---
title: "TURBO WIN case on Casehug: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "TURBO WIN ($50.00) on Casehug, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.50% from 58 items with odds, observed 86.86% over 3,400 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/turbo-win
rendered: 2026-11-11T18:19Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) / [TURBO WIN](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/turbo-win)

# [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) · TURBO WIN

A case on Casehug (REGULAR CASES), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/turbo-win?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/turbo-win?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/turbo-win) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/turbo-win?window=all)

Price · $50.00

Advertised RTP · 87.50% · EV $43.75 from 58 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 86.86% · 3,400 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 16.2% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 66.1% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 74.81% ±14.30 418 openings

7 days · 87.66% ±5.60 2,704 openings

30 days · 86.86% ±5.00 3,400 openings

since tracking started · 86.86% ±5.00 3,400 openings

60.0% 77.0% 94.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/turbo-win?window=24h) | 418 | 74.81% ±14.3 | −1.7σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/turbo-win?window=7d) | 2,704 | 87.66% ±5.60 | +0.1σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/turbo-win) | 3,400 | 86.86% ±5.00 | −0.3σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/turbo-win?window=all) | 3,400 | 86.86% ±5.00 | −0.3σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 58 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,420 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Kimono (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-field-tested) | 1 in 2,500 | $2,005 | 1.8% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 2,500 | $1,604 | 1.5% | 3 | 1.4 | 2.19× |
| [★ Karambit \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,667 | $1,238 | 1.7% | 1 | 2.1 | 0.49× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Crimson Weave (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-crimson-weave-field-tested) | 1 in 1,667 | $1,215 | 1.7% | 1 | 2.1 | 0.49× |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 909 | $659 | 1.7% | 1 | 3.8 | 0.27× |
| [M4A4 \| Hellfire (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $345 | 1.6% | 5 | 6.8 | 0.73× |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $292 | 0.2% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Bullet Rain (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-factory-new) | 1 in 345 | $244 | 1.6% | 11 | 9.9 | 1.11× |
| [AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-factory-new) | 1 in 2,500 | $191 | 0.2% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $188 | 0.2% | 0 | 1.7 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 97 | $186 | 4.4% | 16 | 35.2 | 0.45× |
| [MP9 \| Stained Glass (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-stained-glass-factory-new) | 1 in 84 | $162 | 4.4% | 79 | 40.7 | 1.94× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 1,111 | $154 | 0.3% | 0 | 3.1 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-factory-new) | 1 in 714 | $154 | 0.5% | 0 | 4.8 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 370 | $152 | 0.9% | 0 | 9.2 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 1 in 345 | $147 | 1.0% | 0 | 9.9 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 345 | $147 | 1.0% | 0 | 9.9 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-factory-new) | 1 in 345 | $136 | 0.9% | 0 | 9.9 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) | 1 in 286 | $133 | 1.1% | 0 | 12.0 | 0.00× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 65 | $125 | 4.4% | 31 | 52.3 | 0.59× |
| [M4A4 \| Temukau (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-factory-new) | 1 in 39 | $99.92 | 5.8% | 53 | 87.6 | 0.61× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-minimal-wear) | 1 in 161 | $92.01 | 1.3% | 0 | 21.2 | 0.00× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Cobra Strike (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-cobra-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 36 | $91.19 | 5.8% | 66 | 95.8 | 0.69× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $84.17 | 5.8% | 84 | 104.0 | 0.81× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-field-tested) | 1 in 133 | $83.48 | 1.4% | 0 | 25.6 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-well-worn) | 1 in 130 | $82.27 | 1.4% | 0 | 26.3 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 141 | $77.59 | 1.3% | 0 | 24.3 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $74.94 | 0.7% | 0 | 13.7 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-battle-scarred) | 1 in 87 | $71.83 | 1.9% | 0 | 39.3 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-minimal-wear) | 1 in 85 | $71.67 | 1.9% | 0 | 40.0 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-field-tested) | 1 in 61 | $70.26 | 2.6% | 0 | 55.7 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-minimal-wear) | 1 in 60 | $69.39 | 2.6% | 0 | 57.1 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 63 | $65.01 | 2.4% | 0 | 54.7 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 125 | $63.19 | 1.2% | 0 | 27.4 | 0.00× |
| [P90 \| Cold Blooded (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-cold-blooded-factory-new) | 1 in 19 | $55.78 | 6.6% | 186 | 177.8 | 1.05× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-field-tested) | 1 in 62 | $54.76 | 2.0% | 0 | 55.1 | 0.00× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fairy-tale-minimal-wear) | 1 in 94 | $51.56 | 1.2% | 0 | 36.3 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Afterimage (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-afterimage-factory-new) | 1 in 145 | $47.89 | 0.8% | 0 | 23.6 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 41 | $44.98 | 2.5% | 0 | 83.8 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-battle-scarred) | 1 in 57 | $44.72 | 1.8% | 0 | 60.2 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) | 1 in 85 | $44.56 | 1.2% | 0 | 40.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 1 in 84 | $44.12 | 1.2% | 0 | 40.7 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 80 | $42.49 | 1.2% | 0 | 42.8 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-minimal-wear) | 1 in 90 | $35.83 | 0.9% | 0 | 38.0 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-well-worn) | 1 in 32 | $34.60 | 2.5% | 0 | 107.7 | 0.00× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fairy-tale-field-tested) | 1 in 49 | $27.30 | 1.3% | 0 | 70.1 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-well-worn) | 1 in 47 | $22.66 | 1.1% | 0 | 72.2 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-field-tested) | 1 in 47 | $22.47 | 1.1% | 0 | 73.2 | 0.00× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fairy-tale-well-worn) | 1 in 34 | $21.28 | 1.4% | 0 | 99.5 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Afterimage (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-afterimage-minimal-wear) | 1 in 38 | $20.90 | 1.2% | 0 | 89.3 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Afterimage (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-afterimage-field-tested) | 1 in 37 | $20.54 | 1.3% | 0 | 91.7 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mulberry (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mulberry-factory-new) | 1 in 130 | $15.07 | 0.3% | 0 | 26.3 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mulberry (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mulberry-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $7.61 | 0.3% | 0 | 68.4 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Glitched Paint (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-glitched-paint-factory-new) | 1 in 26 | $5.81 | 0.5% | 0 | 129.6 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Bleeding Edge (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-bleeding-edge-factory-new) | 1 in 27 | $5.80 | 0.5% | 0 | 128.6 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-glitched-paint-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $3.18 | 0.6% | 0 | 301.3 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Bleeding Edge (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-bleeding-edge-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $3.14 | 0.6% | 0 | 303.7 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mulberry (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mulberry-field-tested) | 10.8% | $2.30 | 0.6% | 0 | 369.0 | 0.00× |

Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `casehug:cases/turbo-win`, 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) Hidden $50.00 $1,622 32.44x 2026-11-10 08:23 UTC

[M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) Hidden $50.00 $1,622 32.44x 2026-11-10 08:18 UTC

[M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) Hidden $50.00 $1,619 32.38x 2026-11-06 21:22 UTC

[★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-crimson-weave-field-tested) [Fatih Sultan Tedesco](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Fatih%20Sultan%20Tedesco) $50.00 $1,335 26.71x 2026-11-07 13:20 UTC

[★ Karambit | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-minimal-wear) [larro](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/larro) $50.00 $1,300 26.01x 2026-11-07 08:21 UTC

[★ Talon Knife | Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-slaughter-field-tested) Hidden $50.00 $674 13.48x 2026-11-04 11:35 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=casehug&case=turbo-win)

[USP-S | Monster Mashup weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup) Hidden $50.00 $28.76 0.58x 2026-11-11 17:52 UTC

[FAMAS | Afterimage weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-afterimage) Hidden $50.00 $23.85 0.48x 2026-11-11 17:52 UTC

[AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge) [⚡KajFi⚡](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/%E2%9A%A1KajFi%E2%9A%A1) $50.00 $45.98 0.92x 2026-11-11 17:52 UTC

[FAMAS | Afterimage weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-afterimage) Hidden $50.00 $23.85 0.48x 2026-11-11 17:52 UTC

[M4A1-S | Glitched Paint weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-glitched-paint) Hidden $50.00 $3.97 0.08x 2026-11-11 17:52 UTC

[USP-S | Bleeding Edge weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-bleeding-edge) [✪ FR1BER6 ツ](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/%E2%9C%AA%20FR1BER6%20%E3%83%84) $50.00 $3.93 0.08x 2026-11-11 17:52 UTC

[M4A1-S | Glitched Paint weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-glitched-paint) [dredek](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/dredek) $50.00 $3.97 0.08x 2026-11-11 17:51 UTC

[AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge) [Sayouri](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Sayouri) $50.00 $45.98 0.92x 2026-11-11 17:51 UTC

[FAMAS | Afterimage weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-afterimage) [wh1sky](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/wh1sky) $50.00 $23.85 0.48x 2026-11-11 17:51 UTC

[USP-S | Bleeding Edge weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-bleeding-edge) Hidden $50.00 $3.93 0.08x 2026-11-11 17:47 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC | $50.00 | 87.50% | 58 |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $50.00 | 87.50% | 58 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $50.00 | 87.17% | 58 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $50.00 | 87.70% | 58 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $50.00 | 87.73% | 58 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $50.00 | 87.80% | 58 |
| 9 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $50.00 | 87.51% | 58 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $50.00 | 87.80% | 58 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $50.00 | 87.60% | 58 |
| 8 Nov, 23:35 UTC | $50.00 | 87.80% | 58 |
| 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $50.00 | 87.51% | 58 |
| 8 Nov, 11:27 UTC | $50.00 | 87.60% | 58 |
| 8 Nov, 05:24 UTC | $50.00 | 87.51% | 58 |
| 7 Nov, 23:20 UTC | $50.00 | 87.53% | 58 |
| 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $50.00 | 87.51% | 58 |
| 6 Nov, 23:04 UTC | $50.00 | 87.53% | 58 |
| 6 Nov, 17:00 UTC | $50.00 | 86.99% | 58 |
| 6 Nov, 10:57 UTC | $50.00 | 87.41% | 58 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $50.00 | 87.27% | 58 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $50.00 | 87.52% | 58 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $50.00 | 87.84% | 58 |
| 3 Nov, 10:08 UTC | $50.00 | 88.02% | 58 |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | $50.00 | 87.63% | 58 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed extraordinary 0.1% classified 19.2% covert 29.1% restricted 1.2% red 2.3% Ancient 2.5% Legendary 2.1% pink 2.1% #d32ee6 2.7% Mythical 33.0% violet 5.8% best hit $1,622 (32.44x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.50 on average: an expected loss of $12.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt