---
title: "SNAKE case on Casehug: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "SNAKE ($112.50) on Casehug, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.73% from 25 items with odds, observed 88.17% over 3,549 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/snake
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:18Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) / [SNAKE](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/snake)

# [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) · SNAKE

A case on Casehug (BATTLE), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/snake?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/snake?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/snake) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/snake?window=all)

Price · $112.50

Advertised RTP · 87.73% · EV $98.70 from 25 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 88.17% · 3,549 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 16.6% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 67.8% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 86.27% ±10.72 401 openings

7 days · 87.43% ±3.95 2,907 openings

30 days · 88.17% ±3.57 3,549 openings

since tracking started · 88.17% ±3.57 3,549 openings

75.0% 86.3% 97.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/snake?window=24h) | 401 | 86.27% ±10.7 | −0.3σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/snake?window=7d) | 2,907 | 87.43% ±3.95 | −0.1σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/snake) | 3,549 | 88.17% ±3.57 | +0.3σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/snake?window=all) | 3,549 | 88.17% ±3.57 | +0.3σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 25 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,560 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $2,748 | 0.8% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 2,500 | $1,956 | 0.8% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.70× |
| [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,648 | 0.8% | 3 | 1.8 | 1.69× |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 1,429 | $1,123 | 0.8% | 3 | 2.5 | 1.20× |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 1,429 | $1,044 | 0.7% | 4 | 2.5 | 1.61× |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 769 | $595 | 0.8% | 3 | 4.6 | 0.65× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 714 | $553 | 0.8% | 5 | 5.0 | 1.00× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $493 | 0.7% | 6 | 5.3 | 1.12× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 74 | $396 | 5.4% | 37 | 48.1 | 0.77× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 56 | $302 | 5.4% | 78 | 63.0 | 1.24× |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 53 | $285 | 5.4% | 69 | 66.9 | 1.03× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 10.9% | $264 | 29.1% | 371 | 388.4 | 0.96× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 15 | $153 | 10.3% | 291 | 237.5 | 1.23× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $114 | 10.4% | 262 | 320.0 | 0.82× |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Field-Tested) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $84.20 | 5.2% | 240 | 217.2 | 1.11× |
| [AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-minimal-wear) | 1 in 35 | $64.44 | 1.9% | 0 | 101.1 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 32 | $55.33 | 1.7% | 0 | 111.1 | 0.00× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Black Limba (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-black-limba-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $54.54 | 4.0% | 254 | 260.6 | 0.97× |
| [AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $45.17 | 2.1% | 0 | 164.1 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $42.24 | 2.0% | 0 | 164.1 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12 | $36.49 | 3.2% | 310 | 304.0 | 1.02× |
| [USP-S \| Road Rash (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-road-rash-battle-scarred) | 1 in 12 | $35.17 | 3.1% | 316 | 308.7 | 1.02× |
| [Souvenir XM1014 \| Elegant Vines (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-xm1014-elegant-vines-minimal-wear) | 1 in 21 | $23.06 | 1.1% | 0 | 168.7 | 0.00× |
| [Souvenir XM1014 \| Elegant Vines (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-xm1014-elegant-vines-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $19.45 | 1.2% | 0 | 212.2 | 0.00× |
| [P90 \| Death Grip (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-grip-well-worn) | 11.2% | $18.47 | 2.1% | 395 | 400.1 | 0.99× |

Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `casehug:cases/snake`, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [hossy](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/hossy) $113 $2,221 19.74x 2026-11-07 14:52 UTC

[★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new) [CyberRulz](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/CyberRulz) $113 $1,680 14.93x 2026-11-06 20:12 UTC

[★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new) [CyberRulz](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/CyberRulz) $113 $1,662 14.78x 2026-11-04 20:52 UTC

[★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new) [Gerdziu](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Gerdziu) $113 $1,656 14.72x 2026-11-10 13:11 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $113 $1,179 10.48x 2026-11-05 13:03 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $113 $1,178 10.47x 2026-11-04 06:48 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new) [FattyM](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/FattyM) $113 $1,140 10.14x 2026-11-09 02:59 UTC

[★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new) [hossy](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/hossy) $113 $1,054 9.37x 2026-11-06 21:47 UTC

[★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $113 $1,054 9.37x 2026-11-06 08:37 UTC

[★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $113 $1,054 9.37x 2026-11-05 18:07 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=casehug&case=snake)

[Dual Berettas | Black Limba (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-black-limba-factory-new) [hasanis](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/hasanis) $113 $54.54 0.48x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC

[★ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $113 $114 1.01x 2026-11-11 11:51 UTC

[★ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $113 $153 1.36x 2026-11-11 11:51 UTC

[Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines Souvenir · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-xm1014-elegant-vines) [FattyM](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/FattyM) $113 $21.05 0.19x 2026-11-11 11:51 UTC

[USP-S | Road Rash (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-road-rash-battle-scarred) Hidden $113 $35.17 0.31x 2026-11-11 11:47 UTC

[★ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $113 $114 1.01x 2026-11-11 11:47 UTC

[USP-S | Road Rash (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-road-rash-battle-scarred) Hidden $113 $35.17 0.31x 2026-11-11 11:47 UTC

[★ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [ChrasťoušekS](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Chras%C5%A5ou%C5%A1ekS) $113 $114 1.01x 2026-11-11 11:47 UTC

[AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge) Hidden $113 $52.52 0.47x 2026-11-11 11:33 UTC

[★ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $113 $396 3.52x 2026-11-11 11:33 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $113 | 87.73% | 25 |
| 10 Nov, 02:18 UTC | $113 | 87.64% | 25 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $113 | 87.53% | 25 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $113 | 87.75% | 25 |
| 9 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $113 | 87.53% | 25 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $113 | 87.79% | 25 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $113 | 87.53% | 25 |
| 8 Nov, 23:35 UTC | $113 | 87.81% | 25 |
| 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $113 | 87.53% | 25 |
| 7 Nov, 23:20 UTC | $113 | 87.79% | 25 |
| 6 Nov, 23:04 UTC | $113 | 87.82% | 25 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $113 | 87.66% | 25 |
| 4 Nov, 22:36 UTC | $113 | 87.72% | 25 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $113 | 87.37% | 25 |
| 3 Nov, 10:08 UTC | $113 | 87.60% | 25 |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | $113 | 87.38% | 25 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed sunny 21.3% gold 0.2% Covert 9.0% #ffd700 1.8% #eb4b4b 6.1% covert 10.6% blue 7.3% Ancient 4.6% classified 8.5% restricted 8.7% violet 21.9% best hit $2,221 (19.74x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.73 on average: an expected loss of $12.27 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt