---
title: "XSTREAM JOKER case on Casehug: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "XSTREAM JOKER ($44.88) on Casehug, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.50% from 59 items with odds, observed 90.94% over 1,253 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/xstream-joker
rendered: 2026-11-11T18:12Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) / [XSTREAM JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/xstream-joker)

# [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) · XSTREAM JOKER

A case on Casehug, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/xstream-joker?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/xstream-joker?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/xstream-joker) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/xstream-joker?window=all)

Price · $44.88

Advertised RTP · 87.50% · EV $39.27 from 59 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 90.94% · 1,253 openings, odds method

Variance · 5.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 23 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 84.8% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 100 openings · below min

7 days · 89.35% ±13.18 1,111 openings

30 days · 90.94% ±12.44 1,253 openings

since tracking started · 90.94% ±12.44 1,253 openings

58.5% 103.3% 148.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/xstream-joker?window=24h) | 100 | 103.35% ±44.2 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/xstream-joker?window=7d) | 1,111 | 89.35% ±13.2 | +0.3σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/xstream-joker) | 1,253 | 90.94% ±12.4 | +0.6σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/xstream-joker?window=all) | 1,253 | 90.94% ±12.4 | +0.6σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 59 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,347 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 23 | $487 | 53.9% | 65 | 58.6 | 1.11× |
| [M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-master-piece-field-tested) | 1 in 23 | $149 | 16.5% | 61 | 58.6 | 1.04× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-factory-new) | 1 in 92 | $81.01 | 2.2% | 0 | 14.6 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 46 | $79.73 | 4.4% | 0 | 29.3 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 46 | $60.57 | 3.4% | 0 | 29.3 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 92 | $55.33 | 1.5% | 0 | 14.6 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Well-Worn) weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-well-worn) | 1 in 92 | $43.36 | 1.2% | 0 | 14.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Inheritance (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-field-tested) | 1 in 23 | $43.07 | 4.8% | 49 | 58.6 | 0.84× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 92 | $42.24 | 1.2% | 0 | 14.6 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Ice Coaled (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled-factory-new) | 1 in 69 | $34.98 | 1.3% | 0 | 19.5 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled-minimal-wear) | 1 in 69 | $17.93 | 0.7% | 0 | 19.5 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Party Animal (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-party-animal-minimal-wear) | 1 in 92 | $15.51 | 0.4% | 0 | 14.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| The Outsiders (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-outsiders-minimal-wear) | 1 in 92 | $13.98 | 0.4% | 0 | 14.6 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Mirror Mosaic (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-mirror-mosaic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 92 | $12.83 | 0.4% | 0 | 14.6 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| The End (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-end-field-tested) | 1 in 69 | $10.65 | 0.4% | 0 | 19.5 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| The End (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-end-battle-scarred) | 1 in 69 | $9.42 | 0.3% | 0 | 19.5 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| The End (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-end-well-worn) | 1 in 69 | $9.33 | 0.3% | 0 | 19.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-minimal-wear) | 1 in 92 | $9.03 | 0.2% | 0 | 14.6 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Party Animal (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-party-animal-well-worn) | 1 in 92 | $8.87 | 0.2% | 0 | 14.6 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Party Animal (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-party-animal-field-tested) | 1 in 92 | $8.61 | 0.2% | 0 | 14.6 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled-field-tested) | 1 in 69 | $8.27 | 0.3% | 0 | 19.5 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Party Animal (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-party-animal-battle-scarred) | 1 in 92 | $8.17 | 0.2% | 0 | 14.6 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Spider Lily (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-spider-lily-well-worn) | 1 in 46 | $7.68 | 0.4% | 0 | 29.3 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| The Outsiders (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-outsiders-field-tested) | 1 in 92 | $7.51 | 0.2% | 0 | 14.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| The Outsiders (Well-Worn) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-outsiders-well-worn) | 1 in 92 | $6.83 | 0.2% | 0 | 14.6 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Spider Lily (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-spider-lily-battle-scarred) | 1 in 46 | $6.64 | 0.4% | 0 | 29.3 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Mirror Mosaic (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-mirror-mosaic-field-tested) | 1 in 92 | $6.47 | 0.2% | 0 | 14.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| The Outsiders (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-outsiders-battle-scarred) | 1 in 92 | $6.19 | 0.2% | 0 | 14.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Well-Worn) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-well-worn) | 1 in 92 | $6.00 | 0.2% | 0 | 14.6 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-royal-legion-minimal-wear) | 1 in 92 | $5.58 | 0.2% | 0 | 14.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-field-tested) | 1 in 92 | $5.53 | 0.2% | 0 | 14.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-battle-scarred) | 1 in 92 | $5.19 | 0.1% | 0 | 14.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Safety Net (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safety-net-minimal-wear) | 1 in 92 | $4.96 | 0.1% | 0 | 14.6 | 0.00× |
| [UMP-45 \| Crimson Foil (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-crimson-foil-factory-new) | 1 in 46 | $4.90 | 0.3% | 0 | 29.3 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-field-tested) | 1 in 69 | $4.87 | 0.2% | 0 | 19.5 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Mirror Mosaic (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-mirror-mosaic-well-worn) | 1 in 92 | $4.80 | 0.1% | 0 | 14.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-well-worn) | 1 in 69 | $4.68 | 0.2% | 0 | 19.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-battle-scarred) | 1 in 69 | $4.68 | 0.2% | 0 | 19.5 | 0.00× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Kiss♥Love (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-kiss-love-field-tested) | 1 in 69 | $4.53 | 0.2% | 0 | 19.5 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Mirror Mosaic (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-mirror-mosaic-battle-scarred) | 1 in 92 | $4.10 | 0.1% | 0 | 14.6 | 0.00× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Kiss♥Love (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-kiss-love-well-worn) | 1 in 69 | $3.98 | 0.1% | 0 | 19.5 | 0.00× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Kiss♥Love (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-kiss-love-battle-scarred) | 1 in 69 | $3.83 | 0.1% | 0 | 19.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Safety Net (Well-Worn) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safety-net-well-worn) | 1 in 92 | $3.76 | 0.1% | 0 | 14.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Safety Net (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safety-net-battle-scarred) | 1 in 92 | $3.53 | 0.1% | 0 | 14.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Safety Net (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safety-net-field-tested) | 1 in 92 | $3.40 | 0.1% | 0 | 14.6 | 0.00× |
| [Tec-9 \| Whiteout (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-whiteout-field-tested) | 1 in 69 | $3.00 | 0.1% | 0 | 19.5 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-royal-legion-field-tested) | 1 in 92 | $2.95 | 0.1% | 0 | 14.6 | 0.00× |
| [UMP-45 \| Crimson Foil (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-crimson-foil-field-tested) | 1 in 46 | $2.59 | 0.1% | 0 | 29.3 | 0.00× |
| [Souvenir MP9 \| Music Box (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mp9-music-box-field-tested) | 1 in 23 | $2.43 | 0.3% | 56 | 58.6 | 0.96× |
| [Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-royal-legion-well-worn) | 1 in 92 | $2.36 | 0.1% | 0 | 14.6 | 0.00× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Silver (Factory New) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-silver-factory-new) | 1 in 23 | $2.30 | 0.3% | 52 | 58.6 | 0.89× |
| [Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-royal-legion-battle-scarred) | 1 in 92 | $2.12 | 0.1% | 0 | 14.6 | 0.00× |
| [Tec-9 \| Whiteout (Well-Worn) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-whiteout-well-worn) | 1 in 69 | $1.70 | 0.1% | 0 | 19.5 | 0.00× |
| [P90 \| Neoqueen (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-neoqueen-factory-new) | 1 in 46 | $1.65 | 0.1% | 0 | 29.3 | 0.00× |
| [Tec-9 \| Whiteout (Battle-Scarred) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-whiteout-battle-scarred) | 1 in 69 | $1.42 | 0.1% | 0 | 19.5 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Survivor Z (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-survivor-z-minimal-wear) | 1 in 46 | $0.77 | 0.0% | 0 | 29.3 | 0.00× |
| [SG 553 \| Dragon Tech (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-dragon-tech-field-tested) | 1 in 23 | $0.46 | 0.1% | 71 | 58.6 | 1.21× |
| [P90 \| Neoqueen (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-neoqueen-field-tested) | 1 in 46 | $0.43 | 0.0% | 0 | 29.3 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Survivor Z (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-survivor-z-battle-scarred) | 1 in 46 | $0.38 | 0.0% | 0 | 29.3 | 0.00× |

Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `casehug:cases/xstream-joker`, 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Skeleton Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) Hidden $45.27 $507 11.19x 2026-11-03 12:39 UTC

[★ Skeleton Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) [TumnuS skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/TumnuS%20skins.army) $45.27 $507 11.19x 2026-11-03 12:39 UTC

[★ Skeleton Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) Hidden $45.29 $500 11.04x 2026-11-05 20:04 UTC

[★ Skeleton Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) Hidden $45.29 $500 11.04x 2026-11-05 20:01 UTC

[★ Skeleton Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) [Jaudocman CS2.ME](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Jaudocman%20CS2.ME) $45.29 $500 11.04x 2026-11-05 20:01 UTC

[★ Skeleton Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) Hidden $45.29 $500 11.04x 2026-11-05 20:00 UTC

[★ Skeleton Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) Hidden $45.29 $500 11.04x 2026-11-05 20:00 UTC

[★ Skeleton Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) Hidden $45.29 $500 11.04x 2026-11-05 19:42 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=casehug&case=xstream-joker)

[AK-47 | Rat Rod weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod) Hidden $44.63 $4.45 0.10x 2026-11-11 16:41 UTC

[AWP | Printstream weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream) [BomBa skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/BomBa%20skins.army) $44.63 $67.79 1.52x 2026-11-11 16:41 UTC

[FAMAS | Survivor Z weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-survivor-z) Hidden $44.63 $0.59 0.01x 2026-11-11 16:38 UTC

[Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mp9-music-box-field-tested) [BomBa skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/BomBa%20skins.army) $44.63 $2.46 0.06x 2026-11-11 16:38 UTC

[SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-dragon-tech-field-tested) Hidden $44.63 $0.43 0.01x 2026-11-11 16:20 UTC

[AWP | The End weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-end) [Clancy Skins](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Clancy%20Skins) $44.63 $9.98 0.22x 2026-11-11 16:20 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-kiss-love) Hidden $44.63 $4.09 0.09x 2026-11-11 16:20 UTC

[AK-47 | Safety Net weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safety-net) [Clancy Skins](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Clancy%20Skins) $44.63 $3.91 0.09x 2026-11-11 16:20 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Printstream weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream) Hidden $44.88 $55.49 1.24x 2026-11-11 16:19 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-kiss-love) [Clancy Skins](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Clancy%20Skins) $44.88 $4.11 0.09x 2026-11-11 16:19 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC | $44.88 | 87.50% | 59 |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $45.04 | 87.50% | 59 |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $44.88 | 87.50% | 59 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $45.08 | 87.50% | 59 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $45.14 | 87.50% | 59 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $45.30 | 87.51% | 59 |
| 8 Nov, 23:35 UTC | $44.87 | 87.50% | 59 |
| 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $43.43 | 87.50% | 59 |
| 7 Nov, 23:20 UTC | $42.24 | 87.50% | 59 |
| 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $43.69 | 87.51% | 59 |
| 7 Nov, 11:11 UTC | $44.85 | 87.51% | 59 |
| 6 Nov, 23:04 UTC | $43.64 | 84.70% | 59 |
| 6 Nov, 17:00 UTC | $45.16 | 87.51% | 59 |
| 6 Nov, 10:57 UTC | $43.64 | 87.50% | 59 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $45.29 | 87.49% | 59 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $44.73 | 87.50% | 59 |
| 5 Nov, 10:43 UTC | $44.57 | 87.50% | 59 |
| 5 Nov, 04:40 UTC | $44.73 | 87.50% | 59 |
| 4 Nov, 22:36 UTC | $44.57 | 87.50% | 59 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $44.73 | 87.50% | 59 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 6.5% classified 5.4% Ancient 5.4% Covert 1.1% red 4.3% pink 19.2% uncommon 2.9% #d32ce6 2.2% Legendary 3.3% restricted 12.7% rare 1.1% Classified 1.1% violet 13.4% #d32ee6 1.1% Mythical 5.1% blue 4.3% light blue 4.3% #8847ff 2.2% mil spec 4.3% best hit $507 (11.19x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.50 on average: an expected loss of $12.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt