--- title: "10% Supreme Lottery case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "10% Supreme Lottery ($1.82) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 121.80% over 72 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/10percent-supreme-lottery rendered: 2026-11-12T13:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [10% Supreme Lottery](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/10percent-supreme-lottery) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · 10% Supreme Lottery A box on Cases.gg, first seen 6 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/10percent-supreme-lottery?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/10percent-supreme-lottery?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/10percent-supreme-lottery) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/10percent-supreme-lottery?window=all) Price · $1.82 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 121.80% · 72 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 72 openings · below min 30 days · 72 openings · below min since tracking started · 72 openings · below min -0.5% 135.8% 272.0% **Small sample.** 72 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/10percent-supreme-lottery?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/10percent-supreme-lottery?window=7d) | 72 | 121.80% ±149.5 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/10percent-supreme-lottery) | 72 | 121.80% ±149.5 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/10percent-supreme-lottery?window=all) | 72 | 121.80% ±149.5 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · none published **No catalog** Cases.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Supreme Shoulder Bag (SS24) Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-shoulder-bag-ss24-black) Hidden $1.82 $99.00 54.40x 2026-11-06 20:20 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=10percent-supreme-lottery) [$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $1.82 $0.01 0.01x 2026-11-06 20:47 UTC [$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $1.82 $0.01 0.01x 2026-11-06 20:47 UTC [$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $1.82 $0.01 0.01x 2026-11-06 20:47 UTC [$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $1.82 $0.01 0.01x 2026-11-06 20:47 UTC [$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $1.82 $0.01 0.01x 2026-11-06 20:47 UTC [$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) [Use code: COVO](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Use%20code%3A%20COVO) $1.82 $0.01 0.01x 2026-11-06 20:47 UTC [$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $1.82 $0.01 0.01x 2026-11-06 20:46 UTC [$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $1.82 $0.01 0.01x 2026-11-06 20:46 UTC [$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $1.82 $0.01 0.01x 2026-11-06 20:46 UTC [Supreme Burberry Box Logo Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-burberry-box-logo-sticker) Hidden $1.82 $5.00 2.75x 2026-11-06 20:46 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $99.00 (54.40x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 121.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $121.80 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt