---
title: "SPIRIT CALL case on Casehug: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "SPIRIT CALL ($2.50) on Casehug, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.37% from 40 items with odds, observed 86.18% over 156K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/spirit-call
rendered: 2026-11-11T20:02Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) / [SPIRIT CALL](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/spirit-call)

# [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) · SPIRIT CALL

A case on Casehug (Event), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/spirit-call?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/spirit-call?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/spirit-call) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/spirit-call?window=all)

Price · $2.50

Advertised RTP · 87.37% · EV $2.18 from 40 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 86.18% · 156K openings, odds method

Variance · 1.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 25.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 68.8% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 86.04% ±0.82 112K openings

30 days · 86.18% ±0.69 156K openings

since tracking started · 86.18% ±0.69 156K openings

84.5% 86.3% 88.0%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 87.41% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (85.49% – 86.87%, 156,290 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/spirit-call?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/spirit-call?window=7d) | 112K | 86.04% ±0.82 | −3.3σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/spirit-call) | 156K | 86.18% ±0.69 | −3.5σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/spirit-call?window=all) | 156K | 86.18% ±0.69 | −3.5σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 40 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 157K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 50,000 | $428 | 0.4% | 0 | 3.1 | 0.00× |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Cobalt Skulls (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-field-tested) | 1 in 33,333 | $236 | 0.3% | 6 | 4.7 | 1.28× |
| [Tec-9 \| Nuclear Threat (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-nuclear-threat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20,000 | $167 | 0.4% | 6 | 7.8 | 0.77× |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $91.67 | 0.2% | 0 | 7.8 | 0.00× |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-damascus-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20,000 | $79.21 | 0.2% | 0 | 7.8 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Starcade (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-starcade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33,333 | $78.90 | 0.1% | 0 | 4.7 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Vaporwave (Well-Worn) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-vaporwave-well-worn) | 1 in 10,000 | $56.95 | 0.3% | 0 | 15.7 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Vaporwave (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-vaporwave-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $54.88 | 0.3% | 0 | 15.7 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Vaporwave (Battle-Scarred) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-vaporwave-battle-scarred) | 1 in 10,000 | $51.31 | 0.2% | 0 | 15.7 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Starcade (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-starcade-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $41.20 | 0.2% | 0 | 15.7 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Starcade (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-starcade-well-worn) | 1 in 14,286 | $40.68 | 0.1% | 0 | 11.0 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Starcade (Battle-Scarred) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-starcade-battle-scarred) | 1 in 10,000 | $31.09 | 0.1% | 0 | 15.7 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Fatal Glitch (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fatal-glitch-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $28.03 | 0.1% | 0 | 15.7 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Fatal Glitch (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fatal-glitch-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,000 | $23.59 | 0.2% | 0 | 31.3 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Fatal Glitch (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fatal-glitch-well-worn) | 1 in 10,000 | $22.32 | 0.1% | 0 | 15.7 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Crane Flight (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crane-flight-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $17.38 | 0.1% | 0 | 15.7 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Crane Flight (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crane-flight-well-worn) | 1 in 714 | $13.22 | 0.8% | 0 | 219.3 | 0.00× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Cardiac (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-cardiac-minimal-wear) | 1 in 588 | $10.91 | 0.8% | 0 | 266.3 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Crane Flight (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crane-flight-battle-scarred) | 1 in 526 | $10.77 | 0.9% | 0 | 297.6 | 0.00× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Cardiac (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-cardiac-field-tested) | 1 in 526 | $10.23 | 0.9% | 0 | 297.6 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Doomkitty (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-doomkitty-field-tested) | 1 in 34 | $7.27 | 9.9% | 4,353 | 4636.0 | 0.94× |
| [UMP-45 \| Plastique (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-plastique-factory-new) | 1 in 55 | $5.11 | 4.3% | 2,212 | 2866.2 | 0.77× |
| [G3SG1 \| Orange Kimono (Battle-Scarred) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-orange-kimono-battle-scarred) | 1 in 52 | $4.85 | 4.3% | 2,443 | 3022.8 | 0.81× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Bamboo Print (Battle-Scarred) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-bamboo-print-battle-scarred) | 1 in 47 | $4.45 | 4.3% | 2,628 | 3304.7 | 0.80× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Kiss♥Love (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-kiss-love-field-tested) | 1 in 47 | $4.42 | 4.3% | 2,725 | 3320.4 | 0.82× |
| [P2000 \| Wicked Sick (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-wicked-sick-field-tested) | 1 in 41 | $3.81 | 4.3% | 3,696 | 3852.9 | 0.96× |
| [P2000 \| Panther Camo (Well-Worn) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-panther-camo-well-worn) | 1 in 19 | $3.29 | 7.8% | 3,163 | 8144.3 | 0.39× |
| [Sticker \| First Blood sticker · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-first-blood) | 1 in 18 | $3.09 | 7.8% | 13,167 | 8676.9 | 1.52× |
| [G3SG1 \| Ancient Ritual (Minimal Wear) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-ancient-ritual-minimal-wear) | 1 in 16 | $2.74 | 7.9% | 11,963 | 9804.5 | 1.22× |
| [Souvenir M249 \| Humidor (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m249-humidor-field-tested) | 1 in 21 | $2.43 | 5.2% | 7,452 | 7329.9 | 1.02× |
| [Sticker \| Winding Scorch (Foil) sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-winding-scorch-foil) | 1 in 19 | $1.91 | 4.5% | 8,111 | 8081.7 | 1.00× |
| [Sticker \| Cedar Creek (Holo) sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cedar-creek-holo) | 1 in 18 | $1.65 | 4.1% | 8,610 | 8504.6 | 1.01× |
| [SG 553 \| Lush Ruins (Factory New) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-lush-ruins-factory-new) | 1 in 16 | $1.24 | 3.5% | 9,168 | 9585.3 | 0.96× |
| [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off \| Analog Input (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-analog-input-minimal-wear) | 1 in 16 | $1.24 | 3.5% | 9,535 | 9585.3 | 0.99× |
| [Sticker \| Flex sticker · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-flex) | 1 in 16 | $1.22 | 3.4% | 10,002 | 9585.3 | 1.04× |
| [UMP-45 \| Exposure (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-exposure-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $1.18 | 3.3% | 9,628 | 9694.9 | 0.99× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · grey](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-jungle-dashed-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $0.98 | 3.0% | 10,829 | 10446.7 | 1.04× |
| [Sticker \| Hypnoteyes (Holo) sticker · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hypnoteyes-holo) | 1 in 15 | $0.92 | 2.9% | 11,506 | 10775.6 | 1.07× |
| [MAC-10 \| Sakkaku (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-sakkaku-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $0.83 | 2.7% | 11,483 | 11198.5 | 1.03× |
| [SSG 08 \| Jungle Dashed (Minimal Wear) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-jungle-dashed-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12 | $0.58 | 2.2% | 12,777 | 12921.3 | 0.99× |

Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `casehug:cases/spirit-call`, 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-field-tested) [bestja](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/bestja) $2.50 $242 96.94x 2026-11-07 13:14 UTC

[★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-field-tested) [Filip Fan Pikersa CS2.ME](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Filip%20Fan%20Pikersa%20CS2.ME) $2.50 $242 96.94x 2026-11-06 21:50 UTC

[★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-field-tested) Hidden $2.50 $242 96.94x 2026-11-06 21:46 UTC

[★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-field-tested) [kr3ks1u](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/kr3ks1u) $2.50 $242 96.94x 2026-11-06 18:31 UTC

[★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-field-tested) Hidden $2.50 $229 91.74x 2026-11-08 15:34 UTC

[★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-field-tested) Hidden $2.50 $228 91.24x 2026-11-02 22:57 UTC

[Tec-9 | Nuclear Threat (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-nuclear-threat-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.50 $183 73.24x 2026-11-07 15:01 UTC

[Tec-9 | Nuclear Threat (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-nuclear-threat-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.50 $183 73.24x 2026-11-06 13:28 UTC

[Tec-9 | Nuclear Threat (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-nuclear-threat-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.50 $183 73.24x 2026-11-06 13:16 UTC

[Tec-9 | Nuclear Threat (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-nuclear-threat-minimal-wear) [ADI](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/ADI) $2.50 $183 73.24x 2026-11-05 23:58 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=casehug&case=spirit-call)

[Sticker | First Blood sticker · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-first-blood) Hidden $2.50 $3.09 1.24x 2026-11-09 21:03 UTC

[G3SG1 | Ancient Ritual (Minimal Wear) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-ancient-ritual-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.50 $2.74 1.10x 2026-11-09 21:03 UTC

[Sticker | Cedar Creek (Holo) sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cedar-creek-holo) Hidden $2.50 $1.65 0.66x 2026-11-09 21:03 UTC

[G3SG1 | Ancient Ritual (Minimal Wear) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-ancient-ritual-minimal-wear) [Trelemoreleskins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Trelemoreleskins.army) $2.50 $2.74 1.10x 2026-11-09 21:03 UTC

[Sticker | Cedar Creek (Holo) sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cedar-creek-holo) Hidden $2.50 $1.65 0.66x 2026-11-09 21:03 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Bamboo Print (Battle-Scarred) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-bamboo-print-battle-scarred) Hidden $2.50 $4.45 1.78x 2026-11-09 21:03 UTC

[SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Minimal Wear) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-jungle-dashed-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.50 $0.58 0.23x 2026-11-09 21:03 UTC

[G3SG1 | Ancient Ritual (Minimal Wear) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-ancient-ritual-minimal-wear) [Trelemoreleskins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Trelemoreleskins.army) $2.50 $2.74 1.10x 2026-11-09 21:03 UTC

[UMP-45 | Exposure (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-exposure-field-tested) Hidden $2.50 $1.18 0.47x 2026-11-09 21:01 UTC

[StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-analog-input-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.50 $1.24 0.50x 2026-11-09 21:01 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $2.50 | 87.37% | 40 |
| 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $2.50 | 87.22% | 40 |
| 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $2.50 | 87.68% | 40 |
| 6 Nov, 17:00 UTC | $2.50 | 87.48% | 40 |
| 6 Nov, 10:57 UTC | $2.50 | 87.46% | 40 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $2.50 | 87.04% | 40 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $2.50 | 87.18% | 40 |
| 4 Nov, 22:36 UTC | $2.50 | 87.40% | 40 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $2.50 | 88.18% | 40 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $2.50 | 87.18% | 40 |
| 3 Nov, 10:08 UTC | $2.50 | 87.33% | 40 |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | $2.50 | 87.36% | 40 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.0% extraordinary 0.0% restricted 0.0% rare 0.0% Immortal 0.0% red 0.0% uncommon 0.0% pink 5.1% classified 0.2% blue 19.3% violet 26.7% gray 18.4% blueLight 11.5% #d32ce6 5.2% grey 6.7% common 6.9% best hit $242 (96.94x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.37 on average: an expected loss of $12.63 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt