---
title: "RUBY HUNT case on Casehug: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "RUBY HUNT ($14.50) on Casehug, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.50% from 19 items with odds, observed 87.35% over 49.1K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/ruby-hunt
rendered: 2026-11-11T12:46Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) / [RUBY HUNT](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/ruby-hunt)

# [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) · RUBY HUNT

A case on Casehug (PREMIUM FARM), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/ruby-hunt?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/ruby-hunt?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/ruby-hunt) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/ruby-hunt?window=all)

Price · $14.50

Advertised RTP · 87.50% · EV $12.69 from 19 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 87.35% · 49.1K openings, odds method

Variance · 47.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 114 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 98.6% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 81.84% ±15.67 7,578 openings

7 days · 88.10% ±6.76 41.9K openings

30 days · 87.35% ±6.25 49.1K openings

since tracking started · 87.35% ±6.25 49.1K openings

65.5% 81.8% 98.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/ruby-hunt?window=24h) | 7,578 | 81.84% ±15.7 | −0.7σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/ruby-hunt?window=7d) | 41.9K | 88.10% ±6.76 | +0.1σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/ruby-hunt) | 49.1K | 87.35% ±6.25 | −0.1σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/ruby-hunt?window=all) | 49.1K | 87.35% ±6.25 | −0.1σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 19 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 49.3K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 33,333 | $9,792 | 2.3% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.35× |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · legendary · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 14,286 | $2,858 | 1.6% | 1 | 3.5 | 0.29× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 10,000 | $2,233 | 1.8% | 7 | 4.9 | 1.42× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 2,500 | $1,836 | 5.8% | 17 | 19.7 | 0.86× |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · gold · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 1,667 | $1,364 | 6.4% | 30 | 29.6 | 1.01× |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 1,250 | $872 | 5.5% | 50 | 39.5 | 1.27× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 1,111 | $866 | 6.1% | 37 | 44.4 | 0.83× |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · legendary · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 625 | $696 | 8.8% | 82 | 78.9 | 1.04× |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · legendary · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 556 | $595 | 8.4% | 113 | 88.8 | 1.27× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 400 | $429 | 8.5% | 153 | 123.3 | 1.24× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 200 | $331 | 13.1% | 223 | 246.6 | 0.90× |
| [AWP \| Duality (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-factory-new) | 1 in 24 | $11.52 | 3.9% | 0 | 2096.3 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-minimal-wear) | 1 in 19 | $7.37 | 3.1% | 0 | 2604.3 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Duality (Minimal Wear) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $6.09 | 4.4% | 0 | 4547.7 | 0.00× |
| [G3SG1 \| Orange Kimono (Battle-Scarred) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-orange-kimono-battle-scarred) | 15.1% | $4.88 | 5.8% | 5,797 | 7433.1 | 0.78× |
| [AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $4.85 | 3.5% | 0 | 4488.5 | 0.00× |
| [Sticker \| Taste Buddy (Holo) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-taste-buddy-holo) | 16.0% | $4.01 | 5.1% | 7,087 | 7882.0 | 0.90× |
| [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off \| Fubar (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-fubar-well-worn) | 18.8% | $2.33 | 3.5% | 11,095 | 9277.8 | 1.20× |
| [Sticker \| Cedar Creek (Holo) sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cedar-creek-holo) | 20.9% | $1.58 | 2.6% | 14,985 | 10313.6 | 1.45× |

Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `casehug:cases/ruby-hunt`, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $14.50 $9,792 675.3x 2026-11-07 15:42 UTC

[★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $14.50 $9,792 675.3x 2026-11-06 09:41 UTC

[★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · legendary · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $14.50 $2,867 197.7x 2026-11-08 19:19 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $14.50 $2,272 156.7x 2026-11-04 20:38 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $14.50 $2,239 154.4x 2026-11-08 14:29 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) [???????????????????????? ×͜×](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%20%C3%97%CD%9C%C3%97) $14.50 $2,239 154.4x 2026-11-06 16:47 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) [CyberRulz](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/CyberRulz) $14.50 $2,237 154.3x 2026-11-07 18:34 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $14.50 $2,234 154.0x 2026-11-10 05:14 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $14.50 $2,234 154.0x 2026-11-10 19:40 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) [Hor3x)](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Hor3x%29) $14.50 $2,234 154.0x 2026-11-10 19:38 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=casehug&case=ruby-hunt)

[Sticker | Taste Buddy (Holo) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-taste-buddy-holo) Hidden $14.50 $4.01 0.28x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC

[AK-47 | Rat Rod weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod) Hidden $14.50 $5.78 0.40x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC

[G3SG1 | Orange Kimono (Battle-Scarred) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-orange-kimono-battle-scarred) Hidden $14.50 $4.88 0.34x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC

[G3SG1 | Orange Kimono (Battle-Scarred) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-orange-kimono-battle-scarred) [Montana](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Montana) $14.50 $4.88 0.34x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC

[Sticker | Cedar Creek (Holo) sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cedar-creek-holo) Hidden $14.50 $1.58 0.11x 2026-11-11 12:42 UTC

[AWP | Duality weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality) Hidden $14.50 $7.80 0.54x 2026-11-11 12:42 UTC

[Sticker | Cedar Creek (Holo) sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cedar-creek-holo) Hidden $14.50 $1.58 0.11x 2026-11-11 12:42 UTC

[StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-fubar-well-worn) [Montana](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Montana) $14.50 $2.33 0.16x 2026-11-11 12:42 UTC

[G3SG1 | Orange Kimono (Battle-Scarred) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-orange-kimono-battle-scarred) Hidden $14.50 $4.88 0.34x 2026-11-11 12:36 UTC

[Sticker | Cedar Creek (Holo) sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cedar-creek-holo) Hidden $14.50 $1.58 0.11x 2026-11-11 12:36 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $14.50 | 87.50% | 19 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $14.50 | 87.83% | 19 |
| 10 Nov, 02:18 UTC | $14.50 | 87.45% | 19 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $14.50 | 87.77% | 19 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $14.50 | 88.07% | 19 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $14.50 | 87.36% | 19 |
| 8 Nov, 23:35 UTC | $14.50 | 88.07% | 19 |
| 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $14.50 | 87.36% | 19 |
| 7 Nov, 23:20 UTC | $14.50 | 87.99% | 19 |
| 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $14.50 | 87.57% | 19 |
| 7 Nov, 11:11 UTC | $14.50 | 87.59% | 19 |
| 6 Nov, 23:04 UTC | $14.50 | 87.57% | 19 |
| 6 Nov, 17:00 UTC | $14.50 | 87.34% | 19 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $14.50 | 88.08% | 19 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $14.50 | 88.13% | 19 |
| 4 Nov, 22:36 UTC | $14.50 | 87.42% | 19 |
| 4 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $14.50 | 87.58% | 19 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $14.50 | 87.67% | 19 |
| 3 Nov, 15:55 UTC | $14.50 | 87.66% | 19 |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | $14.50 | 87.47% | 19 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 1.0% legendary 0.3% gold 0.1% pink 4.3% restricted 5.3% Classified 9.2% gray 15.1% violet 30.0% #8847ff 16.0% blue 18.8% best hit $9,792 (675.3x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.50 on average: an expected loss of $12.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt