---
title: "WARZONE JOKER case on Casehug: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "WARZONE JOKER ($257.50) on Casehug, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.50% from 74 items with odds, observed 73.43% over 115 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/warzone-joker
rendered: 2026-11-11T17:26Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) / [WARZONE JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/warzone-joker)

# [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) · WARZONE JOKER

A case on Casehug, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/warzone-joker?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/warzone-joker?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/warzone-joker) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/warzone-joker?window=all)

Price · $257.50

Advertised RTP · 87.50% · EV $225.31 from 74 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 73.43% · 115 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 12.5% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 78.3% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 14 openings · below min

7 days · 95 openings · below min

30 days · 73.43% ±20.23 115 openings

since tracking started · 73.43% ±20.23 115 openings

19.5% 77.8% 136.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/warzone-joker?window=24h) | 14 | 77.87% ±57.5 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/warzone-joker?window=7d) | 95 | 68.62% ±22.3 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/warzone-joker) | 115 | 73.43% ±20.2 | −1.4σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/warzone-joker?window=all) | 115 | 73.43% ±20.2 | −1.4σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 74 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 152 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [M4A4 \| The Coalition (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-factory-new) | 1 in 60 | $1,152 | 8.5% | 0 | 2.5 | 0.00× |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 30 | $1,100 | 16.3% | 7 | 5.1 | 1.38× |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 30 | $820 | 12.1% | 4 | 5.1 | 0.79× |
| [★ Karambit \| Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-damascus-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 30 | $815 | 12.1% | 2 | 5.1 | 0.39× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 120 | $425 | 1.6% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| The Coalition (Minimal Wear) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-minimal-wear) | 1 in 60 | $421 | 3.1% | 0 | 2.5 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-master-piece-factory-new) | 1 in 120 | $376 | 1.4% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-factory-new) | 1 in 60 | $364 | 2.7% | 0 | 2.5 | 0.00× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Black Tie (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-black-tie-minimal-wear) | 1 in 60 | $347 | 2.6% | 0 | 2.5 | 0.00× |
| [P90 \| Run and Hide (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-run-and-hide-factory-new) | 1 in 30 | $291 | 4.3% | 4 | 5.1 | 0.79× |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-field-tested) | 1 in 90 | $223 | 1.1% | 0 | 1.7 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 90 | $217 | 1.1% | 0 | 1.7 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-master-piece-minimal-wear) | 1 in 120 | $199 | 0.7% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 150 | $188 | 0.6% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Hypnotic (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-hypnotic-factory-new) | 1 in 30 | $173 | 2.6% | 9 | 5.1 | 1.78× |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-well-worn) | 1 in 90 | $168 | 0.8% | 0 | 1.7 | 0.00× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| King Snake (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-field-tested) | 1 in 90 | $167 | 0.8% | 0 | 1.7 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Waters of Nephthys (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-waters-of-nephthys-factory-new) | 1 in 60 | $164 | 1.2% | 0 | 2.5 | 0.00× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Marble Fade (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-marble-fade-field-tested) | 1 in 120 | $163 | 0.6% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Graphite (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-graphite-factory-new) | 1 in 30 | $162 | 2.4% | 5 | 5.1 | 0.99× |
| [AK-47 \| Redline (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-minimal-wear) | 1 in 120 | $158 | 0.6% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| First Class (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-first-class-minimal-wear) | 1 in 60 | $158 | 1.2% | 0 | 2.5 | 0.00× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| King Snake (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-well-worn) | 1 in 90 | $154 | 0.8% | 0 | 1.7 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 90 | $153 | 0.8% | 0 | 1.7 | 0.00× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Marble Fade (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-marble-fade-well-worn) | 1 in 120 | $152 | 0.6% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [Galil AR \| Sugar Rush (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sugar-rush-factory-new) | 1 in 60 | $151 | 1.1% | 0 | 2.5 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-master-piece-field-tested) | 1 in 120 | $149 | 0.6% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Black Tie (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-black-tie-field-tested) | 1 in 60 | $149 | 1.1% | 0 | 2.5 | 0.00× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 90 | $138 | 0.7% | 0 | 1.7 | 0.00× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| King Snake (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-battle-scarred) | 1 in 90 | $132 | 0.7% | 0 | 1.7 | 0.00× |
| [★ Kukri Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 60 | $132 | 1.0% | 0 | 2.5 | 0.00× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Marble Fade (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-marble-fade-battle-scarred) | 1 in 120 | $130 | 0.5% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-minimal-wear) | 1 in 120 | $126 | 0.5% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-battle-scarred) | 1 in 90 | $120 | 0.6% | 0 | 1.7 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| First Class (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-first-class-field-tested) | 1 in 60 | $117 | 0.9% | 0 | 2.5 | 0.00× |
| [★ Kukri Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 60 | $112 | 0.8% | 0 | 2.5 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 90 | $105 | 0.5% | 0 | 1.7 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-master-piece-well-worn) | 1 in 120 | $104 | 0.4% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [Tec-9 \| Decimator (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-factory-new) | 1 in 120 | $103 | 0.4% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Berries And Cherries (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-berries-and-cherries-factory-new) | 1 in 30 | $95.90 | 1.4% | 8 | 5.1 | 1.58× |
| [M4A4 \| In Living Color (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-in-living-color-factory-new) | 1 in 150 | $95.81 | 0.3% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Dragon Tattoo (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-dragon-tattoo-factory-new) | 1 in 30 | $95.58 | 1.4% | 7 | 5.1 | 1.38× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-factory-new) | 1 in 60 | $87.72 | 0.6% | 0 | 2.5 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Waters of Nephthys (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-waters-of-nephthys-minimal-wear) | 1 in 60 | $83.84 | 0.6% | 0 | 2.5 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Chrome Cannon (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chrome-cannon-factory-new) | 1 in 60 | $83.82 | 0.6% | 0 | 2.5 | 0.00× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-black-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 90 | $81.32 | 0.4% | 0 | 1.7 | 0.00× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 90 | $77.56 | 0.4% | 0 | 1.7 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-field-tested) | 1 in 120 | $71.10 | 0.3% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [Galil AR \| Sugar Rush (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sugar-rush-minimal-wear) | 1 in 60 | $66.25 | 0.5% | 0 | 2.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-minimal-wear) | 1 in 60 | $65.55 | 0.5% | 0 | 2.5 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 150 | $65.01 | 0.2% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 60 | $57.35 | 0.4% | 0 | 2.5 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-well-worn) | 1 in 120 | $54.22 | 0.2% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-battle-scarred) | 1 in 120 | $49.95 | 0.2% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| In Living Color (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-in-living-color-minimal-wear) | 1 in 150 | $46.28 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 150 | $44.98 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Chrome Cannon (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chrome-cannon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 60 | $43.63 | 0.3% | 0 | 2.5 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-factory-new) | 1 in 150 | $42.52 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| In Living Color (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-in-living-color-well-worn) | 1 in 150 | $40.12 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| In Living Color (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-in-living-color-field-tested) | 1 in 150 | $40.00 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-well-worn) | 1 in 150 | $37.90 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 150 | $36.20 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 120 | $34.65 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| In Living Color (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-in-living-color-battle-scarred) | 1 in 150 | $34.02 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Redline (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-well-worn) | 1 in 120 | $29.16 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Redline (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-battle-scarred) | 1 in 120 | $29.05 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [Tec-9 \| Decimator (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-field-tested) | 1 in 120 | $18.62 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [Tec-9 \| Decimator (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-battle-scarred) | 1 in 120 | $18.25 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [Tec-9 \| Decimator (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-well-worn) | 1 in 120 | $16.98 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-minimal-wear) | 1 in 150 | $13.68 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-well-worn) | 1 in 150 | $12.64 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-field-tested) | 1 in 150 | $12.58 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-battle-scarred) | 1 in 150 | $12.04 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Glitched Paint (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-glitched-paint-factory-new) | 1 in 30 | $5.81 | 0.1% | 7 | 5.1 | 1.38× |

Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `casehug:cases/warzone-joker`, 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ M9 Bayonet | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $259 $1,154 4.45x 2026-11-05 19:22 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-slaughter-factory-new) [ERCÜMENT ÇÖZER](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/ERC%C3%9CMENT%20%C3%87%C3%96ZER) $260 $1,154 4.44x 2026-11-04 13:14 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $260 $1,154 4.44x 2026-11-03 20:43 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-slaughter-factory-new) [CODE: vellty](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/CODE%3A%20vellty) $260 $1,154 4.44x 2026-11-03 20:37 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $260 $1,137 4.37x 2026-11-07 20:59 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $262 $1,134 4.32x 2026-11-08 18:25 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $258 $1,100 4.27x 2026-11-11 11:21 UTC

[★ Karambit | Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-damascus-steel-minimal-wear) Hidden $262 $846 3.22x 2026-11-08 22:03 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-autotronic-field-tested) Hidden $260 $837 3.22x 2026-11-03 20:37 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-autotronic-field-tested) Hidden $260 $837 3.22x 2026-11-03 20:37 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=casehug&case=warzone-joker)

[AK-47 | Asiimov weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov) Hidden $258 $215 0.83x 2026-11-11 14:25 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Hypnotic (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-hypnotic-factory-new) Hidden $258 $173 0.67x 2026-11-11 14:25 UTC

[AK-47 | Vulcan weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan) [Seelvus](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Seelvus) $258 $170 0.66x 2026-11-11 14:25 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $258 $1,100 4.27x 2026-11-11 11:21 UTC

[★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-marble-fade) Hidden $258 $218 0.85x 2026-11-11 11:21 UTC

[P90 | Run and Hide (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-run-and-hide-factory-new) Hidden $258 $291 1.13x 2026-11-11 11:21 UTC

[★ Kukri Knife | Case Hardened knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-case-hardened) [Death13](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Death13) $258 $122 0.47x 2026-11-11 11:21 UTC

[Glock-18 | Neo-Noir weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir) [????????????skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3Fskins.army) $257 $75.07 0.29x 2026-11-11 10:10 UTC

[M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-glitched-paint-factory-new) Hidden $257 $5.88 0.02x 2026-11-10 23:15 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Printstream weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream) [beny](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/beny) $257 $72.86 0.28x 2026-11-10 23:15 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC | $258 | 87.50% | 74 |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $257 | 87.50% | 74 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $259 | 87.50% | 74 |
| 10 Nov, 02:18 UTC | $261 | 87.50% | 74 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $262 | 87.50% | 74 |
| 8 Nov, 23:35 UTC | $262 | 87.50% | 74 |
| 7 Nov, 23:20 UTC | $260 | 87.50% | 74 |
| 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $260 | 87.50% | 74 |
| 6 Nov, 23:04 UTC | $260 | 87.50% | 74 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $262 | 87.50% | 74 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $259 | 87.50% | 74 |
| 5 Nov, 04:40 UTC | $260 | 87.50% | 74 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $260 | 87.50% | 74 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 29.0% rare 3.3% extraordinary 10.0% #eb4b4b 1.7% classified 29.3% restricted 10.0% sunny 5.0% red 2.3% Ancient 5.3% pink 0.7% violet 3.3% best hit $1,154 (4.45x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.50 on average: an expected loss of $12.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt