--- title: "10% Gamer case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "10% Gamer ($13.09) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.45% from 18 items with odds, observed 88.46% over 1,184 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/10percent-gamer rendered: 2026-11-12T03:11Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [10% Gamer](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/10percent-gamer) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · 10% Gamer A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/10percent-gamer?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/10percent-gamer?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/10percent-gamer) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/10percent-gamer?window=all) Price · $13.09 Advertised RTP · 89.45% · EV $11.71 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 88.46% · 1,184 openings, odds method Variance · 7.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 25 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 100 openings · below min 7 days · 86.63% ±17.10 974 openings 30 days · 88.46% ±15.51 1,184 openings since tracking started · 88.46% ±15.51 1,184 openings 17.5% 71.5% 125.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/10percent-gamer?window=24h) | 100 | 71.39% ±53.4 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/10percent-gamer?window=7d) | 974 | 86.63% ±17.1 | −0.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/10percent-gamer) | 1,184 | 88.46% ±15.5 | −0.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/10percent-gamer?window=all) | 1,184 | 88.46% ±15.5 | −0.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,184 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Nintendo Switch Lite - Gray other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nintendo-switch-lite-gray) | 1 in 167 | $285 | 14.6% | 10 | 7.1 | 1.41× | | [Logitech G Yeti GX Dynamic RGB Gaming Microphone other](https://gambatracker.com/items/logitech-g-yeti-gx-dynamic-rgb-gaming-microphone) | 1 in 143 | $225 | 13.5% | 6 | 8.3 | 0.72× | | [Nintendo Game Boy Advance SP - Onyx other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nintendo-game-boy-advance-sp-onyx) | 1 in 143 | $180 | 10.8% | 9 | 8.3 | 1.09× | | [Logitech G703 Lightspeed Wireless Gaming Mouse - Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/logitech-g703-lightspeed-wireless-gaming-mouse-black) | 1 in 100 | $125 | 10.7% | 3 | 11.8 | 0.25× | | [PlayStation DualSense® Wireless Controller - White other](https://gambatracker.com/items/playstation-dualsense-wireless-controller-white) | 1 in 100 | $89.00 | 7.6% | 10 | 11.8 | 0.84× | | [Pokémon Legends: Arceus - US Version other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pokemon-legends-arceus-us-version) | 1 in 100 | $64.00 | 5.5% | 15 | 11.8 | 1.27× | | [Logitech G305 LIGHTSPEED Wireless Gaming Mouse other](https://gambatracker.com/items/logitech-g305-lightspeed-wireless-gaming-mouse) | 1 in 100 | $49.99 | 4.3% | 19 | 11.8 | 1.60× | | [Minecraft: Switch Edition - Nintendo Switch other](https://gambatracker.com/items/minecraft-switch-edition-nintendo-switch) | 1 in 100 | $32.99 | 2.8% | 14 | 11.8 | 1.18× | | [$20 Steam Gift Card other](https://gambatracker.com/items/20-steam-gift-card) | 1 in 100 | $20.00 | 1.7% | 10 | 11.8 | 0.84× | | [Grand Theft Auto V (GTA 5) PC - Rockstar Key - GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/grand-theft-auto-v-gta-5-pc-rockstar-key-global) | 1 in 100 | $15.99 | 1.4% | 16 | 11.8 | 1.35× | | [Xbox Socks Gaming Console Logo Adult Crew Socks 1 Pair other](https://gambatracker.com/items/xbox-socks-gaming-console-logo-adult-crew-socks-1-pair) | 1 in 100 | $13.95 | 1.2% | 11 | 11.8 | 0.93× | | [Battlefield Hardline - PC other](https://gambatracker.com/items/battlefield-hardline-pc) | 10.0% | $8.99 | 7.7% | 129 | 118.4 | 1.09× | | [EA SPORTS FC 24 (PC) - Steam Account - GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ea-sports-fc-24-pc-steam-account-global) | 10.0% | $6.99 | 6.0% | 113 | 118.4 | 0.95× | | [Micro USB Cables other](https://gambatracker.com/items/micro-usb-cables) | 10.0% | $5.49 | 4.7% | 115 | 118.4 | 0.97× | | [Thermal Paste other](https://gambatracker.com/items/thermal-paste) | 15.0% | $3.00 | 3.8% | 170 | 177.6 | 0.96× | | [Thumb Grips other](https://gambatracker.com/items/thumb-grips) | 15.0% | $2.00 | 2.6% | 185 | 177.6 | 1.04× | | [Thumb Stick Grips other](https://gambatracker.com/items/thumb-stick-grips) | 15.0% | $1.00 | 1.3% | 174 | 177.6 | 0.98× | | [Dirt other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dirt) | 15.0% | $0.05 | 0.1% | 175 | 177.6 | 0.99× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 12 Nov, 03:04 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=10percent-gamer) [Thumb Stick Grips other](https://gambatracker.com/items/thumb-stick-grips) Hidden $13.09 $1.00 0.08x 2026-11-11 22:06 UTC [Thumb Grips other](https://gambatracker.com/items/thumb-grips) Hidden $13.09 $2.00 0.15x 2026-11-11 22:06 UTC [Thermal Paste other](https://gambatracker.com/items/thermal-paste) Hidden $13.09 $3.00 0.23x 2026-11-11 22:06 UTC [Thumb Grips other](https://gambatracker.com/items/thumb-grips) Hidden $13.09 $2.00 0.15x 2026-11-11 22:06 UTC [Battlefield Hardline - PC other](https://gambatracker.com/items/battlefield-hardline-pc) Hidden $13.09 $8.99 0.69x 2026-11-11 22:06 UTC [EA SPORTS FC 24 (PC) - Steam Account - GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ea-sports-fc-24-pc-steam-account-global) [Cookiez](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Cookiez) $13.09 $6.99 0.53x 2026-11-11 22:06 UTC [Thumb Stick Grips other](https://gambatracker.com/items/thumb-stick-grips) Hidden $13.09 $1.00 0.08x 2026-11-11 21:28 UTC [EA SPORTS FC 24 (PC) - Steam Account - GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ea-sports-fc-24-pc-steam-account-global) Hidden $13.09 $6.99 0.53x 2026-11-11 21:28 UTC [Dirt other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dirt) Hidden $13.09 $0.05 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:28 UTC [EA SPORTS FC 24 (PC) - Steam Account - GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ea-sports-fc-24-pc-steam-account-global) Hidden $13.09 $6.99 0.53x 2026-11-11 21:28 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $13.09 | 89.45% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.45 on average: an expected loss of $10.55 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt