--- title: "10% OVO case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "10% OVO ($102.95) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 11 items with odds, observed 86.99% over 437 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/10percent-ovo rendered: 2026-11-12T04:45Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [10% OVO](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/10percent-ovo) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · 10% OVO A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/10percent-ovo?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/10percent-ovo?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/10percent-ovo) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/10percent-ovo?window=all) Price · $102.95 Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $92.14 from 11 items Observed RTP, 30d · 86.99% · 437 openings, odds method Variance · 7.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 24 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 66 openings · below min 7 days · 86.69% ±26.69 386 openings 30 days · 86.99% ±25.08 437 openings since tracking started · 86.99% ±25.08 437 openings 7.0% 72.3% 137.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/10percent-ovo?window=24h) | 66 | 72.21% ±64.5 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/10percent-ovo?window=7d) | 386 | 86.69% ±26.7 | −0.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/10percent-ovo) | 437 | 86.99% ±25.1 | −0.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/10percent-ovo?window=all) | 437 | 86.99% ±25.1 | −0.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 437 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [OVO The Simpsons Varsity Jacket US L other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ovo-the-simpsons-varsity-jacket-us-l) | 1 in 133 | $2,110 | 17.2% | 3 | 3.3 | 0.92× | | [BAPE x OVO Varsity Jacket Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bape-x-ovo-varsity-jacket-black) | 1 in 100 | $1,386 | 15.0% | 2 | 4.4 | 0.46× | | [OVO x Canada Goose Reflective Scarf other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ovo-x-canada-goose-reflective-scarf) | 1 in 80 | $866 | 11.7% | 8 | 5.5 | 1.46× | | [OVO x Canada Goose Trucker Hat other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ovo-x-canada-goose-trucker-hat) | 1 in 80 | $826 | 11.2% | 5 | 5.5 | 0.92× | | [OVO x Wilson Basketball Black/Gold other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ovo-x-wilson-basketball-black-gold) | 1 in 31 | $488 | 17.2% | 12 | 14.2 | 0.84× | | [OVO The Simpsons Itchy Hoodie Light Blue US M other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ovo-the-simpsons-itchy-hoodie-light-blue-us-m) | 1 in 40 | $470 | 12.8% | 16 | 10.9 | 1.46× | | [OVO x Looney Tunes Bicycle Playing Cards other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ovo-x-looney-tunes-bicycle-playing-cards) | 10.0% | $59.00 | 6.4% | 36 | 43.7 | 0.82× | | [Nike x Drake NOCTA Pack of 3 Socks other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-x-drake-nocta-pack-of-3-socks) | 10.0% | $44.00 | 4.8% | 43 | 43.7 | 0.98× | | [Anita Max Win Hat other](https://gambatracker.com/items/anita-max-win-hat) | 20.0% | $10.00 | 2.2% | 95 | 87.4 | 1.09× | | [OVO Logo Lanyard other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ovo-logo-lanyard) | 20.0% | $5.40 | 1.2% | 94 | 87.4 | 1.08× | | [OVO Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ovo-sticker) | 30.0% | $1.00 | 0.3% | 123 | 131.1 | 0.94× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 12 Nov, 03:04 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [OVO The Simpsons Varsity Jacket US L other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ovo-the-simpsons-varsity-jacket-us-l) Hidden $103 $2,110 20.50x 2026-11-08 05:36 UTC [OVO The Simpsons Varsity Jacket US L other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ovo-the-simpsons-varsity-jacket-us-l) Hidden $103 $2,110 20.50x 2026-11-07 12:47 UTC [OVO The Simpsons Varsity Jacket US L other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ovo-the-simpsons-varsity-jacket-us-l) Hidden $103 $2,110 20.50x 2026-11-06 10:28 UTC [BAPE x OVO Varsity Jacket Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bape-x-ovo-varsity-jacket-black) Hidden $103 $1,386 13.46x 2026-11-12 04:04 UTC [BAPE x OVO Varsity Jacket Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bape-x-ovo-varsity-jacket-black) Hidden $103 $1,386 13.46x 2026-11-03 11:39 UTC [OVO x Canada Goose Reflective Scarf other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ovo-x-canada-goose-reflective-scarf) Hidden $103 $866 8.41x 2026-11-12 04:04 UTC [OVO x Canada Goose Reflective Scarf other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ovo-x-canada-goose-reflective-scarf) Hidden $103 $866 8.41x 2026-11-08 05:37 UTC [OVO x Canada Goose Reflective Scarf other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ovo-x-canada-goose-reflective-scarf) Hidden $103 $866 8.41x 2026-11-08 05:36 UTC [OVO x Canada Goose Reflective Scarf other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ovo-x-canada-goose-reflective-scarf) [JoshuaCR](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/JoshuaCR) $103 $866 8.41x 2026-11-08 05:36 UTC [OVO x Canada Goose Reflective Scarf other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ovo-x-canada-goose-reflective-scarf) Hidden $103 $866 8.41x 2026-11-08 05:34 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=10percent-ovo) [OVO Logo Lanyard other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ovo-logo-lanyard) Hidden $103 $5.40 0.05x 2026-11-12 04:06 UTC [OVO The Simpsons Itchy Hoodie Light Blue US M other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ovo-the-simpsons-itchy-hoodie-light-blue-us-m) Hidden $103 $470 4.57x 2026-11-12 04:06 UTC [OVO Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ovo-sticker) Hidden $103 $1.00 0.01x 2026-11-12 04:06 UTC [OVO x Looney Tunes Bicycle Playing Cards other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ovo-x-looney-tunes-bicycle-playing-cards) Hidden $103 $59.00 0.57x 2026-11-12 04:06 UTC [Anita Max Win Hat other](https://gambatracker.com/items/anita-max-win-hat) Hidden $103 $10.00 0.10x 2026-11-12 04:06 UTC [OVO Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ovo-sticker) [JoshuaCR](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/JoshuaCR) $103 $1.00 0.01x 2026-11-12 04:06 UTC [OVO Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ovo-sticker) Hidden $103 $1.00 0.01x 2026-11-12 04:05 UTC [OVO x Looney Tunes Bicycle Playing Cards other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ovo-x-looney-tunes-bicycle-playing-cards) Hidden $103 $59.00 0.57x 2026-11-12 04:05 UTC [OVO x Looney Tunes Bicycle Playing Cards other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ovo-x-looney-tunes-bicycle-playing-cards) Hidden $103 $59.00 0.57x 2026-11-12 04:05 UTC [Anita Max Win Hat other](https://gambatracker.com/items/anita-max-win-hat) Hidden $103 $10.00 0.10x 2026-11-12 04:05 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $103 | 89.50% | 11 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $2,110 (20.50x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt