---
title: "WAR GOD case on Casehug: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "WAR GOD ($2.00) on Casehug, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.50% from 56 items with odds, observed 90.33% over 33.7K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/war-god
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:52Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) / [WAR GOD](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/war-god)

# [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) · WAR GOD

A case on Casehug (BATTLE), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/war-god?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/war-god?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/war-god) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/war-god?window=all)

Price · $2.00

Advertised RTP · 87.50% · EV $1.75 from 56 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 90.33% · 33.7K openings, odds method

Variance · 14.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 13.2% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 70.1% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 90.78% ±11.84 3,884 openings

7 days · 90.25% ±4.51 28.7K openings

30 days · 90.33% ±4.26 33.7K openings

since tracking started · 90.33% ±4.26 33.7K openings

78.5% 91.0% 103.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/war-god?window=24h) | 3,884 | 90.78% ±11.8 | +0.5σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/war-god?window=7d) | 28.7K | 90.25% ±4.51 | +1.2σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/war-god) | 33.7K | 90.33% ±4.26 | +1.3σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/war-god?window=all) | 33.7K | 90.33% ±4.26 | +1.3σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 56 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 33.7K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $697 | 1.6% | 4 | 1.3 | 2.96× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-field-tested) | 1 in 16,667 | $446 | 1.5% | 3 | 2.0 | 1.48× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $357 | 1.6% | 4 | 2.7 | 1.48× |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 6,250 | $156 | 1.4% | 8 | 5.4 | 1.48× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 4,762 | $116 | 1.4% | 5 | 7.1 | 0.71× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 16,667 | $83.95 | 0.3% | 0 | 2.0 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12,500 | $75.96 | 0.3% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-well-worn) | 1 in 11,111 | $71.51 | 0.4% | 0 | 3.0 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-battle-scarred) | 1 in 10,000 | $65.71 | 0.4% | 0 | 3.4 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $65.16 | 0.4% | 0 | 3.4 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-field-tested) | 1 in 8,333 | $55.72 | 0.4% | 0 | 4.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-well-worn) | 1 in 8,333 | $54.01 | 0.4% | 0 | 4.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,556 | $44.40 | 0.5% | 0 | 6.1 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Inheritance (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-field-tested) | 1 in 1,818 | $43.38 | 1.4% | 22 | 18.6 | 1.19× |
| [AK-47 \| Head Shot (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-head-shot-field-tested) | 1 in 1,587 | $37.36 | 1.3% | 24 | 21.3 | 1.13× |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,263 | $23.61 | 0.3% | 0 | 6.4 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-well-worn) | 1 in 2,439 | $15.65 | 0.4% | 0 | 13.8 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-field-tested) | 1 in 2,381 | $15.51 | 0.4% | 0 | 14.2 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,273 | $15.02 | 0.4% | 0 | 14.8 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,222 | $9.77 | 0.3% | 0 | 15.2 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tooth-fairy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 120 | $6.69 | 3.2% | 0 | 280.1 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-well-worn) | 1 in 84 | $6.67 | 4.5% | 0 | 399.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-field-tested) | 1 in 85 | $6.67 | 4.5% | 0 | 399.2 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-battle-scarred) | 1 in 78 | $6.43 | 4.7% | 0 | 429.9 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tooth-fairy-well-worn) | 1 in 38 | $4.80 | 7.2% | 0 | 884.7 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tooth-fairy-field-tested) | 1 in 36 | $4.67 | 7.4% | 0 | 934.7 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tooth-fairy-battle-scarred) | 1 in 35 | $4.57 | 7.5% | 0 | 975.5 | 0.00× |
| [P250 \| Cyber Shell (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cyber-shell-factory-new) | 1 in 265 | $3.98 | 0.9% | 0 | 127.5 | 0.00× |
| [MAC-10 \| Button Masher (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-button-masher-factory-new) | 1 in 204 | $3.49 | 1.0% | 0 | 165.7 | 0.00× |
| [G3SG1 \| Dream Glade (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-dream-glade-factory-new) | 1 in 122 | $3.17 | 1.5% | 0 | 277.4 | 0.00× |
| [Sticker \| Chrome Dome (Holo) sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-chrome-dome-holo) | 1 in 15 | $2.88 | 10.8% | 2,095 | 2209.8 | 0.95× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Violent Daimyo (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-violent-daimyo-factory-new) | 1 in 271 | $2.48 | 0.5% | 0 | 124.5 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off \| Fubar (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-fubar-well-worn) | 1 in 12 | $2.33 | 10.8% | 3,238 | 2731.2 | 1.19× |
| [P250 \| Cyber Shell (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cyber-shell-minimal-wear) | 1 in 97 | $1.03 | 0.6% | 0 | 349.6 | 0.00× |
| [MAC-10 \| Button Masher (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-button-masher-minimal-wear) | 1 in 119 | $1.01 | 0.5% | 0 | 283.4 | 0.00× |
| [G3SG1 \| Dream Glade (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-dream-glade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 86 | $1.01 | 0.7% | 0 | 392.1 | 0.00× |
| [UMP-45 \| Arctic Wolf (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-arctic-wolf-minimal-wear) | 1 in 94 | $0.87 | 0.5% | 0 | 359.4 | 0.00× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Violent Daimyo (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-violent-daimyo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 74 | $0.70 | 0.5% | 0 | 454.9 | 0.00× |
| [G3SG1 \| Dream Glade (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-dream-glade-field-tested) | 1 in 51 | $0.69 | 0.8% | 0 | 668.1 | 0.00× |
| [G3SG1 \| Dream Glade (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-dream-glade-well-worn) | 1 in 47 | $0.66 | 0.8% | 0 | 710.6 | 0.00× |
| [G3SG1 \| Dream Glade (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-dream-glade-battle-scarred) | 1 in 47 | $0.66 | 0.8% | 0 | 710.6 | 0.00× |
| [Sticker \| High Heat sticker · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-high-heat) | 1 in 12 | $0.64 | 3.0% | 2,808 | 2746.3 | 1.02× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Violent Daimyo (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-violent-daimyo-well-worn) | 1 in 45 | $0.49 | 0.6% | 0 | 749.1 | 0.00× |
| [MAC-10 \| Button Masher (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-button-masher-field-tested) | 1 in 41 | $0.47 | 0.7% | 0 | 826.4 | 0.00× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Violent Daimyo (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-violent-daimyo-field-tested) | 1 in 42 | $0.47 | 0.6% | 0 | 794.3 | 0.00× |
| [UMP-45 \| Arctic Wolf (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-arctic-wolf-well-worn) | 1 in 40 | $0.47 | 0.7% | 0 | 850.3 | 0.00× |
| [P250 \| Cyber Shell (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cyber-shell-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $0.46 | 0.7% | 0 | 852.3 | 0.00× |
| [UMP-45 \| Arctic Wolf (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-arctic-wolf-field-tested) | 1 in 39 | $0.46 | 0.7% | 0 | 876.3 | 0.00× |
| [Tec-9 \| Brother (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-brother-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $0.46 | 2.4% | 3,174 | 3133.7 | 1.01× |
| [P250 \| Cyber Shell (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cyber-shell-well-worn) | 1 in 37 | $0.44 | 0.7% | 0 | 907.0 | 0.00× |
| [MAC-10 \| Button Masher (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-button-masher-battle-scarred) | 1 in 37 | $0.44 | 0.7% | 0 | 906.3 | 0.00× |
| [P250 \| Cyber Shell (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cyber-shell-battle-scarred) | 1 in 36 | $0.43 | 0.7% | 0 | 937.0 | 0.00× |
| [MAC-10 \| Button Masher (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-button-masher-well-worn) | 1 in 36 | $0.43 | 0.7% | 0 | 936.0 | 0.00× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Violent Daimyo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-violent-daimyo-battle-scarred) | 1 in 38 | $0.43 | 0.7% | 0 | 899.6 | 0.00× |
| [UMP-45 \| Arctic Wolf (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-arctic-wolf-battle-scarred) | 1 in 35 | $0.43 | 0.7% | 0 | 963.0 | 0.00× |
| [Nova \| Army Sheen (Minimal Wear) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-army-sheen-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10 | $0.37 | 2.1% | 3,541 | 3345.3 | 1.06× |

Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `casehug:cases/war-god`, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Talon Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $2.00 $712 356.2x 2026-11-03 11:05 UTC

[★ Talon Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [TheOne | skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/TheOne%20%7C%20skins.army) $2.00 $704 352.1x 2026-11-05 02:59 UTC

[★ Talon Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $2.00 $704 352.1x 2026-11-04 17:49 UTC

[★ Talon Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [ziomsonpl](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/ziomsonpl) $2.00 $697 348.3x 2026-11-11 00:14 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-field-tested) [ecid](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/ecid) $2.00 $516 258.1x 2026-11-03 17:10 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-field-tested) [needBoobs](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/needBoobs) $2.00 $493 246.7x 2026-11-06 16:18 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-field-tested) Hidden $2.00 $493 246.7x 2026-11-05 21:55 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $2.00 $373 186.3x 2026-11-06 15:05 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $2.00 $369 184.4x 2026-11-07 08:17 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) [Peanut](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Peanut) $2.00 $366 183.2x 2026-11-04 18:20 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=casehug&case=war-god)

[Nova | Army Sheen (Minimal Wear) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-army-sheen-minimal-wear) [Binek](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Binek) $2.00 $0.37 0.19x 2026-11-11 13:52 UTC

[G3SG1 | Dream Glade weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-dream-glade) [Binek](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Binek) $2.00 $0.97 0.49x 2026-11-11 13:52 UTC

[Nova | Army Sheen (Minimal Wear) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-army-sheen-minimal-wear) [Binek](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Binek) $2.00 $0.37 0.19x 2026-11-11 13:51 UTC

[UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-arctic-wolf) Hidden $2.00 $0.50 0.25x 2026-11-11 13:51 UTC

[G3SG1 | Dream Glade weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-dream-glade) [ognistylebb](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/ognistylebb) $2.00 $0.97 0.49x 2026-11-11 13:51 UTC

[Tec-9 | Brother (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-brother-field-tested) [Binek](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Binek) $2.00 $0.46 0.23x 2026-11-11 13:51 UTC

[P250 | Cyber Shell weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cyber-shell) [Binek](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Binek) $2.00 $0.65 0.33x 2026-11-11 13:51 UTC

[Sticker | Chrome Dome (Holo) sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-chrome-dome-holo) [Binek](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Binek) $2.00 $2.88 1.44x 2026-11-11 13:51 UTC

[UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-arctic-wolf) [bih](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/bih) $2.00 $0.50 0.25x 2026-11-11 13:51 UTC

[Sticker | Chrome Dome (Holo) sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-chrome-dome-holo) [ekwador](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/ekwador) $2.00 $2.88 1.44x 2026-11-11 13:51 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $2.00 | 87.50% | 56 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $2.00 | 88.16% | 56 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $2.00 | 86.96% | 56 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $2.00 | 86.84% | 56 |
| 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $2.00 | 87.37% | 56 |
| 8 Nov, 11:27 UTC | $2.00 | 87.71% | 56 |
| 7 Nov, 23:20 UTC | $2.00 | 87.54% | 56 |
| 7 Nov, 11:11 UTC | $2.00 | 87.32% | 56 |
| 6 Nov, 23:04 UTC | $2.00 | 88.08% | 56 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $2.00 | 87.36% | 56 |
| 5 Nov, 10:43 UTC | $2.00 | 87.42% | 56 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $2.00 | 87.96% | 56 |
| 4 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $2.00 | 87.17% | 56 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $2.00 | 87.18% | 56 |
| 3 Nov, 16:38 UTC | $2.00 | 87.04% | 56 |
| 3 Nov, 10:08 UTC | $2.00 | 87.43% | 56 |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | $2.00 | 87.04% | 56 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed epic 0.0% extraordinary 0.0% covert 0.1% red 0.1% Ancient 0.1% classified 1.4% Legendary 2.8% #d32ee6 2.0% pink 6.7% #8847ff 12.2% Mythical 3.9% violet 35.7% blue 21.5% mil spec 1.3% #4b69ff 2.4% gray 9.9% best hit $712 (356.2x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.50 on average: an expected loss of $12.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt