---
title: "WTCN case on Casehug: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "WTCN ($6.50) on Casehug, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.50% from 81 items with odds, observed 86.55% over 12.2K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/wtcn
rendered: 2026-11-11T16:03Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) / [WTCN](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/wtcn)

# [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) · WTCN

A case on Casehug (CREATORS FARM), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/wtcn?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/wtcn?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/wtcn) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/wtcn?window=all)

Price · $6.50

Advertised RTP · 87.50% · EV $5.69 from 81 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 86.55% · 12.2K openings, odds method

Variance · 2.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 19.7% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 67.3% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 84.18% ±6.89 2,096 openings

7 days · 85.86% ±3.07 10.7K openings

30 days · 86.55% ±2.87 12.2K openings

since tracking started · 86.55% ±2.87 12.2K openings

76.5% 84.0% 91.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/wtcn?window=24h) | 2,096 | 84.18% ±6.89 | −1.0σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/wtcn?window=7d) | 10.7K | 85.86% ±3.07 | −1.0σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/wtcn) | 12.2K | 86.55% ±2.87 | −0.6σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/wtcn?window=all) | 12.2K | 86.55% ±2.87 | −0.6σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 81 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 12.2K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Cloud Chaser (Field-Tested) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-cloud-chaser-field-tested) | 1 in 33,333 | $567 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 10,000 | $521 | 0.9% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.82× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 5,882 | $345 | 1.0% | 2 | 2.1 | 0.97× |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 16,667 | $219 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-well-worn) | 1 in 14,286 | $210 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $206 | 0.7% | 3 | 2.4 | 1.23× |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 14,286 | $163 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [AK-47 \| B the Monster (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-b-the-monster-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $93.52 | 0.2% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| B the Monster (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-b-the-monster-well-worn) | 1 in 6,667 | $90.45 | 0.2% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,000 | $76.15 | 0.3% | 0 | 3.0 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-well-worn) | 1 in 3,448 | $71.65 | 0.4% | 0 | 3.5 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-battle-scarred) | 1 in 3,226 | $69.34 | 0.4% | 0 | 3.8 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-field-tested) | 1 in 3,030 | $66.25 | 0.4% | 0 | 4.0 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| B the Monster (Battle-Scarred) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-b-the-monster-battle-scarred) | 1 in 6,667 | $58.25 | 0.2% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 2,041 | $54.84 | 0.5% | 0 | 6.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Printstream (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-well-worn) | 1 in 2,000 | $53.77 | 0.5% | 0 | 6.1 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,818 | $51.50 | 0.5% | 0 | 6.7 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Full Throttle (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-full-throttle-well-worn) | 1 in 971 | $34.82 | 0.6% | 0 | 12.5 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Full Throttle (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-full-throttle-battle-scarred) | 1 in 613 | $27.68 | 0.8% | 0 | 19.8 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-field-tested) | 1 in 73 | $19.74 | 4.8% | 0 | 167.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-well-worn) | 1 in 69 | $19.30 | 4.9% | 0 | 175.3 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-battle-scarred) | 1 in 61 | $18.02 | 5.2% | 0 | 200.8 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Party Animal (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-party-animal-minimal-wear) | 1 in 139 | $16.91 | 2.1% | 0 | 87.9 | 0.00× |
| [Galil AR \| Eco (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-eco-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $14.29 | 11.4% | 580 | 553.7 | 1.05× |
| [SG 553 \| Colony IV (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-colony-iv-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $10.43 | 3.7% | 0 | 245.9 | 0.00× |
| [SG 553 \| Colony IV (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-colony-iv-well-worn) | 1 in 46 | $10.08 | 3.8% | 0 | 263.3 | 0.00× |
| [SG 553 \| Colony IV (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-colony-iv-battle-scarred) | 1 in 45 | $9.92 | 3.9% | 0 | 271.9 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Spider Lily (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-spider-lily-field-tested) | 1 in 35 | $9.36 | 4.7% | 399 | 350.4 | 1.14× |
| [M4A1-S \| Party Animal (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-party-animal-well-worn) | 1 in 126 | $9.11 | 1.3% | 0 | 96.3 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| POP AWP (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pop-awp-minimal-wear) | 1 in 115 | $8.69 | 1.3% | 0 | 105.4 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Party Animal (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-party-animal-field-tested) | 1 in 107 | $8.37 | 1.4% | 0 | 114.1 | 0.00× |
| [MP7 \| Smoking Kills (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-smoking-kills-field-tested) | 1 in 129 | $8.18 | 1.1% | 0 | 94.6 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Party Animal (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-party-animal-battle-scarred) | 1 in 102 | $8.17 | 1.4% | 0 | 119.8 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Minimal Wear) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-minimal-wear) | 1 in 154 | $7.60 | 0.9% | 0 | 79.0 | 0.00× |
| [P250 \| Kintsugi (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-kintsugi-field-tested) | 1 in 59 | $7.31 | 2.2% | 0 | 206.9 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Vogue (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-minimal-wear) | 1 in 139 | $6.81 | 0.9% | 0 | 87.5 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| POP AWP (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pop-awp-well-worn) | 1 in 70 | $6.75 | 1.7% | 0 | 174.5 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| POP AWP (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pop-awp-field-tested) | 1 in 68 | $6.69 | 1.7% | 0 | 177.7 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tooth-fairy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 130 | $6.62 | 0.9% | 0 | 93.8 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-field-tested) | 1 in 51 | $6.56 | 2.3% | 0 | 240.3 | 0.00× |
| [P250 \| Kintsugi (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-kintsugi-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $6.26 | 5.5% | 0 | 607.4 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $6.07 | 5.3% | 0 | 604.9 | 0.00× |
| [MP7 \| Smoking Kills (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-smoking-kills-well-worn) | 1 in 30 | $5.77 | 3.4% | 0 | 409.5 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-field-tested) | 1 in 32 | $5.42 | 2.9% | 0 | 375.4 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-well-worn) | 1 in 36 | $5.37 | 2.6% | 0 | 340.9 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-battle-scarred) | 1 in 191 | $5.09 | 0.5% | 0 | 63.8 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-field-tested) | 1 in 179 | $4.88 | 0.5% | 0 | 68.2 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tooth-fairy-battle-scarred) | 1 in 190 | $4.76 | 0.4% | 0 | 63.9 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tooth-fairy-well-worn) | 1 in 189 | $4.74 | 0.4% | 0 | 64.4 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Vogue (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-field-tested) | 1 in 180 | $4.56 | 0.4% | 0 | 67.7 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Vogue (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-well-worn) | 1 in 178 | $4.53 | 0.4% | 0 | 68.3 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-well-worn) | 1 in 141 | $4.53 | 0.6% | 0 | 86.3 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Vogue (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-battle-scarred) | 1 in 177 | $4.51 | 0.4% | 0 | 68.8 | 0.00× |
| [MP7 \| Smoking Kills (Battle-Scarred) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-smoking-kills-battle-scarred) | 1 in 112 | $4.48 | 0.7% | 0 | 108.5 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tooth-fairy-field-tested) | 1 in 169 | $4.42 | 0.5% | 0 | 71.9 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-battle-scarred) | 1 in 127 | $4.24 | 0.6% | 0 | 95.9 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Emphorosaur-S (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-factory-new) | 1 in 575 | $2.57 | 0.1% | 0 | 21.2 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Serpent Strike (Factory New) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-serpent-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 372 | $1.93 | 0.1% | 0 | 32.7 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Block-18 (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-block-18-factory-new) | 1 in 368 | $1.73 | 0.1% | 0 | 33.1 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Silent Shot (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-silent-shot-factory-new) | 1 in 203 | $1.70 | 0.1% | 0 | 60.0 | 0.00× |
| [SG 553 \| Dragon Tech (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-dragon-tech-factory-new) | 1 in 267 | $1.65 | 0.1% | 0 | 45.5 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Nitro (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nitro-minimal-wear) | 1 in 136 | $1.32 | 0.2% | 0 | 89.7 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Emphorosaur-S (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-minimal-wear) | 1 in 120 | $0.96 | 0.1% | 0 | 101.8 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Serpent Strike (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-serpent-strike-minimal-wear) | 1 in 120 | $0.95 | 0.1% | 0 | 101.5 | 0.00× |
| [SG 553 \| Dragon Tech (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-dragon-tech-minimal-wear) | 1 in 91 | $0.84 | 0.2% | 0 | 133.8 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Silent Shot (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-silent-shot-minimal-wear) | 1 in 55 | $0.75 | 0.2% | 0 | 221.9 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Block-18 (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-block-18-minimal-wear) | 1 in 85 | $0.69 | 0.1% | 0 | 143.6 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Emphorosaur-S (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-well-worn) | 1 in 63 | $0.64 | 0.2% | 0 | 194.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Serpent Strike (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-serpent-strike-well-worn) | 1 in 59 | $0.61 | 0.2% | 0 | 206.0 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Serpent Strike (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-serpent-strike-battle-scarred) | 1 in 58 | $0.60 | 0.2% | 0 | 211.5 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Emphorosaur-S (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-field-tested) | 1 in 52 | $0.57 | 0.2% | 0 | 234.1 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Emphorosaur-S (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-battle-scarred) | 1 in 52 | $0.57 | 0.2% | 0 | 234.1 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Serpent Strike (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-serpent-strike-field-tested) | 1 in 53 | $0.57 | 0.2% | 0 | 229.6 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Nitro (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nitro-well-worn) | 1 in 35 | $0.57 | 0.3% | 0 | 343.3 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Block-18 (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-block-18-well-worn) | 1 in 59 | $0.55 | 0.2% | 0 | 206.4 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Block-18 (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-block-18-battle-scarred) | 1 in 54 | $0.52 | 0.2% | 0 | 225.8 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Nitro (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nitro-field-tested) | 1 in 31 | $0.52 | 0.3% | 0 | 397.5 | 0.00× |
| [SG 553 \| Dragon Tech (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-dragon-tech-well-worn) | 1 in 40 | $0.50 | 0.2% | 0 | 306.7 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Block-18 (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-block-18-field-tested) | 1 in 49 | $0.49 | 0.2% | 0 | 248.4 | 0.00× |
| [SG 553 \| Dragon Tech (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-dragon-tech-field-tested) | 1 in 31 | $0.43 | 0.2% | 0 | 390.2 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Silent Shot (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-silent-shot-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $0.40 | 0.4% | 0 | 607.9 | 0.00× |

Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `casehug:cases/wtcn`, 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $6.50 $534 82.10x 2026-11-05 23:42 UTC

[★ Navaja Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $6.50 $344 52.96x 2026-11-03 15:49 UTC

[★ Navaja Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $6.50 $335 51.52x 2026-11-06 22:50 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=casehug&case=wtcn)

[M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s) [CS2.ME7skins.armycstorm.pl](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/CS2.ME7skins.armycstorm.pl) $6.50 $0.69 0.11x 2026-11-11 15:49 UTC

[Glock-18 | Vogue weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue) [BrĄsiu](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Br%C4%84siu) $6.50 $5.22 0.80x 2026-11-11 15:44 UTC

[SG 553 | Dragon Tech weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-dragon-tech) Hidden $6.50 $0.58 0.09x 2026-11-11 15:39 UTC

[P250 | Kintsugi weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-kintsugi) Hidden $6.50 $6.53 1.00x 2026-11-11 15:39 UTC

[Galil AR | Eco (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-eco-field-tested) Hidden $6.50 $14.29 2.20x 2026-11-11 15:39 UTC

[M4A4 | Spider Lily (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-spider-lily-field-tested) [Boczuendo CS2.ME](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Boczuendo%20CS2.ME) $6.50 $9.36 1.44x 2026-11-11 15:39 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-serpent-strike) [TakeruSensei](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/TakeruSensei) $6.50 $0.70 0.11x 2026-11-11 15:37 UTC

[M4A1-S | Black Lotus weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus) [TakeruSensei](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/TakeruSensei) $6.50 $5.60 0.86x 2026-11-11 15:37 UTC

[M4A1-S | Party Animal weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-party-animal) [TakeruSensei](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/TakeruSensei) $6.50 $10.28 1.58x 2026-11-11 15:36 UTC

[AWP | Atheris weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris) [TakeruSensei](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/TakeruSensei) $6.50 $5.08 0.78x 2026-11-11 15:36 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC | $6.50 | 87.50% | 81 |
| 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC | $6.50 | 87.50% | 81 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $6.50 | 87.63% | 81 |
| 10 Nov, 08:21 UTC | $6.50 | 87.20% | 81 |
| 10 Nov, 02:18 UTC | $6.50 | 87.50% | 81 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $6.50 | 87.20% | 81 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $6.50 | 87.50% | 81 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $6.50 | 87.40% | 81 |
| 7 Nov, 23:20 UTC | $6.50 | 87.44% | 81 |
| 7 Nov, 11:11 UTC | $6.50 | 87.41% | 81 |
| 7 Nov, 05:08 UTC | $6.50 | 87.61% | 81 |
| 6 Nov, 17:00 UTC | $6.50 | 87.56% | 81 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $6.50 | 87.26% | 81 |
| 4 Nov, 22:36 UTC | $6.50 | 87.43% | 81 |
| 4 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $6.50 | 87.34% | 81 |
| 3 Nov, 16:38 UTC | $6.50 | 87.47% | 81 |
| 3 Nov, 10:08 UTC | $6.50 | 87.68% | 81 |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | $6.50 | 87.30% | 81 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed legendary 0.0% covert 0.2% red 0.4% rare 0.0% Ancient 0.0% classified 21.3% #d32ce6 0.7% violet 18.1% pink 12.9% uncommon 5.3% Classified 1.2% Legendary 2.4% restricted 16.1% #8847ff 5.7% #d32ee6 3.3% Rare 0.5% Mythical 3.4% milspec 6.8% Restricted 1.6% best hit $534 (82.10x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.50 on average: an expected loss of $12.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt