---
title: "SPAJKK JOKER case on Casehug: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "SPAJKK JOKER ($446.81) on Casehug, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.50% from 66 items with odds, observed 88.38% over 253 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/spajkk-joker
rendered: 2026-11-12T00:28Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) / [SPAJKK JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/spajkk-joker)

# [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) · SPAJKK JOKER

A case on Casehug, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/spajkk-joker?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/spajkk-joker?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/spajkk-joker) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/spajkk-joker?window=all)

Price · $446.81

Advertised RTP · 87.50% · EV $390.96 from 66 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 88.38% · 253 openings, odds method

Variance · 4.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 14 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 85.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 31 openings · below min

7 days · 82.36% ±29.92 208 openings

30 days · 88.38% ±27.07 253 openings

since tracking started · 88.38% ±27.07 253 openings

52.0% 139.3% 226.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/spajkk-joker?window=24h) | 31 | 148.23% ±77.8 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/spajkk-joker?window=7d) | 208 | 82.36% ±29.9 | −0.3σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/spajkk-joker) | 253 | 88.38% ±27.1 | +0.1σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/spajkk-joker?window=all) | 253 | 88.38% ±27.1 | +0.1σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 66 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 257 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 28 | $5,401 | 49.3% | 9 | 9.2 | 0.98× |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · legendary · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 1 in 28 | $832 | 7.6% | 10 | 9.2 | 1.09× |
| [M4A1-S \| Blue Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-factory-new) | 1 in 28 | $658 | 6.0% | 15 | 9.2 | 1.63× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 1 in 28 | $522 | 4.8% | 11 | 9.2 | 1.20× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 1 in 28 | $412 | 3.8% | 5 | 9.2 | 0.54× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 1 in 28 | $412 | 3.8% | 5 | 9.2 | 0.54× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 28 | $393 | 3.6% | 7 | 9.2 | 0.76× |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · gold · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 28 | $387 | 3.5% | 8 | 9.2 | 0.87× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 1 in 28 | $367 | 3.3% | 8 | 9.2 | 0.87× |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · gold · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 1 in 28 | $277 | 2.5% | 5 | 9.2 | 0.54× |
| [M4A4 \| The Emperor (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-factory-new) | 1 in 140 | $245 | 0.4% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-field-tested) | 1 in 84 | $223 | 0.7% | 0 | 3.1 | 0.00× |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Cobalt Skulls (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-well-worn) | 1 in 56 | $212 | 1.0% | 0 | 4.6 | 0.00× |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Cobalt Skulls (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-battle-scarred) | 1 in 56 | $203 | 0.9% | 0 | 4.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-well-worn) | 1 in 84 | $168 | 0.5% | 0 | 3.1 | 0.00× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 1 in 28 | $150 | 1.4% | 10 | 9.2 | 1.09× |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-battle-scarred) | 1 in 84 | $120 | 0.4% | 0 | 3.1 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Blueprint (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-factory-new) | 1 in 140 | $112 | 0.2% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-factory-new) | 1 in 56 | $105 | 0.5% | 0 | 4.6 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Temukau (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-factory-new) | 1 in 140 | $99.92 | 0.2% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-minimal-wear) | 1 in 56 | $92.83 | 0.4% | 0 | 4.6 | 0.00× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-blue-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 112 | $86.95 | 0.2% | 0 | 2.3 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| The Emperor (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 140 | $83.98 | 0.2% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Waters of Nephthys (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-waters-of-nephthys-minimal-wear) | 1 in 84 | $83.84 | 0.3% | 0 | 3.1 | 0.00× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Blue Steel (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-blue-steel-well-worn) | 1 in 112 | $79.59 | 0.2% | 0 | 2.3 | 0.00× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-bright-water-factory-new) | 1 in 56 | $76.35 | 0.3% | 0 | 4.6 | 0.00× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 112 | $74.50 | 0.2% | 0 | 2.3 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| The Emperor (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-well-worn) | 1 in 140 | $71.42 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| The Emperor (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-field-tested) | 1 in 140 | $70.07 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-blue-steel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 112 | $67.99 | 0.2% | 0 | 2.3 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Inheritance (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-minimal-wear) | 1 in 84 | $65.36 | 0.2% | 0 | 3.1 | 0.00× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Bright Water (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-bright-water-field-tested) | 1 in 56 | $64.43 | 0.3% | 0 | 4.6 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| The Emperor (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-battle-scarred) | 1 in 140 | $61.90 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Guardian (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-guardian-factory-new) | 1 in 84 | $60.82 | 0.2% | 0 | 3.1 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Temukau (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-minimal-wear) | 1 in 140 | $60.80 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| AXIA (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-axia-factory-new) | 1 in 84 | $53.08 | 0.2% | 0 | 3.1 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Waters of Nephthys (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-waters-of-nephthys-field-tested) | 1 in 84 | $49.41 | 0.2% | 0 | 3.1 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-bright-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 56 | $48.61 | 0.2% | 0 | 4.6 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Waters of Nephthys (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-waters-of-nephthys-well-worn) | 1 in 84 | $46.07 | 0.1% | 0 | 3.1 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Inheritance (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-well-worn) | 1 in 84 | $44.82 | 0.1% | 0 | 3.1 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Atheris (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-atheris-factory-new) | 1 in 28 | $44.76 | 0.4% | 11 | 9.2 | 1.20× |
| [P250 \| Undertow (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-undertow-factory-new) | 1 in 56 | $43.42 | 0.2% | 0 | 4.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Inheritance (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-field-tested) | 1 in 84 | $42.46 | 0.1% | 0 | 3.1 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Exoskeleton (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exoskeleton-factory-new) | 1 in 140 | $40.38 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Temukau (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-field-tested) | 1 in 140 | $36.66 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Bright Water (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-bright-water-field-tested) | 1 in 56 | $36.37 | 0.2% | 0 | 4.6 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Temukau (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-well-worn) | 1 in 140 | $36.28 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Guardian (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-guardian-minimal-wear) | 1 in 84 | $34.13 | 0.1% | 0 | 3.1 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Temukau (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-battle-scarred) | 1 in 140 | $34.02 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [P250 \| Undertow (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-undertow-minimal-wear) | 1 in 56 | $27.92 | 0.1% | 0 | 4.6 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Guardian (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-guardian-field-tested) | 1 in 84 | $26.56 | 0.1% | 0 | 3.1 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| AXIA (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-axia-minimal-wear) | 1 in 84 | $23.99 | 0.1% | 0 | 3.1 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| AXIA (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-axia-field-tested) | 1 in 84 | $23.12 | 0.1% | 0 | 3.1 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Blueprint (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-minimal-wear) | 1 in 140 | $17.03 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Exoskeleton (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exoskeleton-minimal-wear) | 1 in 140 | $12.48 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Sputnik (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sputnik-factory-new) | 1 in 140 | $10.31 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Exoskeleton (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exoskeleton-field-tested) | 1 in 140 | $6.15 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Blueprint (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-field-tested) | 1 in 140 | $5.13 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Exoskeleton (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exoskeleton-well-worn) | 1 in 140 | $5.11 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Exoskeleton (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exoskeleton-battle-scarred) | 1 in 140 | $4.91 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Blueprint (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-well-worn) | 1 in 140 | $4.68 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Blueprint (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-battle-scarred) | 1 in 140 | $4.38 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Sputnik (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sputnik-minimal-wear) | 1 in 140 | $2.71 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Sputnik (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sputnik-field-tested) | 1 in 140 | $1.77 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Sputnik (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sputnik-well-worn) | 1 in 140 | $1.74 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Sputnik (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sputnik-battle-scarred) | 1 in 140 | $1.68 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |

Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `casehug:cases/spajkk-joker`, 11 Nov, 20:45 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $455 $5,447 11.97x 2026-11-04 00:56 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) [IIIPEPSI COLAIII](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/IIIPEPSI%20COLAIII) $455 $5,447 11.97x 2026-11-03 21:29 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $455 $5,447 11.97x 2026-11-03 21:14 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $452 $5,433 12.01x 2026-11-05 21:02 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $451 $5,409 11.99x 2026-11-08 03:06 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $451 $5,409 11.99x 2026-11-08 03:05 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $447 $5,401 12.09x 2026-11-11 22:57 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) [Malutki Kamilek](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Malutki%20Kamilek) $447 $5,401 12.09x 2026-11-11 19:52 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $447 $5,401 12.09x 2026-11-11 18:45 UTC

[★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · legendary · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $455 $863 1.90x 2026-11-03 21:29 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=casehug&case=spajkk-joker)

[★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls) Hidden $447 $208 0.46x 2026-11-11 22:57 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $447 $5,401 12.09x 2026-11-11 22:57 UTC

[StatTrak™ AWP | Atheris (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-atheris-factory-new) [grochalek](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/grochalek) $447 $44.76 0.10x 2026-11-11 22:57 UTC

[M4A1-S | Bright Water weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-bright-water) Hidden $447 $42.49 0.10x 2026-11-11 19:52 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) [Malutki Kamilek](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Malutki%20Kamilek) $447 $5,401 12.09x 2026-11-11 19:52 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $447 $5,401 12.09x 2026-11-11 18:45 UTC

[M4A4 | The Emperor weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor) Hidden $447 $107 0.24x 2026-11-11 18:45 UTC

[AWP | Exoskeleton weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exoskeleton) Hidden $447 $13.80 0.03x 2026-11-11 18:45 UTC

[AK-47 | Vulcan weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan) [Radziu](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Radziu) $447 $170 0.38x 2026-11-11 18:45 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Sputnik weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sputnik) Hidden $447 $3.64 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:35 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 20:45 UTC | $447 | 87.50% | 66 |
| 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC | $448 | 87.50% | 66 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $448 | 87.50% | 66 |
| 10 Nov, 02:18 UTC | $448 | 87.50% | 66 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $448 | 87.50% | 66 |
| 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $451 | 87.50% | 66 |
| 8 Nov, 05:24 UTC | $451 | 87.50% | 66 |
| 6 Nov, 23:04 UTC | $451 | 87.50% | 66 |
| 6 Nov, 10:57 UTC | $451 | 87.50% | 66 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $452 | 87.50% | 66 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $452 | 87.50% | 66 |
| 4 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $454 | 87.50% | 66 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $455 | 87.50% | 66 |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $453 | 87.50% | 66 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 41.0% legendary 3.6% classified 16.7% gold 8.0% extraordinary 3.6% mil spec 3.6% red 3.8% rare 3.6% pink 1.2% restricted 8.6% Ancient 0.7% Mythical 0.7% blue 3.6% violet 1.4% best hit $5,447 (11.97x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.50 on average: an expected loss of $12.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt