---
title: "XSTREAM case on Casehug: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "XSTREAM ($4.00) on Casehug, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.50% from 59 items with odds, observed 84.21% over 13.8K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/xstream
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:27Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) / [XSTREAM](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/xstream)

# [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) · XSTREAM

A case on Casehug (REGULAR CASES), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/xstream?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/xstream?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/xstream) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/xstream?window=all)

Price · $4.00

Advertised RTP · 87.50% · EV $3.50 from 59 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 84.21% · 13.8K openings, odds method

Variance · 3.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 16.7% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 69.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 85.55% ±8.91 1,726 openings

7 days · 84.91% ±3.56 11.3K openings

30 days · 84.21% ±3.26 13.8K openings

since tracking started · 84.21% ±3.26 13.8K openings

76.0% 85.5% 95.0%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 87.57% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (80.95% – 87.47%, 13,762 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/xstream?window=24h) | 1,726 | 85.55% ±8.91 | −0.4σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/xstream?window=7d) | 11.3K | 84.91% ±3.56 | −1.4σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/xstream) | 13.8K | 84.21% ±3.26 | −2.0σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/xstream?window=all) | 13.8K | 84.21% ±3.26 | −2.0σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 59 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 13.8K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 8,333 | $487 | 1.7% | 2 | 1.7 | 1.21× |
| [M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-master-piece-field-tested) | 1 in 2,564 | $149 | 1.7% | 2 | 5.4 | 0.37× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $90.82 | 0.3% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,448 | $82.29 | 0.7% | 0 | 4.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 1,695 | $57.30 | 1.0% | 0 | 8.1 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,846 | $54.89 | 0.4% | 0 | 3.6 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Well-Worn) weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-well-worn) | 1 in 2,778 | $46.69 | 0.5% | 0 | 5.0 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 2,439 | $43.39 | 0.5% | 0 | 5.7 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Inheritance (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-field-tested) | 1 in 769 | $43.38 | 1.6% | 12 | 17.9 | 0.67× |
| [AWP \| Ice Coaled (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled-factory-new) | 1 in 4,167 | $34.78 | 0.2% | 0 | 3.3 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,042 | $17.07 | 0.5% | 0 | 13.2 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Party Animal (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-party-animal-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,041 | $16.91 | 0.2% | 0 | 6.8 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| The Outsiders (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-outsiders-minimal-wear) | 1 in 87 | $13.37 | 4.4% | 0 | 158.9 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Mirror Mosaic (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-mirror-mosaic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 101 | $12.51 | 3.5% | 0 | 136.2 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| The End (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-end-field-tested) | 1 in 41 | $12.19 | 8.6% | 0 | 339.5 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| The End (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-end-well-worn) | 1 in 153 | $9.76 | 1.8% | 0 | 90.1 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| The End (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-end-battle-scarred) | 1 in 143 | $9.44 | 1.9% | 0 | 96.2 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-minimal-wear) | 1 in 292 | $8.90 | 0.9% | 0 | 47.3 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Party Animal (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-party-animal-well-worn) | 1 in 175 | $8.80 | 1.4% | 0 | 78.7 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled-field-tested) | 1 in 85 | $8.73 | 2.9% | 0 | 161.7 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Party Animal (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-party-animal-field-tested) | 1 in 164 | $8.51 | 1.5% | 0 | 84.1 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Party Animal (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-party-animal-battle-scarred) | 1 in 160 | $8.40 | 1.5% | 0 | 86.3 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Spider Lily (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-spider-lily-well-worn) | 1 in 95 | $7.79 | 2.3% | 0 | 145.3 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| The Outsiders (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-outsiders-field-tested) | 1 in 150 | $7.25 | 1.4% | 0 | 91.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| The Outsiders (Well-Worn) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-outsiders-well-worn) | 1 in 137 | $6.92 | 1.4% | 0 | 100.8 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Spider Lily (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-spider-lily-battle-scarred) | 1 in 66 | $6.50 | 2.8% | 0 | 208.7 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Mirror Mosaic (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-mirror-mosaic-field-tested) | 1 in 159 | $6.47 | 1.2% | 0 | 86.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| The Outsiders (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-outsiders-battle-scarred) | 1 in 113 | $6.30 | 1.6% | 0 | 121.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Well-Worn) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-well-worn) | 1 in 111 | $5.88 | 1.5% | 0 | 123.6 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-royal-legion-minimal-wear) | 1 in 206 | $5.63 | 0.8% | 0 | 66.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $5.56 | 1.6% | 0 | 138.3 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-battle-scarred) | 1 in 79 | $4.94 | 1.8% | 0 | 175.2 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-field-tested) | 1 in 75 | $4.85 | 1.9% | 0 | 184.7 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Mirror Mosaic (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-mirror-mosaic-well-worn) | 1 in 76 | $4.77 | 1.8% | 0 | 181.5 | 0.00× |
| [UMP-45 \| Crimson Foil (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-crimson-foil-factory-new) | 1 in 64 | $4.76 | 2.1% | 0 | 216.4 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Safety Net (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safety-net-minimal-wear) | 1 in 115 | $4.73 | 1.2% | 0 | 120.3 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-well-worn) | 1 in 64 | $4.50 | 2.0% | 0 | 214.3 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-battle-scarred) | 1 in 62 | $4.43 | 2.0% | 0 | 221.2 | 0.00× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Kiss♥Love (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-kiss-love-field-tested) | 1 in 69 | $4.33 | 1.8% | 0 | 199.6 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Mirror Mosaic (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-mirror-mosaic-battle-scarred) | 1 in 56 | $4.10 | 2.1% | 0 | 245.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Safety Net (Well-Worn) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safety-net-well-worn) | 1 in 84 | $3.92 | 1.3% | 0 | 164.6 | 0.00× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Kiss♥Love (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-kiss-love-well-worn) | 1 in 60 | $3.92 | 1.9% | 0 | 230.2 | 0.00× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Kiss♥Love (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-kiss-love-battle-scarred) | 1 in 55 | $3.66 | 1.9% | 0 | 251.8 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Safety Net (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safety-net-field-tested) | 1 in 71 | $3.50 | 1.4% | 0 | 192.8 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Safety Net (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safety-net-battle-scarred) | 1 in 66 | $3.30 | 1.4% | 0 | 209.4 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-royal-legion-field-tested) | 1 in 74 | $3.03 | 1.2% | 0 | 185.7 | 0.00× |
| [Tec-9 \| Whiteout (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-whiteout-field-tested) | 1 in 89 | $3.00 | 1.0% | 0 | 155.6 | 0.00× |
| [UMP-45 \| Crimson Foil (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-crimson-foil-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $2.71 | 2.8% | 0 | 502.7 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-royal-legion-well-worn) | 1 in 61 | $2.62 | 1.2% | 0 | 227.6 | 0.00× |
| [Souvenir MP9 \| Music Box (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mp9-music-box-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $2.43 | 4.2% | 823 | 824.0 | 1.00× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Silver (Factory New) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-silver-factory-new) | 1 in 16 | $2.30 | 4.0% | 869 | 842.3 | 1.03× |
| [Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-royal-legion-battle-scarred) | 1 in 48 | $2.21 | 1.3% | 0 | 288.8 | 0.00× |
| [Tec-9 \| Whiteout (Well-Worn) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-whiteout-well-worn) | 1 in 40 | $1.71 | 1.2% | 0 | 342.0 | 0.00× |
| [P90 \| Neoqueen (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-neoqueen-factory-new) | 1 in 73 | $1.67 | 0.7% | 0 | 188.8 | 0.00× |
| [Tec-9 \| Whiteout (Battle-Scarred) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-whiteout-battle-scarred) | 1 in 31 | $1.42 | 1.3% | 0 | 443.4 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Survivor Z (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-survivor-z-minimal-wear) | 1 in 34 | $0.81 | 0.7% | 0 | 408.4 | 0.00× |
| [SG 553 \| Dragon Tech (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-dragon-tech-field-tested) | 11.6% | $0.46 | 1.5% | 1,733 | 1603.5 | 1.08× |
| [P90 \| Neoqueen (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-neoqueen-field-tested) | 1 in 10 | $0.41 | 1.1% | 0 | 1348.1 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Survivor Z (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-survivor-z-battle-scarred) | 1 in 12 | $0.38 | 0.9% | 0 | 1176.9 | 0.00× |

Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `casehug:cases/xstream`, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Skeleton Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) Hidden $4.00 $491 122.6x 2026-11-09 23:00 UTC

[★ Skeleton Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) Hidden $4.00 $468 117.0x 2026-11-08 16:25 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=casehug&case=xstream)

[FAMAS | Survivor Z weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-survivor-z) [Hi mee# CS2.ME SKINS skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Hi%20mee%23%20CS2.ME%20SKINS%20skins.army) $4.00 $0.49 0.12x 2026-11-11 13:27 UTC

[FAMAS | Survivor Z weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-survivor-z) [Hi mee# CS2.ME SKINS skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Hi%20mee%23%20CS2.ME%20SKINS%20skins.army) $4.00 $0.49 0.12x 2026-11-11 13:26 UTC

[AWP | Ice Coaled weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled) [NRForceTomi](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/NRForceTomi) $4.00 $9.83 2.46x 2026-11-11 13:26 UTC

[Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-mirror-mosaic) Hidden $4.00 $6.37 1.59x 2026-11-11 13:20 UTC

[SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-dragon-tech-field-tested) Hidden $4.00 $0.46 0.12x 2026-11-11 13:20 UTC

[P90 | Neoqueen weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-neoqueen) [W.](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/W.) $4.00 $0.56 0.14x 2026-11-11 13:20 UTC

[SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-dragon-tech-field-tested) [NRForceTomi](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/NRForceTomi) $4.00 $0.46 0.12x 2026-11-11 13:18 UTC

[Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mp9-music-box-field-tested) [Gojo](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Gojo) $4.00 $2.43 0.61x 2026-11-11 13:17 UTC

[Tec-9 | Whiteout weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-whiteout) Hidden $4.00 $1.79 0.45x 2026-11-11 13:17 UTC

[UMP-45 | Crimson Foil weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-crimson-foil) [KomincSKINS.\*\*\*\*\*\*\*\*\*](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/KomincSKINS.*********-76561199393078295) $4.00 $3.33 0.83x 2026-11-11 13:17 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $4.00 | 87.50% | 59 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $4.00 | 87.27% | 59 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $4.00 | 87.86% | 59 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $4.00 | 87.30% | 59 |
| 8 Nov, 23:35 UTC | $4.00 | 86.93% | 59 |
| 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $4.00 | 87.79% | 59 |
| 7 Nov, 23:20 UTC | $4.00 | 87.62% | 59 |
| 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $4.00 | 87.71% | 59 |
| 6 Nov, 23:04 UTC | $4.00 | 87.55% | 59 |
| 6 Nov, 10:57 UTC | $4.00 | 87.35% | 59 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $4.00 | 87.47% | 59 |
| 5 Nov, 10:43 UTC | $4.00 | 87.58% | 59 |
| 4 Nov, 22:36 UTC | $4.00 | 87.80% | 59 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $4.00 | 87.49% | 59 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $4.00 | 87.43% | 59 |
| 3 Nov, 10:08 UTC | $4.00 | 87.84% | 59 |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | $4.00 | 88.00% | 59 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.0% classified 0.6% Ancient 0.1% Covert 0.0% red 0.1% pink 16.8% uncommon 3.3% #d32ce6 0.8% Legendary 2.5% restricted 13.1% rare 0.7% Classified 0.9% violet 28.5% #d32ee6 1.3% Mythical 6.3% blue 6.0% light blue 6.1% #8847ff 1.4% mil spec 11.5% best hit $491 (122.6x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.50 on average: an expected loss of $12.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt