---
title: "RUBY HUNT JOKER case on Casehug: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "RUBY HUNT JOKER ($1,472.28) on Casehug, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.50% from 19 items with odds, observed 87.06% over 940 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/ruby-hunt-joker
rendered: 2026-11-11T15:40Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) / [RUBY HUNT JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/ruby-hunt-joker)

# [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) · RUBY HUNT JOKER

A case on Casehug, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/ruby-hunt-joker?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/ruby-hunt-joker?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/ruby-hunt-joker) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/ruby-hunt-joker?window=all)

Price · $1,472.28

Advertised RTP · 87.50% · EV $1,288.24 from 19 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 87.06% · 940 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 11.8% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 76.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 82 openings · below min

7 days · 86.25% ±10.00 914 openings

30 days · 87.06% ±9.86 940 openings

since tracking started · 87.06% ±9.86 940 openings

56.5% 90.5% 124.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/ruby-hunt-joker?window=24h) | 82 | 90.53% ±33.6 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/ruby-hunt-joker?window=7d) | 914 | 86.25% ±10.0 | −0.2σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/ruby-hunt-joker) | 940 | 87.06% ±9.86 | −0.1σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/ruby-hunt-joker?window=all) | 940 | 87.06% ±9.86 | −0.1σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 19 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,011 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 17 | $9,792 | 44.7% | 62 | 59.5 | 1.04× |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · legendary · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 17 | $2,858 | 13.1% | 56 | 59.5 | 0.94× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 17 | $2,233 | 10.2% | 64 | 59.5 | 1.08× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 17 | $1,836 | 8.4% | 63 | 59.5 | 1.06× |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · gold · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 17 | $1,364 | 6.2% | 48 | 59.5 | 0.81× |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 17 | $872 | 4.0% | 65 | 59.5 | 1.09× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 17 | $866 | 4.0% | 62 | 59.5 | 1.04× |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · legendary · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 17 | $696 | 3.2% | 48 | 59.5 | 0.81× |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · legendary · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 17 | $595 | 2.7% | 61 | 59.5 | 1.03× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 17 | $429 | 2.0% | 57 | 59.5 | 0.96× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 17 | $331 | 1.5% | 57 | 59.5 | 0.96× |
| [AWP \| Duality (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-factory-new) | 1 in 34 | $11.52 | 0.0% | 0 | 29.7 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-minimal-wear) | 1 in 34 | $7.37 | 0.0% | 0 | 29.7 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Duality (Minimal Wear) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-minimal-wear) | 1 in 34 | $6.09 | 0.0% | 0 | 29.7 | 0.00× |
| [G3SG1 \| Orange Kimono (Battle-Scarred) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-orange-kimono-battle-scarred) | 1 in 17 | $4.88 | 0.0% | 68 | 59.5 | 1.14× |
| [AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-field-tested) | 1 in 34 | $4.85 | 0.0% | 0 | 29.7 | 0.00× |
| [Sticker \| Taste Buddy (Holo) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-taste-buddy-holo) | 1 in 17 | $4.01 | 0.0% | 56 | 59.5 | 0.94× |
| [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off \| Fubar (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-fubar-well-worn) | 1 in 17 | $2.33 | 0.0% | 67 | 59.5 | 1.13× |
| [Sticker \| Cedar Creek (Holo) sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cedar-creek-holo) | 1 in 17 | $1.58 | 0.0% | 59 | 59.5 | 0.99× |

Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `casehug:cases/ruby-hunt-joker`, 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-ruby) [grochalek](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/grochalek) $1,490 $9,868 6.62x 2026-11-05 21:02 UTC

[★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $1,490 $9,868 6.62x 2026-11-05 12:48 UTC

[★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $1,486 $9,868 6.64x 2026-11-04 23:25 UTC

[★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-ruby) [Brugalini14](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Brugalini14) $1,490 $9,868 6.62x 2026-11-04 19:12 UTC

[★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $1,490 $9,868 6.62x 2026-11-04 19:09 UTC

[★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $1,490 $9,868 6.62x 2026-11-04 19:09 UTC

[★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-ruby) [Brugalini14](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Brugalini14) $1,490 $9,868 6.62x 2026-11-04 19:07 UTC

[★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $1,490 $9,868 6.62x 2026-11-04 18:57 UTC

[★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $1,490 $9,868 6.62x 2026-11-04 16:37 UTC

[★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-ruby) [Naturalson](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Naturalson) $1,494 $9,868 6.60x 2026-11-04 11:04 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=casehug&case=ruby-hunt-joker)

[AK-47 | Rat Rod weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod) [DOPAMINOWY KRUL](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/DOPAMINOWY%20KRUL) $1,472 $6.11 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:02 UTC

[AK-47 | Rat Rod weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod) [Naturalson](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Naturalson) $1,472 $6.11 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:32 UTC

[★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · legendary · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) [Rysiu](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Rysiu) $1,472 $2,858 1.94x 2026-11-11 12:32 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) [Naturalson](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Naturalson) $1,472 $2,233 1.52x 2026-11-11 12:32 UTC

[Sticker | Cedar Creek (Holo) sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cedar-creek-holo) [Rysiu](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Rysiu) $1,472 $1.58 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:32 UTC

[AK-47 | Rat Rod weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod) [Naturalson](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Naturalson) $1,472 $6.11 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:32 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) [Rysiu](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Rysiu) $1,472 $2,233 1.52x 2026-11-11 12:32 UTC

[★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $1,472 $866 0.59x 2026-11-11 11:43 UTC

[★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $1,472 $9,792 6.65x 2026-11-11 11:43 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $1,472 $2,233 1.52x 2026-11-11 11:43 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC | $1,472 | 87.50% | 19 |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $1,474 | 87.50% | 19 |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $1,472 | 87.50% | 19 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $1,474 | 87.50% | 19 |
| 10 Nov, 02:18 UTC | $1,478 | 87.50% | 19 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $1,481 | 87.50% | 19 |
| 8 Nov, 23:35 UTC | $1,483 | 87.50% | 19 |
| 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $1,490 | 87.50% | 19 |
| 6 Nov, 10:57 UTC | $1,482 | 87.50% | 19 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $1,486 | 87.50% | 19 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $1,485 | 87.50% | 19 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $1,490 | 87.50% | 19 |
| 5 Nov, 04:40 UTC | $1,486 | 87.50% | 19 |
| 4 Nov, 22:36 UTC | $1,490 | 87.50% | 19 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $1,494 | 87.50% | 19 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 41.2% legendary 17.6% gold 5.9% pink 2.9% restricted 2.9% Classified 2.9% gray 5.9% violet 8.8% #8847ff 5.9% blue 5.9% best hit $9,868 (6.62x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.50 on average: an expected loss of $12.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt