | 87.91% | 49 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $800 | 87.59% | 49 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $800 | 87.63% | 49 |
| 8 Nov, 23:35 UTC | $800 | 87.59% | 49 |
| 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $800 | 87.54% | 49 |
| 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $800 | 87.88% | 49 |
| 6 Nov, 23:04 UTC | $800 | 87.90% | 49 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $800 | 87.90% | 49 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $800 | 87.25% | 49 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $800 | 87.83% | 49 |
| 4 Nov, 22:36 UTC | $800 | 87.25% | 49 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $800 | 87.67% | 49 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $800 | 87.98% | 49 |
| 3 Nov, 15:55 UTC | $800 | 87.61% | 49 |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | $800 | 87.81% | 49 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 53.9% contraband 0.1% extraordinary 12.2% sunny 0.5% #ffd700 0.7% epic 0.7% Covert 1.2% rare 3.9% gold 2.5% legendary 4.4% #d32ee6 5.8% pink 14.1% best hit $6,009 (7.51x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.50 on average: an expected loss of $12.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt