---
title: "WILD WEST case on Casehug: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "WILD WEST ($2.00) on Casehug, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.50% from 54 items with odds, observed 84.47% over 16.7K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/wild-west
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:52Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) / [WILD WEST](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/wild-west)

# [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) · WILD WEST

A case on Casehug (REGULAR CASES), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/wild-west?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/wild-west?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/wild-west) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/wild-west?window=all)

Price · $2.00

Advertised RTP · 87.50% · EV $1.75 from 54 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 84.47% · 16.7K openings, odds method

Variance · 11.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 16.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 68.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 79.92% ±14.99 1,967 openings

7 days · 84.57% ±5.55 14.5K openings

30 days · 84.47% ±5.17 16.7K openings

since tracking started · 84.47% ±5.17 16.7K openings

64.5% 80.0% 95.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/wild-west?window=24h) | 1,967 | 79.92% ±15.0 | −1.0σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/wild-west?window=7d) | 14.5K | 84.57% ±5.55 | −1.0σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/wild-west) | 16.7K | 84.47% ±5.17 | −1.1σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/wild-west?window=all) | 16.7K | 84.47% ±5.17 | −1.1σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 54 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 16.7K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Karambit \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 33,333 | $759 | 1.3% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 14,286 | $513 | 2.1% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $176 | 1.0% | 3 | 1.7 | 1.79× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $109 | 1.2% | 0 | 3.3 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| The Emperor (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-field-tested) | 1 in 4,000 | $65.44 | 0.9% | 5 | 4.2 | 1.20× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20,000 | $63.82 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-factory-new) | 1 in 50,000 | $51.04 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 1 in 9,091 | $42.72 | 0.3% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) | 1 in 9,091 | $42.22 | 0.3% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 9,091 | $41.83 | 0.3% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Aphrodite (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aphrodite-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $27.14 | 0.2% | 0 | 1.7 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Aphrodite (Field-Tested) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aphrodite-field-tested) | 1 in 5,556 | $19.78 | 0.2% | 0 | 3.0 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Spider Lily (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-spider-lily-minimal-wear) | 1 in 6,667 | $15.77 | 0.1% | 0 | 2.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Aphrodite (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aphrodite-well-worn) | 1 in 2,778 | $13.85 | 0.3% | 0 | 6.0 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Aphrodite (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aphrodite-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,703 | $13.65 | 0.3% | 0 | 6.2 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-field-tested) | 1 in 800 | $12.55 | 0.9% | 16 | 20.9 | 0.76× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Embargo (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-embargo-factory-new) | 1 in 14,286 | $12.47 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Spider Lily (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-spider-lily-field-tested) | 1 in 2,703 | $9.83 | 0.2% | 0 | 6.2 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,448 | $9.77 | 0.2% | 0 | 4.9 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,167 | $9.67 | 0.1% | 0 | 4.0 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,226 | $8.90 | 0.2% | 0 | 5.2 | 0.00× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Royal Consorts (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-royal-consorts-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,515 | $8.70 | 0.3% | 0 | 11.0 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Spider Lily (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-spider-lily-well-worn) | 1 in 1,724 | $7.79 | 0.3% | 0 | 9.7 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-well-worn) | 1 in 189 | $6.67 | 2.0% | 0 | 88.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-field-tested) | 1 in 189 | $6.67 | 2.0% | 0 | 88.5 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Spider Lily (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-spider-lily-battle-scarred) | 1 in 139 | $6.50 | 2.7% | 0 | 120.3 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-battle-scarred) | 1 in 175 | $6.43 | 2.1% | 0 | 95.4 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Phobos (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-phobos-factory-new) | 1 in 270 | $6.28 | 1.3% | 0 | 61.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Well-Worn) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-well-worn) | 1 in 169 | $5.88 | 2.0% | 0 | 99.1 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-field-tested) | 1 in 169 | $5.57 | 1.9% | 0 | 99.1 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-field-tested) | 1 in 151 | $5.56 | 2.1% | 0 | 110.8 | 0.00× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Embargo (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-embargo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 345 | $5.25 | 0.9% | 0 | 48.5 | 0.00× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Royal Consorts (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-royal-consorts-field-tested) | 1 in 48 | $4.95 | 5.9% | 0 | 347.8 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-battle-scarred) | 1 in 101 | $4.94 | 2.8% | 0 | 166.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Safety Net (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safety-net-minimal-wear) | 1 in 69 | $4.73 | 3.9% | 0 | 242.8 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-battle-scarred) | 1 in 88 | $4.38 | 2.8% | 0 | 190.1 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-well-worn) | 1 in 87 | $4.36 | 2.9% | 0 | 192.0 | 0.00× |
| [MAG-7 \| Monster Call (Factory New) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-monster-call-factory-new) | 1 in 92 | $3.52 | 2.2% | 0 | 182.8 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Safety Net (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safety-net-field-tested) | 1 in 38 | $3.50 | 5.3% | 0 | 443.3 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Black Lotus (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-black-lotus-minimal-wear) | 1 in 53 | $2.92 | 3.2% | 0 | 317.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Phobos (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-phobos-minimal-wear) | 1 in 35 | $2.66 | 4.3% | 0 | 475.3 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Phobos (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-phobos-field-tested) | 1 in 31 | $2.51 | 4.6% | 0 | 533.7 | 0.00× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Embargo (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-embargo-field-tested) | 1 in 44 | $2.20 | 2.9% | 0 | 381.4 | 0.00× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Embargo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-embargo-battle-scarred) | 1 in 39 | $2.08 | 3.0% | 0 | 426.8 | 0.00× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Embargo (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-embargo-well-worn) | 1 in 37 | $2.02 | 3.1% | 0 | 452.5 | 0.00× |
| [Negev \| Power Loader (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-power-loader-field-tested) | 1 in 19 | $1.81 | 5.3% | 903 | 863.7 | 1.05× |
| [USP-S \| Black Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-black-lotus-field-tested) | 1 in 23 | $1.22 | 3.0% | 0 | 714.6 | 0.00× |
| [MAG-7 \| Monster Call (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-monster-call-minimal-wear) | 1 in 21 | $1.10 | 3.0% | 0 | 804.7 | 0.00× |
| [Sticker \| High Heat sticker · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-high-heat) | 1 in 13 | $0.64 | 2.9% | 1,355 | 1311.4 | 1.03× |
| [Tec-9 \| Brother (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-brother-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $0.46 | 2.4% | 1,483 | 1496.5 | 0.99× |
| [Galil AR \| Connexion (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-connexion-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $0.46 | 2.4% | 1,496 | 1496.5 | 1.00× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Analog Input (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-analog-input-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $0.41 | 2.2% | 1,523 | 1567.0 | 0.97× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Hybrid (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hybrid-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $0.40 | 2.2% | 1,553 | 1582.7 | 0.98× |
| [Nova \| Army Sheen (Minimal Wear) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-army-sheen-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10 | $0.37 | 2.1% | 1,685 | 1634.4 | 1.03× |

Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `casehug:cases/wild-west`, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Karambit | Lore (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-field-tested) [Querzy 7 CS2.ME](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Querzy%207%20CS2.ME) $2.00 $746 373.1x 2026-11-07 17:17 UTC

[★ Survival Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-fade-factory-new) [Fizzy](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Fizzy) $2.00 $180 89.92x 2026-11-04 14:59 UTC

[★ Survival Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-fade-factory-new) [Lowkey](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Lowkey) $2.00 $174 86.85x 2026-11-04 06:08 UTC

[★ Survival Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-fade-factory-new) [✞Barcik✞](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/%E2%9C%9EBarcik%E2%9C%9E) $2.00 $169 84.63x 2026-11-08 13:03 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=casehug&case=wild-west)

[AWP | Atheris weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris) Hidden $2.00 $4.66 2.33x 2026-11-11 13:51 UTC

[USP-S | Black Lotus weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-black-lotus) Hidden $2.00 $1.74 0.87x 2026-11-11 13:51 UTC

[AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor) Hidden $2.00 $6.70 3.35x 2026-11-11 13:51 UTC

[Nova | Army Sheen (Minimal Wear) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-army-sheen-minimal-wear) [Kjubosskins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Kjubosskins.army) $2.00 $0.37 0.19x 2026-11-11 13:51 UTC

[USP-S | Black Lotus weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-black-lotus) Hidden $2.00 $1.74 0.87x 2026-11-11 13:48 UTC

[Sticker | High Heat sticker · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-high-heat) [ptelson „CS2.ME”](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/ptelson%20%E2%80%9ECS2.ME%E2%80%9D) $2.00 $0.64 0.32x 2026-11-11 13:48 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Embargo weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-embargo) Hidden $2.00 $2.22 1.11x 2026-11-11 13:47 UTC

[USP-S | Black Lotus weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-black-lotus) Hidden $2.00 $1.74 0.87x 2026-11-11 13:47 UTC

[Sticker | High Heat sticker · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-high-heat) Hidden $2.00 $0.64 0.32x 2026-11-11 13:47 UTC

[Galil AR | Connexion (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-connexion-field-tested) [ptelson „CS2.ME”](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/ptelson%20%E2%80%9ECS2.ME%E2%80%9D) $2.00 $0.46 0.23x 2026-11-11 13:47 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $2.00 | 87.50% | 54 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $2.00 | 87.40% | 54 |
| 10 Nov, 02:18 UTC | $2.00 | 87.65% | 54 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $2.00 | 87.07% | 54 |
| 8 Nov, 23:35 UTC | $2.00 | 87.44% | 54 |
| 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $2.00 | 87.43% | 54 |
| 8 Nov, 11:27 UTC | $2.00 | 87.06% | 54 |
| 8 Nov, 05:24 UTC | $2.00 | 87.85% | 54 |
| 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $2.00 | 87.06% | 54 |
| 7 Nov, 05:08 UTC | $2.00 | 87.22% | 54 |
| 6 Nov, 17:00 UTC | $2.00 | 87.21% | 54 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $2.00 | 86.94% | 54 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $2.00 | 86.85% | 54 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $2.00 | 87.77% | 54 |
| 4 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $2.00 | 88.37% | 54 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $2.00 | 87.15% | 54 |
| 3 Nov, 10:08 UTC | $2.00 | 87.64% | 54 |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $2.00 | 87.14% | 54 |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | $2.00 | 87.82% | 54 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed gold 0.0% covert 0.1% classified 0.7% red 0.1% Ancient 0.0% #eb4b4b 0.0% Mythical 0.4% restricted 15.0% violet 48.8% Legendary 0.7% pink 0.5% #d32ee6 1.5% Classified 0.6% #8847ff 6.7% Restricted 1.1% blue 9.7% mil spec 4.3% gray 9.8% best hit $746 (373.1x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.50 on average: an expected loss of $12.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt