--- title: "10% McDonald's dream case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "10% McDonald's dream ($9.64) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 50.87% over 48 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/10percent-mcdonalds-dream rendered: 2026-11-12T15:29Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [10% McDonald's dream](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/10percent-mcdonalds-dream) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · 10% McDonald's dream A box on Cases.gg, first seen 7 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/10percent-mcdonalds-dream?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/10percent-mcdonalds-dream?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/10percent-mcdonalds-dream) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/10percent-mcdonalds-dream?window=all) Price · $9.64 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 50.87% · 48 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 48 openings · below min 30 days · 48 openings · below min since tracking started · 48 openings · below min -0.5% 51.3% 103.0% **Small sample.** 48 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/10percent-mcdonalds-dream?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/10percent-mcdonalds-dream?window=7d) | 48 | 50.87% ±51.3 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/10percent-mcdonalds-dream) | 48 | 50.87% ±51.3 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/10percent-mcdonalds-dream?window=all) | 48 | 50.87% ±51.3 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · none published **No catalog** Cases.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=10percent-mcdonalds-dream) [McDonalds Happy Meal Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mcdonalds-happy-meal-box) Hidden $9.64 $1.00 0.10x 2026-11-07 05:00 UTC [United States Penny other](https://gambatracker.com/items/united-states-penny) Hidden $9.64 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-07 05:00 UTC [Travis Scott x McDonald's Sesame III T-shirt Brown (US XL) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/travis-scott-x-mcdonalds-sesame-iii-t-shirt-brown-us-xl) Hidden $9.64 $80.00 8.30x 2026-11-07 05:00 UTC [United States Penny other](https://gambatracker.com/items/united-states-penny) Hidden $9.64 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-07 05:00 UTC [McDonald's Red Event Visor other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mcdonalds-red-event-visor) Hidden $9.64 $5.00 0.52x 2026-11-07 05:00 UTC [Travis Scott x McDonald's Crew T-shirt Red (US M) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/travis-scott-x-mcdonalds-crew-t-shirt-red-us-m) [Code M3OW](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Code%20M3OW) $9.64 $51.00 5.29x 2026-11-07 05:00 UTC [McDonald's Red Event Visor other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mcdonalds-red-event-visor) Hidden $9.64 $5.00 0.52x 2026-11-07 04:57 UTC [United States Penny other](https://gambatracker.com/items/united-states-penny) Hidden $9.64 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-07 04:57 UTC [United States Penny other](https://gambatracker.com/items/united-states-penny) Hidden $9.64 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-07 04:57 UTC [United States Penny other](https://gambatracker.com/items/united-states-penny) Hidden $9.64 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-07 04:57 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 50.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $50.87 on average: an expected loss of $49.13 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt