--- title: "10% Component case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "10% Component ($96.94) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 12 items with odds, observed 102.00% over 447 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/10percent-component rendered: 2026-11-11T17:27Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [10% Component](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/10percent-component) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · 10% Component A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/10percent-component?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/10percent-component?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/10percent-component) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/10percent-component?window=all) Price · $96.94 Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $86.76 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 102.00% · 447 openings, odds method Variance · 9.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 25 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 31 openings · below min 7 days · 104.16% ±28.85 417 openings 30 days · 102.00% ±27.87 447 openings since tracking started · 102.00% ±27.87 447 openings 64.0% 170.5% 277.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/10percent-component?window=24h) | 31 | 170.44% ±105.8 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/10percent-component?window=7d) | 417 | 104.16% ±28.9 | +1.0σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/10percent-component) | 447 | 102.00% ±27.9 | +0.9σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/10percent-component?window=all) | 447 | 102.00% ±27.9 | +0.9σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 447 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [ASUS TUF Gaming GeForce RTX™ 4090 OG OC Edition Gaming Graphics Card other](https://gambatracker.com/items/asus-tuf-gaming-geforce-rtx-4090-og-oc-edition-gaming-graphics-card) | 1 in 200 | $2,010 | 11.6% | 5 | 2.2 | 2.24× | | [NVIDIA GeForce RTX 4080 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nvidia-geforce-rtx-4080) | 1 in 200 | $1,760 | 10.1% | 2 | 2.2 | 0.89× | | [PNY GeForce RTX™ 4070 Super other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pny-geforce-rtx-4070-super) | 1 in 100 | $1,450 | 16.7% | 7 | 4.5 | 1.57× | | [MSI GeForce RTX 4070 Ti Super other](https://gambatracker.com/items/msi-geforce-rtx-4070-ti-super) | 1 in 100 | $900 | 10.4% | 7 | 4.5 | 1.57× | | [Intel Core i9-13900KS Desktop Processor 24 cores (8 P + 16 E) 36MB Cache other](https://gambatracker.com/items/intel-core-i9-13900ks-desktop-processor-24-cores-8-p-16-e-36mb-cache) | 1 in 100 | $856 | 9.9% | 2 | 4.5 | 0.45× | | [ASUS Dual GeForce RTX™ 4070 White OC Edition 12GB GDDR6X other](https://gambatracker.com/items/asus-dual-geforce-rtx-4070-white-oc-edition-12gb-gddr6x) | 1 in 100 | $780 | 9.0% | 6 | 4.5 | 1.34× | | [Intel Core i7-13700K Gaming Desktop Processor 16 cores (8 P-cores + 8 E-cores) with Integrated Graphics other](https://gambatracker.com/items/intel-core-i7-13700k-gaming-desktop-processor-16-cores-8-p-cores-8-e-cores-with-integrated-graphics) | 1 in 100 | $675 | 7.8% | 2 | 4.5 | 0.45× | | [ASUS Dual GeForce RTX™ 4060 Ti White OC Edition 8GB GDDR6 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/asus-dual-geforce-rtx-4060-ti-white-oc-edition-8gb-gddr6) | 1 in 100 | $620 | 7.1% | 2 | 4.5 | 0.45× | | [MSI Gaming GeForce RTX 4060 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/msi-gaming-geforce-rtx-4060) | 1 in 100 | $600 | 6.9% | 1 | 4.5 | 0.22× | | [Intel Core i5-13600K Desktop Processor 14 (6 P-cores + 8 E-cores) with Integrated Graphics other](https://gambatracker.com/items/intel-core-i5-13600k-desktop-processor-14-6-p-cores-8-e-cores-with-integrated-graphics) | 1 in 100 | $415 | 4.8% | 6 | 4.5 | 1.34× | | [Intel Core i3-13100 Desktop Processor 4 cores other](https://gambatracker.com/items/intel-core-i3-13100-desktop-processor-4-cores) | 1 in 100 | $225 | 2.6% | 4 | 4.5 | 0.89× | | [Thermal Paste other](https://gambatracker.com/items/thermal-paste) | 90.0% | $3.00 | 3.1% | 403 | 402.3 | 1.00× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [ASUS TUF Gaming GeForce RTX™ 4090 OG OC Edition Gaming Graphics Card other](https://gambatracker.com/items/asus-tuf-gaming-geforce-rtx-4090-og-oc-edition-gaming-graphics-card) Hidden $96.94 $2,010 20.73x 2026-11-11 07:00 UTC [ASUS TUF Gaming GeForce RTX™ 4090 OG OC Edition Gaming Graphics Card other](https://gambatracker.com/items/asus-tuf-gaming-geforce-rtx-4090-og-oc-edition-gaming-graphics-card) Hidden $96.94 $2,010 20.73x 2026-11-07 11:20 UTC [ASUS TUF Gaming GeForce RTX™ 4090 OG OC Edition Gaming Graphics Card other](https://gambatracker.com/items/asus-tuf-gaming-geforce-rtx-4090-og-oc-edition-gaming-graphics-card) Hidden $96.94 $2,010 20.73x 2026-11-07 00:06 UTC [ASUS TUF Gaming GeForce RTX™ 4090 OG OC Edition Gaming Graphics Card other](https://gambatracker.com/items/asus-tuf-gaming-geforce-rtx-4090-og-oc-edition-gaming-graphics-card) [Code:666 800$ LB FREE](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Code%3A666%20800%24%20LB%20FREE) $96.94 $2,010 20.73x 2026-11-06 23:13 UTC [ASUS TUF Gaming GeForce RTX™ 4090 OG OC Edition Gaming Graphics Card other](https://gambatracker.com/items/asus-tuf-gaming-geforce-rtx-4090-og-oc-edition-gaming-graphics-card) Hidden $96.94 $2,010 20.73x 2026-11-03 05:32 UTC [NVIDIA GeForce RTX 4080 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nvidia-geforce-rtx-4080) Hidden $96.94 $1,760 18.16x 2026-11-11 07:00 UTC [NVIDIA GeForce RTX 4080 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nvidia-geforce-rtx-4080) Hidden $96.94 $1,760 18.16x 2026-11-06 23:13 UTC [PNY GeForce RTX™ 4070 Super other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pny-geforce-rtx-4070-super) [Code:666 800$ LB FREE](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Code%3A666%20800%24%20LB%20FREE) $96.94 $1,450 14.96x 2026-11-08 18:54 UTC [PNY GeForce RTX™ 4070 Super other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pny-geforce-rtx-4070-super) Hidden $96.94 $1,450 14.96x 2026-11-08 18:53 UTC [PNY GeForce RTX™ 4070 Super other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pny-geforce-rtx-4070-super) Hidden $96.94 $1,450 14.96x 2026-11-07 01:23 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=10percent-component) [Thermal Paste other](https://gambatracker.com/items/thermal-paste) Hidden $96.94 $3.00 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:19 UTC [Thermal Paste other](https://gambatracker.com/items/thermal-paste) Hidden $96.94 $3.00 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:19 UTC [Thermal Paste other](https://gambatracker.com/items/thermal-paste) [rekack](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/rekack) $96.94 $3.00 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:19 UTC [Thermal Paste other](https://gambatracker.com/items/thermal-paste) Hidden $96.94 $3.00 0.03x 2026-11-11 07:01 UTC [Thermal Paste other](https://gambatracker.com/items/thermal-paste) Hidden $96.94 $3.00 0.03x 2026-11-11 07:01 UTC [Thermal Paste other](https://gambatracker.com/items/thermal-paste) Hidden $96.94 $3.00 0.03x 2026-11-11 07:01 UTC [Thermal Paste other](https://gambatracker.com/items/thermal-paste) [Friendly Chipmunk](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Friendly%20Chipmunk) $96.94 $3.00 0.03x 2026-11-11 07:01 UTC [ASUS TUF Gaming GeForce RTX™ 4090 OG OC Edition Gaming Graphics Card other](https://gambatracker.com/items/asus-tuf-gaming-geforce-rtx-4090-og-oc-edition-gaming-graphics-card) Hidden $96.94 $2,010 20.73x 2026-11-11 07:00 UTC [Thermal Paste other](https://gambatracker.com/items/thermal-paste) Hidden $96.94 $3.00 0.03x 2026-11-11 07:00 UTC [Thermal Paste other](https://gambatracker.com/items/thermal-paste) Hidden $96.94 $3.00 0.03x 2026-11-11 07:00 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $96.94 | 89.50% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $2,010 (20.73x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt