---
title: "USP-S case on Casehug: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "USP-S ($1.65) on Casehug, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.50% from 94 items with odds, observed 86.69% over 29.4K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/usp-s
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:22Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) / [USP-S](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/usp-s)

# [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) · USP-S

A case on Casehug (CS2 WEAPONS), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/usp-s?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/usp-s?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/usp-s) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/usp-s?window=all)

Price · $1.65

Advertised RTP · 87.50% · EV $1.44 from 94 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 86.69% · 29.4K openings, odds method

Variance · 3.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 23.7% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 70.6% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 84.86% ±5.48 3,812 openings

7 days · 86.92% ±2.19 25.1K openings

30 days · 86.69% ±2.04 29.4K openings

since tracking started · 86.69% ±2.04 29.4K openings

78.5% 84.8% 91.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/usp-s?window=24h) | 3,812 | 84.86% ±5.48 | −0.9σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/usp-s?window=7d) | 25.1K | 86.92% ±2.19 | −0.7σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/usp-s) | 29.4K | 86.69% ±2.04 | −0.9σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/usp-s?window=all) | 29.4K | 86.69% ±2.04 | −0.9σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 94 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 29.4K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 33,333 | $143 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33,333 | $137 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 33,333 | $137 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 33,333 | $136 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [USP-S \| Orion (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-orion-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $104 | 0.7% | 1 | 2.9 | 0.34× |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-factory-new) | 1 in 50,000 | $76.88 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [USP-S \| Orange Anolis (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-orange-anolis-factory-new) | 1 in 6,667 | $72.25 | 0.8% | 7 | 4.4 | 1.59× |
| [USP-S \| Serum (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-serum-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,882 | $59.73 | 0.7% | 7 | 5.0 | 1.40× |
| [USP-S \| The Traitor (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20,000 | $58.58 | 0.2% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 14,286 | $47.11 | 0.2% | 0 | 2.1 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Printstream (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-well-worn) | 1 in 12,500 | $43.39 | 0.2% | 0 | 2.4 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| The Traitor (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-field-tested) | 1 in 11,111 | $41.03 | 0.3% | 0 | 2.6 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 10,000 | $40.23 | 0.3% | 0 | 2.9 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Cortex (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-factory-new) | 1 in 33,333 | $38.98 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [USP-S \| Business Class (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-business-class-field-tested) | 1 in 3,571 | $36.83 | 0.7% | 5 | 8.2 | 0.61× |
| [USP-S \| The Traitor (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-battle-scarred) | 1 in 8,333 | $36.31 | 0.3% | 0 | 3.5 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14,286 | $36.22 | 0.2% | 0 | 2.1 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Cyrex (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $35.94 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Purple DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-purple-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 3,226 | $32.47 | 0.7% | 11 | 9.1 | 1.21× |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-field-tested) | 1 in 6,667 | $23.75 | 0.2% | 0 | 4.4 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-battle-scarred) | 1 in 6,667 | $23.20 | 0.2% | 0 | 4.4 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Black Lotus (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-black-lotus-factory-new) | 1 in 50,000 | $21.96 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $18.64 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Blueprint (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-minimal-wear) | 1 in 16,667 | $16.34 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Cortex (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,564 | $8.17 | 0.2% | 0 | 11.5 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Cyrex (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-minimal-wear) | 1 in 833 | $6.89 | 0.6% | 0 | 35.3 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,167 | $6.78 | 0.1% | 0 | 7.1 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Forest Leaves (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-forest-leaves-factory-new) | 1 in 100,000 | $6.70 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [USP-S \| Royal Guard (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-guard-factory-new) | 1 in 1,961 | $6.03 | 0.2% | 0 | 15.0 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| 27 (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-27-factory-new) | 1 in 3,846 | $5.81 | 0.1% | 0 | 7.7 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Bleeding Edge (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-bleeding-edge-factory-new) | 1 in 893 | $5.66 | 0.4% | 0 | 33.0 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Blueprint (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-field-tested) | 1 in 188 | $5.37 | 2.0% | 0 | 156.3 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Blueprint (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-well-worn) | 1 in 150 | $4.80 | 2.2% | 0 | 195.7 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Blueprint (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-battle-scarred) | 1 in 136 | $4.57 | 2.3% | 0 | 215.8 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Flashback (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-flashback-factory-new) | 1 in 870 | $4.42 | 0.4% | 0 | 33.9 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-field-tested) | 1 in 161 | $4.21 | 1.8% | 0 | 182.5 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) | 1 in 66 | $4.19 | 4.4% | 0 | 447.4 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-battle-scarred) | 1 in 36 | $4.02 | 7.7% | 0 | 815.4 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-well-worn) | 1 in 35 | $3.96 | 7.8% | 0 | 840.1 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Bleeding Edge (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-bleeding-edge-minimal-wear) | 1 in 72 | $3.23 | 3.1% | 0 | 409.5 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Desert Tactical (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-desert-tactical-factory-new) | 1 in 365 | $3.00 | 0.6% | 0 | 80.7 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Black Lotus (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-black-lotus-minimal-wear) | 1 in 71 | $2.92 | 2.9% | 0 | 416.5 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Royal Guard (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-guard-minimal-wear) | 1 in 93 | $2.63 | 2.0% | 0 | 317.9 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Factory New) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $2.19 | 13.8% | 0 | 2685.2 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Silent Shot (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-silent-shot-factory-new) | 1 in 18 | $1.70 | 6.7% | 0 | 1679.3 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Check Engine (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-check-engine-factory-new) | 13.9% | $1.55 | 14.9% | 0 | 4083.4 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Alpine Camo (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-alpine-camo-factory-new) | 1 in 16 | $1.32 | 5.8% | 0 | 1858.9 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Bleeding Edge (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-bleeding-edge-field-tested) | 1 in 212 | $1.30 | 0.4% | 0 | 138.6 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Bleeding Edge (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-bleeding-edge-well-worn) | 1 in 210 | $1.29 | 0.4% | 0 | 140.4 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Black Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-black-lotus-field-tested) | 1 in 231 | $1.22 | 0.4% | 0 | 127.5 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| PC-GRN (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-pc-grn-factory-new) | 1 in 1,639 | $1.18 | 0.0% | 0 | 18.0 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Bleeding Edge (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-bleeding-edge-battle-scarred) | 1 in 175 | $1.15 | 0.5% | 0 | 168.7 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Tropical Breeze (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-tropical-breeze-factory-new) | 1 in 735 | $1.15 | 0.1% | 0 | 40.0 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-minimal-wear) | 1 in 233 | $1.07 | 0.3% | 0 | 126.6 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Black Lotus (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-black-lotus-well-worn) | 1 in 149 | $0.93 | 0.4% | 0 | 196.9 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Check Engine (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-check-engine-minimal-wear) | 1 in 141 | $0.89 | 0.4% | 0 | 209.0 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Black Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-black-lotus-battle-scarred) | 1 in 125 | $0.83 | 0.5% | 0 | 236.1 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Flashback (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-flashback-minimal-wear) | 1 in 156 | $0.80 | 0.4% | 0 | 188.4 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Silent Shot (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-silent-shot-minimal-wear) | 1 in 327 | $0.72 | 0.2% | 0 | 90.1 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-field-tested) | 1 in 115 | $0.69 | 0.4% | 0 | 254.9 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Flashback (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-flashback-well-worn) | 1 in 118 | $0.67 | 0.4% | 0 | 250.2 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-well-worn) | 1 in 110 | $0.67 | 0.4% | 0 | 267.3 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Royal Guard (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-guard-well-worn) | 1 in 140 | $0.66 | 0.3% | 0 | 210.8 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Flashback (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-flashback-field-tested) | 1 in 99 | $0.60 | 0.4% | 0 | 298.2 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Royal Guard (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-guard-field-tested) | 1 in 114 | $0.58 | 0.4% | 0 | 258.7 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Desert Tactical (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-desert-tactical-minimal-wear) | 1 in 342 | $0.58 | 0.1% | 0 | 86.0 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Alpine Camo (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-alpine-camo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 215 | $0.58 | 0.2% | 0 | 137.2 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Tropical Breeze (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-tropical-breeze-minimal-wear) | 1 in 248 | $0.58 | 0.2% | 0 | 118.9 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Check Engine (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-check-engine-field-tested) | 1 in 69 | $0.57 | 0.6% | 0 | 425.6 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Royal Guard (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-guard-battle-scarred) | 1 in 101 | $0.54 | 0.4% | 0 | 290.2 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| 27 (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-27-minimal-wear) | 1 in 179 | $0.47 | 0.2% | 0 | 164.3 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Alpine Camo (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-alpine-camo-well-worn) | 1 in 128 | $0.42 | 0.2% | 0 | 229.6 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Silent Shot (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-silent-shot-field-tested) | 1 in 128 | $0.40 | 0.2% | 0 | 230.2 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| 27 (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-27-field-tested) | 1 in 112 | $0.35 | 0.2% | 0 | 262.9 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Alpine Camo (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-alpine-camo-field-tested) | 1 in 96 | $0.35 | 0.3% | 0 | 307.0 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Alpine Camo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-alpine-camo-battle-scarred) | 1 in 91 | $0.34 | 0.3% | 0 | 321.7 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Tropical Breeze (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-tropical-breeze-well-worn) | 1 in 96 | $0.32 | 0.2% | 0 | 307.3 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Tropical Breeze (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-tropical-breeze-field-tested) | 1 in 96 | $0.32 | 0.2% | 0 | 307.3 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| 27 (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-27-battle-scarred) | 1 in 83 | $0.29 | 0.2% | 0 | 355.3 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Silent Shot (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-silent-shot-well-worn) | 1 in 77 | $0.29 | 0.3% | 0 | 384.7 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Tropical Breeze (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-tropical-breeze-battle-scarred) | 1 in 82 | $0.29 | 0.2% | 0 | 359.7 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Silent Shot (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-silent-shot-battle-scarred) | 1 in 72 | $0.28 | 0.3% | 0 | 406.8 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| 27 (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-27-well-worn) | 1 in 70 | $0.26 | 0.3% | 0 | 423.0 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| PC-GRN (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-pc-grn-minimal-wear) | 1 in 130 | $0.24 | 0.1% | 0 | 226.7 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Desert Tactical (Well-Worn) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-desert-tactical-well-worn) | 1 in 63 | $0.20 | 0.2% | 0 | 469.8 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Desert Tactical (Field-Tested) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-desert-tactical-field-tested) | 1 in 63 | $0.20 | 0.2% | 0 | 469.8 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Desert Tactical (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-desert-tactical-battle-scarred) | 1 in 63 | $0.20 | 0.2% | 0 | 469.8 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Forest Leaves (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-forest-leaves-minimal-wear) | 1 in 126 | $0.14 | 0.1% | 0 | 234.3 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| PC-GRN (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-pc-grn-well-worn) | 1 in 55 | $0.14 | 0.2% | 0 | 536.3 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| PC-GRN (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-pc-grn-field-tested) | 1 in 55 | $0.14 | 0.2% | 0 | 536.3 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| PC-GRN (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-pc-grn-battle-scarred) | 1 in 55 | $0.14 | 0.2% | 0 | 536.3 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Forest Leaves (Well-Worn) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-forest-leaves-well-worn) | 1 in 32 | $0.06 | 0.1% | 0 | 907.2 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Forest Leaves (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-forest-leaves-field-tested) | 1 in 32 | $0.06 | 0.1% | 0 | 907.2 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Forest Leaves (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-forest-leaves-battle-scarred) | 1 in 24 | $0.05 | 0.1% | 0 | 1210.4 | 0.00× |

Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `casehug:cases/usp-s`, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[USP-S | Neo-Noir weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir) [wrona SKINS skins.army CS2.ME](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/wrona%20SKINS%20skins.army%20CS2.ME) $1.65 $139 84.07x 2026-11-08 22:20 UTC

[USP-S | Neo-Noir weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir) Hidden $1.65 $138 83.87x 2026-11-07 20:58 UTC

[USP-S | Neo-Noir weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir) [kslwrz](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/kslwrz) $1.65 $138 83.87x 2026-11-07 18:33 UTC

[USP-S | Neo-Noir weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir) Hidden $1.65 $138 83.66x 2026-11-10 21:38 UTC

[USP-S | Neo-Noir weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir) [Haise](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Haise) $1.65 $135 81.98x 2026-11-10 11:15 UTC

[USP-S | Orion (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-orion-factory-new) [kosa2137skins.armyCS2.ME](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/kosa2137skins.armyCS2.ME) $1.65 $105 63.78x 2026-11-03 11:10 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=casehug&case=usp-s)

[USP-S | Jawbreaker weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker) Hidden $1.65 $4.03 2.44x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC

[USP-S | Check Engine weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-check-engine) [❟❛❟\[HENTAI+\]](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/%E2%9D%9F%E2%9D%9B%E2%9D%9F%5BHENTAI%2B%5D) $1.65 $1.43 0.87x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC

[USP-S | PC-GRN weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-pc-grn) Hidden $1.65 $0.16 0.10x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC

[USP-S | 27 weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-27) [❟❛❟\[HENTAI+\]](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/%E2%9D%9F%E2%9D%9B%E2%9D%9F%5BHENTAI%2B%5D) $1.65 $0.35 0.21x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC

[USP-S | Desert Tactical weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-desert-tactical) Hidden $1.65 $0.36 0.22x 2026-11-11 13:18 UTC

[USP-S | PC-GRN weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-pc-grn) Hidden $1.65 $0.16 0.10x 2026-11-11 13:18 UTC

[USP-S | Check Engine weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-check-engine) [ziutek](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/ziutek) $1.65 $1.43 0.87x 2026-11-11 13:18 UTC

[USP-S | Blueprint weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint) Hidden $1.65 $4.91 2.98x 2026-11-11 13:18 UTC

[USP-S | Forest Leaves weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-forest-leaves) Hidden $1.65 $0.06 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:18 UTC

[USP-S | Tropical Breeze weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-tropical-breeze) Hidden $1.65 $0.37 0.22x 2026-11-11 13:18 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $1.65 | 87.50% | 94 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $1.65 | 87.19% | 94 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $1.65 | 88.13% | 94 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $1.65 | 87.40% | 94 |
| 8 Nov, 23:35 UTC | $1.65 | 87.50% | 94 |
| 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $1.65 | 87.03% | 94 |
| 7 Nov, 23:20 UTC | $1.65 | 87.95% | 94 |
| 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $1.65 | 87.95% | 94 |
| 6 Nov, 23:04 UTC | $1.65 | 88.39% | 94 |
| 6 Nov, 17:00 UTC | $1.65 | 87.20% | 94 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $1.65 | 87.95% | 94 |
| 4 Nov, 22:36 UTC | $1.65 | 87.17% | 94 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $1.65 | 88.32% | 94 |
| 4 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $1.65 | 87.57% | 94 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $1.65 | 88.32% | 94 |
| 3 Nov, 15:55 UTC | $1.65 | 87.09% | 94 |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | $1.65 | 86.90% | 94 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.0% classified 2.2% restricted 5.4% red 0.0% Ancient 0.0% mil spec 4.6% pink 5.7% industrial 4.2% Mythical 4.4% blue 16.9% Restricted 9.1% Rare 23.2% uncommon 1.4% #4b69ff 9.0% violet 0.6% milspec 1.1% Uncommon 0.3% blueLight 3.2% light blue 1.6% #87c7ff 7.2% best hit $139 (84.07x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.50 on average: an expected loss of $12.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt