---
title: "XAK1 case on Casehug: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "XAK1 ($2.25) on Casehug, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.50% from 75 items with odds, observed 85.80% over 26.8K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/xak1
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:30Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) / [XAK1](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/xak1)

# [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) · XAK1

A case on Casehug (CREATORS FARM), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/xak1?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/xak1?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/xak1) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/xak1?window=all)

Price · $2.25

Advertised RTP · 87.50% · EV $1.97 from 75 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 85.80% · 26.8K openings, odds method

Variance · 5.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 14.5% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 68.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 85.51% ±8.03 3,075 openings

7 days · 86.31% ±2.98 22.8K openings

30 days · 85.80% ±2.76 26.8K openings

since tracking started · 85.80% ±2.76 26.8K openings

77.0% 85.5% 94.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/xak1?window=24h) | 3,075 | 85.51% ±8.03 | −0.5σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/xak1?window=7d) | 22.8K | 86.31% ±2.98 | −0.7σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/xak1) | 26.8K | 85.80% ±2.76 | −1.1σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/xak1?window=all) | 26.8K | 85.80% ±2.76 | −1.1σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 75 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 26.8K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · legendary · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 33,333 | $595 | 0.9% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Field-Tested) (Emerald) weapon · red · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-field-tested-emerald) | 1 in 14,286 | $234 | 0.8% | 0 | 1.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-minimal-wear) | 1 in 7,692 | $66.23 | 0.4% | 0 | 3.5 | 0.00× |
| [★ Hydra Gloves \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 3,333 | $65.41 | 1.0% | 2 | 8.1 | 0.25× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-well-worn) | 1 in 5,000 | $59.09 | 0.6% | 0 | 5.4 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-battle-scarred) | 1 in 3,333 | $55.23 | 0.8% | 0 | 8.1 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-field-tested) | 1 in 3,333 | $54.85 | 0.8% | 0 | 8.1 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 4,000 | $54.68 | 0.7% | 0 | 6.7 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 4,167 | $51.70 | 0.6% | 0 | 6.4 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 3,571 | $48.87 | 0.7% | 0 | 7.5 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| In Living Color (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-in-living-color-well-worn) | 1 in 2,500 | $40.12 | 0.8% | 0 | 10.7 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| In Living Color (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-in-living-color-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,000 | $39.11 | 1.0% | 0 | 13.4 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| In Living Color (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-in-living-color-field-tested) | 1 in 3,333 | $38.08 | 0.6% | 0 | 8.1 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Ice Coaled (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $34.78 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled-minimal-wear) | 1 in 7,692 | $17.07 | 0.1% | 0 | 3.5 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Party Animal (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-party-animal-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,556 | $16.91 | 0.2% | 0 | 4.8 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,500 | $8.90 | 0.2% | 0 | 10.7 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Party Animal (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-party-animal-well-worn) | 1 in 1,515 | $8.80 | 0.3% | 0 | 17.7 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled-field-tested) | 1 in 2,083 | $8.73 | 0.2% | 0 | 12.9 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Party Animal (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-party-animal-field-tested) | 1 in 105 | $8.51 | 4.1% | 0 | 256.4 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Party Animal (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-party-animal-battle-scarred) | 1 in 102 | $8.40 | 4.2% | 0 | 263.4 | 0.00× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Twin Turbo (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-twin-turbo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 166 | $7.25 | 2.2% | 0 | 161.6 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Ice Coaled (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled-well-worn) | 1 in 92 | $6.74 | 3.7% | 0 | 290.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Well-Worn) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-well-worn) | 1 in 81 | $5.88 | 3.7% | 0 | 330.8 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-field-tested) | 1 in 114 | $5.56 | 2.5% | 0 | 235.2 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-well-worn) | 1 in 89 | $5.12 | 2.9% | 0 | 302.8 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-battle-scarred) | 1 in 88 | $5.10 | 2.9% | 0 | 305.3 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-battle-scarred) | 1 in 90 | $4.94 | 2.8% | 0 | 297.7 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Safety Net (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safety-net-minimal-wear) | 1 in 131 | $4.73 | 1.8% | 0 | 204.8 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-field-tested) | 1 in 72 | $4.61 | 3.3% | 0 | 373.4 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Ice Coaled (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled-battle-scarred) | 1 in 63 | $4.43 | 3.6% | 0 | 427.1 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Safety Net (Well-Worn) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safety-net-well-worn) | 1 in 90 | $3.92 | 2.2% | 0 | 298.0 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Safety Net (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safety-net-field-tested) | 1 in 72 | $3.50 | 2.5% | 0 | 373.4 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Safety Net (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safety-net-battle-scarred) | 1 in 68 | $3.30 | 2.5% | 0 | 396.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Crossfade (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crossfade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 97 | $3.30 | 1.7% | 0 | 275.5 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Bleeding Edge (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-bleeding-edge-minimal-wear) | 1 in 114 | $3.23 | 1.4% | 0 | 235.7 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-glitched-paint-minimal-wear) | 1 in 91 | $3.22 | 1.8% | 0 | 295.9 | 0.00× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Twin Turbo (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-twin-turbo-well-worn) | 1 in 38 | $2.68 | 3.6% | 0 | 708.2 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Crossfade (Well-Worn) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crossfade-well-worn) | 1 in 61 | $2.62 | 2.2% | 0 | 437.1 | 0.00× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Twin Turbo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-twin-turbo-battle-scarred) | 1 in 36 | $2.60 | 3.7% | 0 | 752.8 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Crossfade (Battle-Scarred) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crossfade-battle-scarred) | 1 in 54 | $2.45 | 2.3% | 0 | 499.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Crossfade (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crossfade-field-tested) | 1 in 49 | $2.34 | 2.4% | 0 | 547.7 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Glitched Paint (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-glitched-paint-well-worn) | 19.6% | $1.87 | 18.6% | 0 | 5268.2 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Pit Viper (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-minimal-wear) | 1 in 68 | $1.58 | 1.2% | 421 | 397.3 | 1.06× |
| [SG 553 \| Berry Gel Coat (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-berry-gel-coat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 435 | $1.58 | 0.2% | 0 | 61.7 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Glitched Paint (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-glitched-paint-field-tested) | 1 in 155 | $1.56 | 0.5% | 0 | 172.9 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Bleeding Edge (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-bleeding-edge-field-tested) | 1 in 145 | $1.30 | 0.5% | 0 | 185.5 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Bleeding Edge (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-bleeding-edge-well-worn) | 1 in 143 | $1.29 | 0.5% | 0 | 187.9 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| PC-GRN (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-pc-grn-factory-new) | 1 in 1,724 | $1.18 | 0.0% | 0 | 15.6 | 0.00× |
| [PP-Bizon \| RMX (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-rmx-factory-new) | 1 in 1,613 | $0.99 | 0.0% | 0 | 16.6 | 0.00× |
| [SG 553 \| Berry Gel Coat (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-berry-gel-coat-well-worn) | 1 in 193 | $0.95 | 0.2% | 0 | 139.1 | 0.00× |
| [SG 553 \| Berry Gel Coat (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-berry-gel-coat-field-tested) | 1 in 174 | $0.89 | 0.3% | 0 | 154.4 | 0.00× |
| [SG 553 \| Berry Gel Coat (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-berry-gel-coat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 141 | $0.78 | 0.3% | 0 | 190.6 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Zubastick (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-zubastick-factory-new) | 1 in 1,429 | $0.78 | 0.0% | 0 | 18.8 | 0.00× |
| [UMP-45 \| Fragment (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fragment-factory-new) | 1 in 1,031 | $0.76 | 0.0% | 0 | 26.0 | 0.00× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Brake Light (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-brake-light-factory-new) | 1 in 38 | $0.61 | 0.8% | 705 | 703.4 | 1.00× |
| [MP5-SD \| Gold Leaf (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-gold-leaf-factory-new) | 1 in 599 | $0.35 | 0.0% | 0 | 44.8 | 0.00× |
| [PP-Bizon \| RMX (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-rmx-minimal-wear) | 1 in 194 | $0.26 | 0.1% | 0 | 138.5 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| PC-GRN (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-pc-grn-minimal-wear) | 1 in 138 | $0.24 | 0.1% | 0 | 194.1 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Zubastick (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-zubastick-minimal-wear) | 1 in 204 | $0.23 | 0.1% | 0 | 131.8 | 0.00× |
| [UMP-45 \| Fragment (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fragment-minimal-wear) | 1 in 122 | $0.20 | 0.1% | 0 | 219.3 | 0.00× |
| [MP5-SD \| Gold Leaf (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-gold-leaf-minimal-wear) | 1 in 155 | $0.15 | 0.0% | 0 | 173.4 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| PC-GRN (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-pc-grn-well-worn) | 1 in 58 | $0.14 | 0.1% | 0 | 459.6 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| PC-GRN (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-pc-grn-field-tested) | 1 in 58 | $0.14 | 0.1% | 0 | 459.6 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| PC-GRN (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-pc-grn-battle-scarred) | 1 in 58 | $0.14 | 0.1% | 0 | 459.6 | 0.00× |
| [PP-Bizon \| RMX (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-rmx-field-tested) | 1 in 36 | $0.09 | 0.1% | 0 | 755.2 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Zubastick (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-zubastick-field-tested) | 1 in 45 | $0.09 | 0.1% | 0 | 590.4 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Zubastick (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-zubastick-well-worn) | 1 in 38 | $0.08 | 0.1% | 0 | 712.8 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Zubastick (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-zubastick-battle-scarred) | 1 in 38 | $0.08 | 0.1% | 0 | 712.8 | 0.00× |
| [UMP-45 \| Fragment (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fragment-well-worn) | 1 in 28 | $0.08 | 0.1% | 0 | 949.8 | 0.00× |
| [UMP-45 \| Fragment (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fragment-field-tested) | 1 in 28 | $0.08 | 0.1% | 0 | 949.8 | 0.00× |
| [PP-Bizon \| RMX (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-rmx-battle-scarred) | 1 in 19 | $0.06 | 0.2% | 0 | 1444.4 | 0.00× |
| [MP5-SD \| Gold Leaf (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-gold-leaf-well-worn) | 1 in 36 | $0.06 | 0.1% | 0 | 750.1 | 0.00× |
| [MP5-SD \| Gold Leaf (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-gold-leaf-field-tested) | 1 in 36 | $0.06 | 0.1% | 0 | 750.1 | 0.00× |
| [MP5-SD \| Gold Leaf (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-gold-leaf-battle-scarred) | 1 in 27 | $0.05 | 0.1% | 0 | 1003.8 | 0.00× |

Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `casehug:cases/xak1`, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Survival Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · legendary · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $2.25 $609 270.8x 2026-11-05 00:32 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=casehug&case=xak1)

[UMP-45 | Fragment weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fragment) [Yasuke](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Yasuke) $2.25 $0.10 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:30 UTC

[M4A1-S | Glitched Paint weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-glitched-paint) [K4b4n](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/K4b4n) $2.25 $1.93 0.86x 2026-11-11 13:29 UTC

[M4A4 | Zubastick weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-zubastick) [K4b4n](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/K4b4n) $2.25 $0.10 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:29 UTC

[PP-Bizon | RMX weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-rmx) [K4b4n](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/K4b4n) $2.25 $0.09 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:29 UTC

[MP5-SD | Gold Leaf weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-gold-leaf) [K4b4n](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/K4b4n) $2.25 $0.07 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:29 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Twin Turbo weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-twin-turbo) [K4b4n](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/K4b4n) $2.25 $3.10 1.38x 2026-11-11 13:29 UTC

[M4A1-S | Black Lotus weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus) [K4b4n](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/K4b4n) $2.25 $4.92 2.19x 2026-11-11 13:29 UTC

[M4A1-S | Party Animal weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-party-animal) [K4b4n](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/K4b4n) $2.25 $8.54 3.80x 2026-11-11 13:29 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Twin Turbo weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-twin-turbo) [K4b4n](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/K4b4n) $2.25 $3.10 1.38x 2026-11-11 13:29 UTC

[PP-Bizon | RMX weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-rmx) [K4b4n](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/K4b4n) $2.25 $0.09 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:29 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $2.25 | 87.50% | 75 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $2.25 | 87.67% | 75 |
| 10 Nov, 02:18 UTC | $2.25 | 87.14% | 75 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $2.25 | 87.67% | 75 |
| 8 Nov, 23:35 UTC | $2.25 | 87.38% | 75 |
| 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $2.25 | 87.40% | 75 |
| 7 Nov, 11:11 UTC | $2.25 | 87.71% | 75 |
| 6 Nov, 23:04 UTC | $2.25 | 87.22% | 75 |
| 6 Nov, 10:57 UTC | $2.25 | 87.26% | 75 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $2.25 | 87.45% | 75 |
| 4 Nov, 22:36 UTC | $2.25 | 87.28% | 75 |
| 4 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $2.25 | 87.71% | 75 |
| 3 Nov, 16:38 UTC | $2.25 | 87.49% | 75 |
| 3 Nov, 10:08 UTC | $2.25 | 86.64% | 75 |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | $2.25 | 87.01% | 75 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed legendary 0.0% red 0.1% Ancient 0.0% extraordinary 0.0% covert 0.2% pink 6.5% uncommon 1.8% #d32ce6 0.0% Legendary 2.3% classified 1.6% Classified 5.2% #d32ee6 1.1% restricted 3.6% Mythical 5.3% blue 26.0% common 3.5% violet 20.3% Rare 1.0% #4b69ff 16.8% milspec 4.9% best hit $609 (270.8x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.50 on average: an expected loss of $12.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt