---
title: "TURBO WIN JOKER case on Casehug: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "TURBO WIN JOKER ($379.45) on Casehug, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.50% from 58 items with odds, observed 99.11% over 200 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/turbo-win-joker
rendered: 2026-11-11T22:44Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) / [TURBO WIN JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/turbo-win-joker)

# [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) · TURBO WIN JOKER

A case on Casehug, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/turbo-win-joker?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/turbo-win-joker?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/turbo-win-joker) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/turbo-win-joker?window=all)

Price · $379.45

Advertised RTP · 87.50% · EV $332.02 from 58 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 99.11% · 200 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 11.1% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 81.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 31 openings · below min

7 days · 96.54% ±20.87 172 openings

30 days · 99.11% ±19.35 200 openings

since tracking started · 99.11% ±19.35 200 openings

37.5% 87.3% 137.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/turbo-win-joker?window=24h) | 31 | 87.48% ±49.1 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/turbo-win-joker?window=7d) | 172 | 96.54% ±20.9 | +0.8σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/turbo-win-joker) | 200 | 99.11% ±19.3 | +1.2σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/turbo-win-joker?window=all) | 200 | 99.11% ±19.3 | +1.2σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 58 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 219 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Kimono (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $2,022 | 22.5% | 7 | 8.1 | 0.86× |
| [M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 27 | $1,592 | 17.8% | 12 | 8.1 | 1.48× |
| [★ Karambit \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 27 | $1,238 | 13.8% | 11 | 8.1 | 1.36× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Crimson Weave (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-crimson-weave-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $1,207 | 13.5% | 8 | 8.1 | 0.99× |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $659 | 7.4% | 7 | 8.1 | 0.86× |
| [M4A4 \| Hellfire (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-factory-new) | 1 in 27 | $345 | 3.8% | 7 | 8.1 | 0.86× |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 135 | $293 | 0.7% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Bullet Rain (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-factory-new) | 1 in 27 | $261 | 2.9% | 11 | 8.1 | 1.36× |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 27 | $193 | 2.1% | 3 | 8.1 | 0.37× |
| [Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 81 | $191 | 0.7% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-factory-new) | 1 in 81 | $189 | 0.7% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× |
| [MP9 \| Stained Glass (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-stained-glass-factory-new) | 1 in 27 | $162 | 1.8% | 17 | 8.1 | 2.10× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-factory-new) | 1 in 108 | $159 | 0.4% | 0 | 2.0 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 135 | $156 | 0.3% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 135 | $149 | 0.3% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) | 1 in 135 | $148 | 0.3% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 135 | $146 | 0.3% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 1 in 135 | $139 | 0.3% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-factory-new) | 1 in 81 | $137 | 0.5% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 27 | $125 | 1.4% | 8 | 8.1 | 0.99× |
| [M4A4 \| Temukau (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-factory-new) | 1 in 27 | $109 | 1.2% | 8 | 8.1 | 0.99× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Cobra Strike (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-cobra-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 27 | $91.33 | 1.0% | 12 | 8.1 | 1.48× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-minimal-wear) | 1 in 108 | $90.51 | 0.3% | 0 | 2.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 108 | $83.95 | 0.2% | 0 | 2.0 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-field-tested) | 1 in 108 | $83.48 | 0.2% | 0 | 2.0 | 0.00× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 27 | $81.55 | 0.9% | 8 | 8.1 | 0.99× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-battle-scarred) | 1 in 108 | $77.91 | 0.2% | 0 | 2.0 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-factory-new) | 1 in 108 | $76.88 | 0.2% | 0 | 2.0 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-minimal-wear) | 1 in 81 | $75.90 | 0.3% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-well-worn) | 1 in 108 | $72.60 | 0.2% | 0 | 2.0 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-minimal-wear) | 1 in 81 | $67.35 | 0.3% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 81 | $64.37 | 0.2% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 135 | $63.82 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-field-tested) | 1 in 81 | $62.44 | 0.2% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× |
| [P90 \| Cold Blooded (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-cold-blooded-factory-new) | 1 in 27 | $56.24 | 0.6% | 4 | 8.1 | 0.49× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-field-tested) | 1 in 108 | $55.72 | 0.2% | 0 | 2.0 | 0.00× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fairy-tale-minimal-wear) | 1 in 81 | $55.14 | 0.2% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Afterimage (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-afterimage-factory-new) | 1 in 81 | $47.89 | 0.2% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 81 | $44.56 | 0.2% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-battle-scarred) | 1 in 108 | $44.40 | 0.1% | 0 | 2.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 1 in 135 | $42.72 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) | 1 in 135 | $42.22 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 135 | $41.83 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-well-worn) | 1 in 81 | $39.49 | 0.1% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-minimal-wear) | 1 in 108 | $36.22 | 0.1% | 0 | 2.0 | 0.00× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fairy-tale-field-tested) | 1 in 81 | $27.38 | 0.1% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-field-tested) | 1 in 108 | $23.75 | 0.1% | 0 | 2.0 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-well-worn) | 1 in 108 | $23.01 | 0.1% | 0 | 2.0 | 0.00× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fairy-tale-well-worn) | 1 in 81 | $21.40 | 0.1% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Afterimage (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-afterimage-field-tested) | 1 in 81 | $21.17 | 0.1% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Afterimage (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-afterimage-minimal-wear) | 1 in 81 | $20.82 | 0.1% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mulberry (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mulberry-factory-new) | 1 in 81 | $15.92 | 0.1% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mulberry (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mulberry-minimal-wear) | 1 in 81 | $8.18 | 0.0% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Glitched Paint (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-glitched-paint-factory-new) | 1 in 54 | $5.88 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.1 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Bleeding Edge (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-bleeding-edge-factory-new) | 1 in 54 | $5.66 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.1 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Bleeding Edge (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-bleeding-edge-minimal-wear) | 1 in 54 | $3.23 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.1 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-glitched-paint-minimal-wear) | 1 in 54 | $3.22 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.1 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mulberry (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mulberry-field-tested) | 1 in 81 | $2.33 | 0.0% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× |

Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `casehug:cases/turbo-win-joker`, 11 Nov, 20:45 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-field-tested) [chuj](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/chuj) $388 $2,067 5.33x 2026-11-09 16:06 UTC

[★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-field-tested) Hidden $394 $2,065 5.24x 2026-11-05 19:24 UTC

[★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-field-tested) [????????????skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3Fskins.army) $381 $2,040 5.35x 2026-11-11 10:08 UTC

[★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-field-tested) [Liszka9](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Liszka9) $391 $2,020 5.16x 2026-11-04 20:18 UTC

[★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-field-tested) Hidden $391 $2,020 5.16x 2026-11-04 13:20 UTC

[★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-field-tested) Hidden $391 $2,020 5.16x 2026-11-04 13:20 UTC

[★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-field-tested) Hidden $391 $2,020 5.16x 2026-11-04 01:13 UTC

[M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) Hidden $391 $1,671 4.27x 2026-11-05 17:15 UTC

[M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) Hidden $391 $1,671 4.27x 2026-11-05 00:10 UTC

[M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) Hidden $391 $1,671 4.27x 2026-11-05 00:09 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=casehug&case=turbo-win-joker)

[FAMAS | Afterimage weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-afterimage) Hidden $376 $29.77 0.08x 2026-11-11 22:25 UTC

[P90 | Cold Blooded (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-cold-blooded-factory-new) [grochalek](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/grochalek) $376 $55.78 0.15x 2026-11-11 22:25 UTC

[★ Navaja Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $376 $84.20 0.22x 2026-11-11 21:01 UTC

[M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) Hidden $376 $1,604 4.26x 2026-11-11 21:01 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Mulberry weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mulberry) [ziomek](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/ziomek) $376 $8.75 0.02x 2026-11-11 21:01 UTC

[Glock-18 | Neo-Noir weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir) Hidden $376 $97.39 0.26x 2026-11-11 21:01 UTC

[P90 | Cold Blooded (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-cold-blooded-factory-new) Hidden $376 $55.78 0.15x 2026-11-11 21:01 UTC

[MP9 | Stained Glass (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-stained-glass-factory-new) [ziomek](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/ziomek) $376 $162 0.43x 2026-11-11 21:01 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive) Hidden $376 $82.40 0.22x 2026-11-11 21:00 UTC

[M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-factory-new) Hidden $376 $265 0.70x 2026-11-11 21:00 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC | $379 | 87.50% | 58 |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $381 | 87.50% | 58 |
| 10 Nov, 02:18 UTC | $384 | 87.50% | 58 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $388 | 87.50% | 58 |
| 8 Nov, 23:35 UTC | $390 | 87.50% | 58 |
| 6 Nov, 10:57 UTC | $391 | 87.50% | 58 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $394 | 87.50% | 58 |
| 4 Nov, 04:46 UTC | $391 | 87.50% | 58 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed extraordinary 7.4% classified 22.5% covert 48.9% restricted 3.7% red 1.7% Ancient 1.2% Legendary 1.2% pink 0.9% #d32ee6 1.2% Mythical 8.0% violet 3.1% best hit $2,067 (5.33x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.50 on average: an expected loss of $12.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt