---
title: "VAC ATTACK JOKER case on Casehug: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "VAC ATTACK JOKER ($357.65) on Casehug, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.50% from 80 items with odds, observed 119.12% over 129 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/vac-attack-joker
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:56Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) / [VAC ATTACK JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/vac-attack-joker)

# [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) · VAC ATTACK JOKER

A case on Casehug, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/vac-attack-joker?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/vac-attack-joker?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/vac-attack-joker) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/vac-attack-joker?window=all)

Price · $357.65

Advertised RTP · 87.50% · EV $312.94 from 80 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 119.12% · 129 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 10.7% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 82.1% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 17 openings · below min

7 days · 119.12% ±24.33 129 openings

30 days · 119.12% ±24.33 129 openings

since tracking started · 119.12% ±24.33 129 openings

61.5% 129.5% 197.5%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 87.57% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (94.79% – 143.45%, 129 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/vac-attack-joker?window=24h) | 17 | 129.59% ±67.4 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/vac-attack-joker?window=7d) | 129 | 119.12% ±24.3 | +2.5σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/vac-attack-joker) | 129 | 119.12% ±24.3 | +2.5σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/vac-attack-joker?window=all) | 129 | 119.12% ±24.3 | +2.5σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 80 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 147 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Karambit \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 28 | $2,262 | 25.8% | 11 | 5.2 | 2.10× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 28 | $1,719 | 19.6% | 6 | 5.2 | 1.14× |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 28 | $825 | 9.4% | 6 | 5.2 | 1.14× |
| [AWP \| Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 28 | $616 | 7.0% | 6 | 5.2 | 1.14× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 28 | $481 | 5.5% | 6 | 5.2 | 1.14× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 28 | $357 | 4.1% | 5 | 5.2 | 0.95× |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 28 | $316 | 3.6% | 4 | 5.2 | 0.76× |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 112 | $293 | 0.8% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 28 | $285 | 3.3% | 4 | 5.2 | 0.76× |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-factory-new) | 1 in 140 | $269 | 0.6% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-factory-new) | 1 in 140 | $256 | 0.6% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 28 | $252 | 2.9% | 2 | 5.2 | 0.38× |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-minimal-wear) | 1 in 112 | $200 | 0.6% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 28 | $176 | 2.0% | 4 | 5.2 | 0.76× |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-field-tested) | 1 in 112 | $172 | 0.5% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-factory-new) | 1 in 140 | $159 | 0.4% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 112 | $156 | 0.4% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 112 | $156 | 0.4% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 112 | $146 | 0.4% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-well-worn) | 1 in 112 | $143 | 0.4% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Autotronic (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-autotronic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 28 | $140 | 1.6% | 5 | 5.2 | 0.95× |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 1 in 112 | $139 | 0.4% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-battle-scarred) | 1 in 112 | $137 | 0.4% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-minimal-wear) | 1 in 140 | $137 | 0.3% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-field-tested) | 1 in 140 | $131 | 0.3% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-field-tested) | 1 in 112 | $128 | 0.4% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-minimal-wear) | 1 in 112 | $128 | 0.4% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-battle-scarred) | 1 in 140 | $126 | 0.3% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-well-worn) | 1 in 112 | $124 | 0.4% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-well-worn) | 1 in 140 | $122 | 0.3% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-battle-scarred) | 1 in 112 | $115 | 0.3% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-minimal-wear) | 1 in 140 | $109 | 0.2% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 28 | $109 | 1.2% | 4 | 5.2 | 0.76× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Lore (Well-Worn) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-lore-well-worn) | 1 in 28 | $106 | 1.2% | 2 | 5.3 | 0.38× |
| [AK-47 \| Head Shot (Factory New) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-head-shot-factory-new) | 1 in 56 | $103 | 0.6% | 0 | 2.6 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-factory-new) | 1 in 140 | $90.82 | 0.2% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 140 | $83.95 | 0.2% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-field-tested) | 1 in 140 | $74.67 | 0.2% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-field-tested) | 1 in 112 | $71.74 | 0.2% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-well-worn) | 1 in 140 | $65.16 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-battle-scarred) | 1 in 140 | $60.74 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Head Shot (Minimal Wear) weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-head-shot-minimal-wear) | 1 in 56 | $57.58 | 0.3% | 0 | 2.6 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-field-tested) | 1 in 140 | $55.72 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-well-worn) | 1 in 112 | $54.96 | 0.2% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 140 | $54.89 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-well-worn) | 1 in 140 | $54.01 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-battle-scarred) | 1 in 112 | $53.92 | 0.2% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Well-Worn) weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-well-worn) | 1 in 140 | $46.69 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Decimator (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-factory-new) | 1 in 140 | $45.59 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-battle-scarred) | 1 in 140 | $44.40 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 140 | $43.39 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 140 | $40.36 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Ice Coaled (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled-factory-new) | 1 in 140 | $34.78 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [MP7 \| Smoking Kills (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-smoking-kills-factory-new) | 1 in 140 | $32.30 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Green Energy (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-green-energy-factory-new) | 1 in 140 | $31.82 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Searing Rage (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-searing-rage-factory-new) | 1 in 140 | $24.97 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Decimator (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-minimal-wear) | 1 in 140 | $22.44 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled-minimal-wear) | 1 in 140 | $17.07 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mulberry (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mulberry-factory-new) | 1 in 112 | $15.92 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Green Energy (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-green-energy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 140 | $15.36 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Decimator (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-field-tested) | 1 in 140 | $15.18 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Decimator (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-battle-scarred) | 1 in 140 | $14.82 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [MP7 \| Smoking Kills (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-smoking-kills-minimal-wear) | 1 in 140 | $14.77 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Decimator (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-well-worn) | 1 in 140 | $14.67 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled-field-tested) | 1 in 140 | $8.73 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Searing Rage (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-searing-rage-minimal-wear) | 1 in 140 | $8.58 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mulberry (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mulberry-minimal-wear) | 1 in 112 | $8.18 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [MP7 \| Smoking Kills (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-smoking-kills-field-tested) | 1 in 140 | $7.99 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Green Energy (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-green-energy-field-tested) | 1 in 140 | $7.34 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Green Energy (Well-Worn) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-green-energy-well-worn) | 1 in 140 | $7.10 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Ice Coaled (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled-well-worn) | 1 in 140 | $6.74 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [MP7 \| Smoking Kills (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-smoking-kills-well-worn) | 1 in 140 | $5.78 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Searing Rage (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-searing-rage-field-tested) | 1 in 140 | $5.69 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Searing Rage (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-searing-rage-well-worn) | 1 in 140 | $5.66 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Searing Rage (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-searing-rage-battle-scarred) | 1 in 140 | $5.20 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [MP7 \| Smoking Kills (Battle-Scarred) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-smoking-kills-battle-scarred) | 1 in 140 | $4.76 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Ice Coaled (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled-battle-scarred) | 1 in 140 | $4.43 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Green Energy (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-green-energy-battle-scarred) | 1 in 140 | $3.56 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mulberry (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mulberry-well-worn) | 1 in 112 | $2.51 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mulberry (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mulberry-field-tested) | 1 in 112 | $2.33 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |

Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `casehug:cases/vac-attack-joker`, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Karambit | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-factory-new) Hidden $367 $2,292 6.24x 2026-11-08 17:24 UTC

[★ Karambit | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-factory-new) Hidden $367 $2,292 6.24x 2026-11-06 22:18 UTC

[★ Karambit | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-factory-new) [SPARKY](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/SPARKY) $367 $2,292 6.24x 2026-11-06 20:57 UTC

[★ Karambit | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-factory-new) Hidden $367 $2,292 6.24x 2026-11-06 19:22 UTC

[★ Karambit | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-factory-new) Hidden $367 $2,291 6.24x 2026-11-06 10:38 UTC

[★ Karambit | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-factory-new) [\_quot;S\_quot; KING](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/_quot%3BS_quot%3B%20KING) $365 $2,269 6.21x 2026-11-10 01:41 UTC

[★ Karambit | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-factory-new) Hidden $358 $2,262 6.32x 2026-11-10 23:28 UTC

[★ Karambit | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-factory-new) [code VESU](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/code%20VESU) $368 $2,237 6.08x 2026-11-04 16:03 UTC

[★ Karambit | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-factory-new) Hidden $368 $2,237 6.07x 2026-11-03 12:16 UTC

[★ Karambit | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-factory-new) [愛](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/%E6%84%9B) $362 $2,235 6.17x 2026-11-09 19:21 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=casehug&case=vac-attack-joker)

[AWP | Containment Breach weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach) Hidden $358 $77.08 0.22x 2026-11-10 23:29 UTC

[M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire) Hidden $358 $141 0.40x 2026-11-10 23:29 UTC

[AK-47 | The Empress weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress) [grochalek](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/grochalek) $358 $155 0.43x 2026-11-10 23:29 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $358 $1,719 4.81x 2026-11-10 23:28 UTC

[★ Karambit | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-factory-new) Hidden $358 $2,262 6.32x 2026-11-10 23:28 UTC

[AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) [grochalek](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/grochalek) $358 $616 1.72x 2026-11-10 23:28 UTC

[AK-47 | The Empress weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress) Hidden $358 $155 0.43x 2026-11-10 23:28 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Mulberry weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mulberry) Hidden $358 $7.24 0.02x 2026-11-10 23:28 UTC

[M4A1-S | Golden Coil weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil) [grochalek](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/grochalek) $358 $116 0.32x 2026-11-10 23:28 UTC

[AK-47 | Fuel Injector weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector) Hidden $361 $151 0.42x 2026-11-10 23:28 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $358 | 87.50% | 80 |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $361 | 87.50% | 80 |
| 10 Nov, 02:18 UTC | $365 | 87.50% | 80 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $362 | 87.50% | 80 |
| 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $364 | 87.50% | 80 |
| 7 Nov, 23:20 UTC | $367 | 87.50% | 80 |
| 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $362 | 87.50% | 80 |
| 6 Nov, 23:04 UTC | $367 | 87.50% | 80 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $367 | 87.50% | 80 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $368 | 87.50% | 80 |
| 5 Nov, 04:40 UTC | $369 | 87.50% | 80 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $368 | 87.50% | 80 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 57.7% #ffd700 3.6% epic 3.6% sunny 3.6% red 1.6% gold 3.6% Ancient 2.5% Covert 2.5% classified 2.9% pink 5.7% rare 2.1% uncommon 3.6% Mythical 1.8% #d32ce6 2.9% Legendary 0.7% violet 1.8% best hit $2,292 (6.24x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.50 on average: an expected loss of $12.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt