---
title: "SAVANNA case on Casehug: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "SAVANNA ($2.00) on Casehug, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.50% from 106 items with odds, observed 87.12% over 14K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/savanna
rendered: 2026-11-11T17:26Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) / [SAVANNA](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/savanna)

# [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) · SAVANNA

A case on Casehug (REGULAR CASES), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/savanna?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/savanna?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/savanna) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/savanna?window=all)

Price · $2.00

Advertised RTP · 87.50% · EV $1.75 from 106 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 87.12% · 14K openings, odds method

Variance · 2.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 17.8% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 63.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 88.66% ±6.94 1,836 openings

7 days · 87.55% ±2.79 12.2K openings

30 days · 87.12% ±2.59 14K openings

since tracking started · 87.12% ±2.59 14K openings

81.0% 88.8% 96.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/savanna?window=24h) | 1,836 | 88.66% ±6.94 | +0.3σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/savanna?window=7d) | 12.2K | 87.55% ±2.79 | +0.2σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/savanna) | 14K | 87.12% ±2.59 | −0.2σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/savanna?window=all) | 14K | 87.12% ±2.59 | −0.2σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 106 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 14K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-factory-new) | 1 in 100,000 | $282 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33,333 | $156 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-well-worn) | 1 in 33,333 | $143 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-battle-scarred) | 1 in 33,333 | $137 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-field-tested) | 1 in 33,333 | $128 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-factory-new) | 1 in 33,333 | $122 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-minimal-wear) | 1 in 16,667 | $88.63 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-field-tested) | 1 in 12,500 | $74.10 | 0.3% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $60.74 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20,000 | $58.55 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20,000 | $55.92 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-well-worn) | 1 in 16,667 | $53.73 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 16,667 | $53.21 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-minimal-wear) | 1 in 16,667 | $37.10 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-minimal-wear) | 1 in 16,667 | $36.49 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Orbit Mk01 (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-orbit-mk01-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12,500 | $36.38 | 0.2% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14,286 | $36.22 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Orbit Mk01 (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-orbit-mk01-well-worn) | 1 in 11,111 | $33.54 | 0.2% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Orbit Mk01 (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-orbit-mk01-battle-scarred) | 1 in 9,091 | $31.20 | 0.2% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Orbit Mk01 (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-orbit-mk01-field-tested) | 1 in 7,692 | $28.60 | 0.2% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-field-tested) | 1 in 7,143 | $23.75 | 0.2% | 0 | 2.0 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-battle-scarred) | 1 in 6,667 | $23.20 | 0.2% | 0 | 2.1 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-well-worn) | 1 in 6,667 | $23.01 | 0.2% | 0 | 2.1 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-field-tested) | 1 in 6,250 | $21.70 | 0.2% | 0 | 2.2 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-field-tested) | 1 in 6,250 | $20.53 | 0.2% | 0 | 2.2 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-well-worn) | 1 in 5,556 | $20.03 | 0.2% | 0 | 2.5 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,556 | $19.97 | 0.2% | 0 | 2.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-well-worn) | 1 in 5,263 | $18.75 | 0.2% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-battle-scarred) | 1 in 4,348 | $17.12 | 0.2% | 0 | 3.2 | 0.00× |
| [MP7 \| Smoking Kills (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-smoking-kills-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $14.77 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-llama-cannon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,263 | $14.67 | 0.2% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Llama Cannon (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-llama-cannon-field-tested) | 1 in 4,545 | $13.85 | 0.2% | 0 | 3.1 | 0.00× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Llama Cannon (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-llama-cannon-well-worn) | 1 in 4,348 | $13.37 | 0.2% | 0 | 3.2 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Basilisk (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-basilisk-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,556 | $13.36 | 0.1% | 0 | 2.5 | 0.00× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Llama Cannon (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-llama-cannon-battle-scarred) | 1 in 3,571 | $12.07 | 0.2% | 0 | 3.9 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Eye of Athena (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-eye-of-athena-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $10.52 | 0.1% | 0 | 2.8 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Basilisk (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-basilisk-battle-scarred) | 1 in 3,030 | $9.80 | 0.2% | 0 | 4.6 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Basilisk (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-basilisk-well-worn) | 1 in 3,030 | $9.75 | 0.2% | 0 | 4.6 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,556 | $9.67 | 0.1% | 0 | 2.5 | 0.00× |
| [P250 \| Epicenter (Minimal Wear) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-epicenter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $9.58 | 0.1% | 0 | 2.8 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Basilisk (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-basilisk-field-tested) | 1 in 2,564 | $8.89 | 0.2% | 0 | 5.5 | 0.00× |
| [Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $8.86 | 0.1% | 0 | 2.8 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Cortex (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,545 | $8.17 | 0.1% | 0 | 3.1 | 0.00× |
| [MP7 \| Smoking Kills (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-smoking-kills-field-tested) | 1 in 3,030 | $7.99 | 0.2% | 0 | 4.6 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| PAW (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-paw-factory-new) | 1 in 1,176 | $6.98 | 0.3% | 0 | 11.9 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Eye of Athena (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-eye-of-athena-field-tested) | 1 in 352 | $6.32 | 1.0% | 0 | 39.9 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Eye of Athena (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-eye-of-athena-well-worn) | 1 in 338 | $6.19 | 1.0% | 0 | 41.6 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Eye of Athena (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-eye-of-athena-battle-scarred) | 1 in 328 | $6.10 | 1.1% | 0 | 42.8 | 0.00× |
| [MP7 \| Smoking Kills (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-smoking-kills-well-worn) | 1 in 292 | $5.78 | 1.1% | 0 | 48.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-field-tested) | 1 in 350 | $5.57 | 0.9% | 0 | 40.2 | 0.00× |
| [P250 \| Epicenter (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-epicenter-well-worn) | 1 in 296 | $5.37 | 1.0% | 0 | 47.5 | 0.00× |
| [P250 \| Epicenter (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-epicenter-field-tested) | 1 in 286 | $5.28 | 1.1% | 0 | 49.2 | 0.00× |
| [P250 \| Epicenter (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-epicenter-battle-scarred) | 1 in 271 | $5.14 | 1.1% | 0 | 51.8 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Solitude (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-solitude-minimal-wear) | 1 in 299 | $4.85 | 0.9% | 0 | 47.1 | 0.00× |
| [Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-field-tested) | 1 in 120 | $4.80 | 2.3% | 0 | 116.7 | 0.00× |
| [MP7 \| Smoking Kills (Battle-Scarred) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-smoking-kills-battle-scarred) | 1 in 85 | $4.76 | 3.2% | 0 | 166.2 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Worm God (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-worm-god-factory-new) | 1 in 174 | $4.62 | 1.5% | 0 | 80.6 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Flashback (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-flashback-factory-new) | 1 in 735 | $4.42 | 0.3% | 0 | 19.1 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-battle-scarred) | 1 in 92 | $4.38 | 2.7% | 0 | 152.7 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-well-worn) | 1 in 91 | $4.36 | 2.7% | 0 | 154.1 | 0.00× |
| [Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-well-worn) | 1 in 94 | $4.24 | 2.6% | 0 | 149.8 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Cortex (Well-Worn) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-well-worn) | 1 in 97 | $4.23 | 2.5% | 0 | 145.0 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) | 1 in 95 | $4.19 | 2.5% | 0 | 147.8 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Cortex (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-battle-scarred) | 1 in 95 | $4.19 | 2.5% | 0 | 147.8 | 0.00× |
| [Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-battle-scarred) | 1 in 84 | $4.01 | 2.7% | 0 | 167.2 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| PAW (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-paw-minimal-wear) | 1 in 146 | $3.76 | 1.5% | 0 | 96.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Worm God (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-worm-god-minimal-wear) | 1 in 82 | $3.17 | 2.2% | 0 | 171.3 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Worm God (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-worm-god-well-worn) | 1 in 50 | $2.77 | 3.2% | 0 | 281.5 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Worm God (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-worm-god-field-tested) | 1 in 48 | $2.72 | 3.2% | 0 | 291.8 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| PAW (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-paw-well-worn) | 1 in 55 | $2.57 | 2.7% | 0 | 257.7 | 0.00× |
| [M249 \| Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-emerald-poison-dart-factory-new) | 1 in 55 | $2.57 | 2.7% | 0 | 254.8 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| PAW (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-paw-battle-scarred) | 1 in 52 | $2.51 | 2.8% | 0 | 270.2 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| PAW (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-paw-field-tested) | 1 in 51 | $2.48 | 2.8% | 0 | 276.6 | 0.00× |
| [XM1014 \| Solitude (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-solitude-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12 | $2.40 | 11.1% | 1,162 | 1133.9 | 1.02× |
| [MP7 \| Guerrilla (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-guerrilla-minimal-wear) | 1 in 123 | $2.31 | 1.1% | 0 | 114.4 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Solitude (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-solitude-well-worn) | 1 in 109 | $1.96 | 1.0% | 0 | 128.4 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Solitude (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-solitude-field-tested) | 1 in 98 | $1.86 | 1.1% | 0 | 143.2 | 0.00× |
| [M249 \| Emerald Poison Dart (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-emerald-poison-dart-minimal-wear) | 1 in 69 | $1.68 | 1.4% | 0 | 202.2 | 0.00× |
| [M249 \| Emerald Poison Dart (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-emerald-poison-dart-field-tested) | 1 in 63 | $1.58 | 1.4% | 0 | 221.8 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Pit Viper (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $1.58 | 3.6% | 612 | 566.5 | 1.08× |
| [Glock-18 \| Coral Bloom (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-coral-bloom-factory-new) | 1 in 513 | $1.42 | 0.2% | 0 | 27.4 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Solitude (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-solitude-battle-scarred) | 1 in 65 | $1.41 | 1.2% | 0 | 216.8 | 0.00× |
| [MP5-SD \| Gauss (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-gauss-minimal-wear) | 1 in 136 | $1.16 | 0.5% | 0 | 103.0 | 0.00× |
| [MP7 \| Guerrilla (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-guerrilla-field-tested) | 1 in 85 | $0.98 | 0.7% | 0 | 164.7 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Flashback (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-flashback-minimal-wear) | 1 in 83 | $0.80 | 0.6% | 0 | 169.1 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Flashback (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-flashback-battle-scarred) | 1 in 83 | $0.80 | 0.6% | 0 | 169.1 | 0.00× |
| [MP5-SD \| Gauss (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-gauss-field-tested) | 1 in 64 | $0.70 | 0.6% | 0 | 219.7 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Flashback (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-flashback-well-worn) | 1 in 64 | $0.67 | 0.6% | 0 | 220.7 | 0.00× |
| [MP7 \| Guerrilla (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-guerrilla-well-worn) | 1 in 48 | $0.67 | 0.8% | 0 | 291.2 | 0.00× |
| [MP5-SD \| Gauss (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-gauss-well-worn) | 1 in 60 | $0.67 | 0.6% | 0 | 234.6 | 0.00× |
| [MP7 \| Guerrilla (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-guerrilla-battle-scarred) | 1 in 47 | $0.66 | 0.8% | 0 | 297.8 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Flashback (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-flashback-field-tested) | 1 in 54 | $0.60 | 0.6% | 0 | 260.3 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Coral Bloom (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-coral-bloom-minimal-wear) | 1 in 134 | $0.58 | 0.2% | 0 | 104.7 | 0.00× |
| [MP5-SD \| Gauss (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-gauss-battle-scarred) | 1 in 47 | $0.57 | 0.7% | 0 | 299.0 | 0.00× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-jungle-slipstream-factory-new) | 1 in 68 | $0.55 | 0.5% | 0 | 205.3 | 0.00× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Jungle Slipstream (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-jungle-slipstream-field-tested) | 1 in 54 | $0.47 | 0.5% | 0 | 259.6 | 0.00× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Jungle Slipstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-jungle-slipstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 54 | $0.47 | 0.5% | 0 | 259.6 | 0.00× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Bone Forged (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-bone-forged-factory-new) | 1 in 62 | $0.46 | 0.4% | 0 | 225.2 | 0.00× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Bone Forged (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-bone-forged-well-worn) | 1 in 56 | $0.43 | 0.4% | 0 | 249.1 | 0.00× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Jungle Slipstream (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-jungle-slipstream-well-worn) | 1 in 44 | $0.41 | 0.5% | 0 | 318.8 | 0.00× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Bone Forged (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-bone-forged-field-tested) | 1 in 45 | $0.37 | 0.5% | 0 | 312.0 | 0.00× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Bone Forged (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-bone-forged-minimal-wear) | 1 in 40 | $0.34 | 0.5% | 0 | 354.2 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Coral Bloom (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-coral-bloom-well-worn) | 1 in 52 | $0.31 | 0.3% | 0 | 267.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) | 10.3% | $0.24 | 1.4% | 1,421 | 1453.4 | 0.98× |
| [Glock-18 \| Coral Bloom (Field-Tested) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-coral-bloom-field-tested) | 1 in 29 | $0.21 | 0.4% | 0 | 480.1 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Coral Bloom (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-coral-bloom-battle-scarred) | 1 in 27 | $0.20 | 0.4% | 0 | 520.4 | 0.00× |

Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `casehug:cases/savanna`, 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire) Hidden $2.00 $166 82.86x 2026-11-05 21:46 UTC

[M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire) [Otwieracz Do Piwa CS2.ME](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Otwieracz%20Do%20Piwa%20CS2.ME) $2.00 $160 79.93x 2026-11-07 11:05 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=casehug&case=savanna)

[XM1014 | Solitude (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-solitude-minimal-wear) [K1KUT](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/K1KUT) $2.00 $2.40 1.20x 2026-11-11 17:25 UTC

[AWP | Pit Viper (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.00 $1.58 0.79x 2026-11-11 17:21 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-jungle-slipstream) Hidden $2.00 $0.47 0.24x 2026-11-11 17:21 UTC

[MP7 | Guerrilla weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-guerrilla) [kacper.oleksy71717](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/kacper.oleksy71717) $2.00 $0.94 0.47x 2026-11-11 17:21 UTC

[AWP | Worm God weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-worm-god) Hidden $2.00 $3.02 1.51x 2026-11-11 17:21 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Bone Forged weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-bone-forged) Hidden $2.00 $0.39 0.20x 2026-11-11 17:21 UTC

[MP7 | Guerrilla weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-guerrilla) [kacper.oleksy71717](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/kacper.oleksy71717) $2.00 $0.94 0.47x 2026-11-11 17:21 UTC

[AWP | Atheris weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris) Hidden $2.00 $4.55 2.28x 2026-11-11 17:21 UTC

[AWP | PAW weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-paw) Hidden $2.00 $2.71 1.36x 2026-11-11 17:21 UTC

[XM1014 | Solitude (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-solitude-minimal-wear) [kacper.oleksy71717](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/kacper.oleksy71717) $2.00 $2.40 1.20x 2026-11-11 17:21 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $2.00 | 87.50% | 106 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $2.00 | 87.23% | 106 |
| 10 Nov, 08:21 UTC | $2.00 | 87.54% | 106 |
| 10 Nov, 02:18 UTC | $2.00 | 87.85% | 106 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $2.00 | 87.54% | 106 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $2.00 | 87.27% | 106 |
| 9 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $2.00 | 87.20% | 106 |
| 8 Nov, 23:35 UTC | $2.00 | 87.27% | 106 |
| 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $2.00 | 87.20% | 106 |
| 8 Nov, 05:24 UTC | $2.00 | 87.25% | 106 |
| 7 Nov, 23:20 UTC | $2.00 | 87.26% | 106 |
| 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $2.00 | 87.79% | 106 |
| 6 Nov, 23:04 UTC | $2.00 | 87.26% | 106 |
| 6 Nov, 10:57 UTC | $2.00 | 87.53% | 106 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $2.00 | 87.21% | 106 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $2.00 | 86.23% | 106 |
| 5 Nov, 10:43 UTC | $2.00 | 87.33% | 106 |
| 4 Nov, 22:36 UTC | $2.00 | 87.79% | 106 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $2.00 | 87.15% | 106 |
| 4 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $2.00 | 87.33% | 106 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $2.00 | 87.15% | 106 |
| 3 Nov, 10:08 UTC | $2.00 | 87.54% | 106 |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | $2.00 | 87.30% | 106 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.0% red 0.0% pink 4.2% classified 3.2% restricted 27.0% violet 2.1% Legendary 2.1% uncommon 1.6% #8847ff 12.3% #d32ce6 1.9% Classified 1.0% Mythical 2.7% blue 17.8% Rare 0.7% #4b69ff 7.5% mil spec 2.3% industrial 10.3% common 3.4% best hit $166 (82.86x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.50 on average: an expected loss of $12.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt