--- title: "10 Percent Pokemon Random on Cases.gg: odds & RTP" description: "10 Percent Pokemon Random ($5.00) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 36.25% over 34 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/10-percent-pokemon-random rendered: 2026-11-12T06:32Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [10 Percent Pokemon Random](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/10-percent-pokemon-random) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · 10 Percent Pokemon Random A box on Cases.gg, first seen 6 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/10-percent-pokemon-random?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/10-percent-pokemon-random?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/10-percent-pokemon-random) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/10-percent-pokemon-random?window=all) Price · $5.00 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 36.25% · 34 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 24 openings · below min 7 days · 34 openings · below min 30 days · 34 openings · below min since tracking started · 34 openings · below min -0.5% 50.0% 100.5% **Small sample.** 34 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/10-percent-pokemon-random?window=24h) | 24 | 5.37% ±6.73 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/10-percent-pokemon-random?window=7d) | 34 | 36.25% ±63.4 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/10-percent-pokemon-random) | 34 | 36.25% ±63.4 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/10-percent-pokemon-random?window=all) | 34 | 36.25% ±63.4 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · none published **No catalog** Cases.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=10-percent-pokemon-random) [Gengar (MEW 094) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gengar-mew-094) Hidden $5.00 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:55 UTC [Pokemon Cards other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pokemon-cards) Hidden $5.00 $3.00 0.60x 2026-11-11 19:55 UTC [Pokemon Cards other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pokemon-cards) Hidden $5.00 $3.00 0.60x 2026-11-11 19:55 UTC [Bulbasaur (BS 44) (V1) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bulbasaur-bs-44-v1) Hidden $5.00 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:55 UTC [Bulbasaur (BS 44) (V1) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bulbasaur-bs-44-v1) Hidden $5.00 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:55 UTC [Gengar (MEW 094) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gengar-mew-094) [Adler](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Adler) $5.00 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:55 UTC [Pikachu (BS 58) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pikachu-bs-58) Hidden $5.00 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:55 UTC [Bulbasaur (BS 44) (V1) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bulbasaur-bs-44-v1) Hidden $5.00 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:55 UTC [Pikachu (BS 58) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pikachu-bs-58) Hidden $5.00 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:55 UTC [Bulbasaur (BS 44) (V1) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bulbasaur-bs-44-v1) Hidden $5.00 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:55 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 36.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $36.25 on average: an expected loss of $63.75 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt