---
title: "TUNG TUNG case on Casehug: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "TUNG TUNG ($1.00) on Casehug, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.50% from 47 items with odds, observed 87.08% over 29.6K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/tung-tung
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:57Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) / [TUNG TUNG](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/tung-tung)

# [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) · TUNG TUNG

A case on Casehug (REGULAR CASES), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/tung-tung?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/tung-tung?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/tung-tung) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/tung-tung?window=all)

Price · $1.00

Advertised RTP · 87.50% · EV $0.87 from 47 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 87.08% · 29.6K openings, odds method

Variance · 4.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 22.6% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 84.2% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 90.97% ±6.59 3,608 openings

7 days · 87.52% ±2.51 24.8K openings

30 days · 87.08% ±2.30 29.6K openings

since tracking started · 87.08% ±2.30 29.6K openings

83.5% 90.8% 98.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/tung-tung?window=24h) | 3,608 | 90.97% ±6.59 | +1.0σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/tung-tung?window=7d) | 24.8K | 87.52% ±2.51 | −0.4σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/tung-tung) | 29.6K | 87.08% ±2.30 | −0.8σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/tung-tung?window=all) | 29.6K | 87.08% ±2.30 | −0.8σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 47 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 29.7K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Bayonet \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 100,000 | $268 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Imperial Plaid (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-imperial-plaid-field-tested) | 1 in 33,333 | $196 | 0.7% | 3 | 0.9 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wasteland-rebel-field-tested) | 1 in 14,286 | $102 | 0.8% | 2 | 2.1 | 0.96× |
| [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-battle-scarred) | 1 in 11,111 | $65.71 | 0.7% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $57.05 | 0.7% | 1 | 3.0 | 0.34× |
| [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-field-tested) | 1 in 3,333 | $23.85 | 0.8% | 2 | 8.9 | 0.22× |
| [MAG-7 \| Core Breach (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-core-breach-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $12.06 | 0.3% | 0 | 5.9 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-field-tested) | 1 in 405 | $5.57 | 1.6% | 0 | 73.2 | 0.00× |
| [MAG-7 \| Core Breach (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-core-breach-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $4.88 | 5.6% | 0 | 295.4 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-battle-scarred) | 1 in 252 | $4.38 | 2.0% | 0 | 117.7 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-well-worn) | 1 in 249 | $4.36 | 2.0% | 0 | 118.9 | 0.00× |
| [Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-well-worn) | 1 in 180 | $4.24 | 2.7% | 0 | 165.2 | 0.00× |
| [Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-battle-scarred) | 1 in 161 | $4.01 | 2.9% | 0 | 184.8 | 0.00× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Tigris (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tigris-field-tested) | 1 in 58 | $2.82 | 5.5% | 506 | 510.7 | 0.99× |
| [MP7 \| Just Smile (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-just-smile-factory-new) | 1 in 1,333 | $2.78 | 0.2% | 0 | 22.2 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Serpent Strike (Factory New) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-serpent-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 117 | $1.90 | 1.9% | 0 | 254.4 | 0.00× |
| [SG 553 \| Dragon Tech (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-dragon-tech-factory-new) | 1 in 228 | $1.67 | 0.8% | 0 | 129.9 | 0.00× |
| [P90 \| Chopper (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-chopper-field-tested) | 1 in 31 | $1.51 | 5.5% | 1,015 | 953.1 | 1.06× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Heat Treated (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heat-treated-field-tested) | 1 in 91 | $1.39 | 1.7% | 0 | 324.1 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Heat Treated (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heat-treated-battle-scarred) | 1 in 79 | $1.29 | 1.9% | 0 | 376.0 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Heat Treated (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heat-treated-well-worn) | 1 in 73 | $1.24 | 1.9% | 0 | 406.9 | 0.00× |
| [UMP-45 \| Plastique (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-plastique-minimal-wear) | 1 in 192 | $1.24 | 0.7% | 0 | 154.2 | 0.00× |
| [Nova \| Rising Sun (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-rising-sun-minimal-wear) | 1 in 183 | $1.12 | 0.7% | 0 | 161.9 | 0.00× |
| [MAG-7 \| Monster Call (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-monster-call-minimal-wear) | 1 in 74 | $1.10 | 1.7% | 0 | 403.3 | 0.00× |
| [MP7 \| Just Smile (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-just-smile-minimal-wear) | 1 in 97 | $0.98 | 1.2% | 0 | 306.3 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Serpent Strike (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-serpent-strike-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $0.96 | 6.3% | 0 | 1706.3 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Trigger Discipline (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-field-tested) | 1 in 41 | $0.90 | 2.5% | 0 | 718.5 | 0.00× |
| [Tec-9 \| Brother (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-brother-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $0.89 | 3.1% | 0 | 902.4 | 0.00× |
| [P90 \| Wave Breaker (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-wave-breaker-minimal-wear) | 1 in 64 | $0.84 | 1.5% | 0 | 463.2 | 0.00× |
| [SG 553 \| Dragon Tech (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-dragon-tech-minimal-wear) | 1 in 36 | $0.83 | 2.6% | 0 | 825.0 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Trigger Discipline (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-well-worn) | 1 in 28 | $0.69 | 2.8% | 0 | 1042.7 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Trigger Discipline (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-battle-scarred) | 1 in 27 | $0.66 | 2.8% | 0 | 1109.4 | 0.00× |
| [UMP-45 \| Plastique (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-plastique-field-tested) | 1 in 35 | $0.60 | 2.0% | 0 | 849.9 | 0.00× |
| [UMP-45 \| Plastique (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-plastique-well-worn) | 1 in 32 | $0.57 | 2.0% | 0 | 913.4 | 0.00× |
| [UMP-45 \| Plastique (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-plastique-battle-scarred) | 1 in 30 | $0.54 | 2.1% | 0 | 985.1 | 0.00× |
| [Nova \| Rising Sun (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-rising-sun-field-tested) | 1 in 35 | $0.54 | 1.8% | 0 | 844.6 | 0.00× |
| [P90 \| Wave Breaker (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-wave-breaker-field-tested) | 1 in 34 | $0.54 | 1.8% | 0 | 859.7 | 0.00× |
| [P90 \| Wave Breaker (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-wave-breaker-well-worn) | 1 in 33 | $0.52 | 1.8% | 0 | 906.6 | 0.00× |
| [P90 \| Wave Breaker (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-wave-breaker-battle-scarred) | 1 in 31 | $0.50 | 1.8% | 0 | 957.6 | 0.00× |
| [MAG-7 \| Monster Call (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-monster-call-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $0.49 | 4.4% | 0 | 2325.5 | 0.00× |
| [MP7 \| Just Smile (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-just-smile-field-tested) | 1 in 34 | $0.46 | 1.6% | 0 | 882.5 | 0.00× |
| [SG 553 \| Dragon Tech (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-dragon-tech-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $0.46 | 3.3% | 0 | 1884.0 | 0.00× |
| [Nova \| Rising Sun (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-rising-sun-well-worn) | 1 in 28 | $0.46 | 1.9% | 0 | 1056.9 | 0.00× |
| [Nova \| Rising Sun (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-rising-sun-battle-scarred) | 1 in 28 | $0.46 | 1.9% | 0 | 1056.9 | 0.00× |
| [Tec-9 \| Brother (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-brother-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $0.46 | 4.0% | 0 | 2272.8 | 0.00× |
| [MP7 \| Just Smile (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-just-smile-well-worn) | 1 in 29 | $0.41 | 1.6% | 0 | 1036.7 | 0.00× |
| [MP7 \| Just Smile (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-just-smile-battle-scarred) | 1 in 28 | $0.40 | 1.7% | 0 | 1073.2 | 0.00× |

Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `casehug:cases/tung-tung`, 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Bayonet | Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-field-tested) [CZORT](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/CZORT) $1.00 $266 266.0x 2026-11-09 16:08 UTC

[★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-imperial-plaid-field-tested) [M1K1](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/M1K1) $1.00 $196 195.8x 2026-11-10 23:28 UTC

[★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-imperial-plaid-field-tested) Hidden $1.00 $185 184.6x 2026-11-05 17:30 UTC

[★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-imperial-plaid-field-tested) Hidden $1.00 $177 177.1x 2026-11-06 23:53 UTC

[AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wasteland-rebel-field-tested) Hidden $1.00 $102 102.1x 2026-11-10 17:50 UTC

[AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wasteland-rebel-field-tested) Hidden $1.00 $95.20 95.20x 2026-11-10 07:35 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Code Red (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) Hidden $1.00 $57.05 57.05x 2026-11-11 14:18 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=casehug&case=tung-tung)

[MAG-7 | Monster Call weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-monster-call) Hidden $1.00 $0.58 0.58x 2026-11-11 19:57 UTC

[Nova | Rising Sun weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-rising-sun) Hidden $1.00 $0.52 0.52x 2026-11-11 19:57 UTC

[SG 553 | Dragon Tech weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-dragon-tech) Hidden $1.00 $0.62 0.62x 2026-11-11 19:57 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Heat Treated weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heat-treated) [★RiCo★®](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/%E2%98%85RiCo%E2%98%85%C2%AE) $1.00 $1.30 1.30x 2026-11-11 19:57 UTC

[UMP-45 | Plastique weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-plastique) Hidden $1.00 $0.60 0.60x 2026-11-11 19:57 UTC

[MAG-7 | Monster Call weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-monster-call) Hidden $1.00 $0.58 0.58x 2026-11-11 19:57 UTC

[MAG-7 | Monster Call weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-monster-call) Hidden $1.00 $0.58 0.58x 2026-11-11 19:57 UTC

[P90 | Wave Breaker weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-wave-breaker) [★RiCo★®](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/%E2%98%85RiCo%E2%98%85%C2%AE) $1.00 $0.57 0.57x 2026-11-11 19:57 UTC

[Nova | Rising Sun weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-rising-sun) Hidden $1.00 $0.52 0.52x 2026-11-11 19:57 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline) Hidden $1.00 $0.73 0.73x 2026-11-11 19:57 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $1.00 | 87.50% | 47 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $1.00 | 87.99% | 47 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $1.00 | 88.17% | 47 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $1.00 | 88.06% | 47 |
| 8 Nov, 23:35 UTC | $1.00 | 87.93% | 47 |
| 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $1.00 | 88.47% | 47 |
| 8 Nov, 11:27 UTC | $1.00 | 88.03% | 47 |
| 8 Nov, 05:24 UTC | $1.00 | 87.87% | 47 |
| 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $1.00 | 88.03% | 47 |
| 6 Nov, 17:00 UTC | $1.00 | 87.93% | 47 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $1.00 | 88.23% | 47 |
| 4 Nov, 22:36 UTC | $1.00 | 88.22% | 47 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $1.00 | 87.52% | 47 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $1.00 | 88.31% | 47 |
| 3 Nov, 10:08 UTC | $1.00 | 88.18% | 47 |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | $1.00 | 87.77% | 47 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.0% extraordinary 0.0% classified 0.0% #8847ff 16.0% restricted 13.1% pink 4.3% Legendary 0.6% violet 44.7% uncommon 0.9% Mythical 20.4% best hit $266 (266.0x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.50 on average: an expected loss of $12.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt