--- title: "15% Rolex case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "15% Rolex ($11.17) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 61.77% over 10 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/15percent-rolex rendered: 2026-11-12T00:37Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [15% Rolex](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/15percent-rolex) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · 15% Rolex A box on Cases.gg, first seen 9 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/15percent-rolex?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/15percent-rolex?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/15percent-rolex) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/15percent-rolex?window=all) Price · $11.17 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 61.77% · 10 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 10 openings · below min 30 days · 10 openings · below min since tracking started · 10 openings · below min -0.5% 67.8% 136.0% **Small sample.** 10 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/15percent-rolex?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/15percent-rolex?window=7d) | 10 | 61.77% ±73.4 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/15percent-rolex) | 10 | 61.77% ±73.4 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/15percent-rolex?window=all) | 10 | 61.77% ±73.4 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · none published **No catalog** Cases.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=15percent-rolex) [United States Dollar Coin other](https://gambatracker.com/items/united-states-dollar-coin) Hidden $11.17 $1.00 0.09x 2026-11-09 02:38 UTC [United States Dollar Coin other](https://gambatracker.com/items/united-states-dollar-coin) Hidden $11.17 $1.00 0.09x 2026-11-09 02:38 UTC [United States Dollar Coin other](https://gambatracker.com/items/united-states-dollar-coin) Hidden $11.17 $1.00 0.09x 2026-11-09 02:38 UTC [United States Dollar Coin other](https://gambatracker.com/items/united-states-dollar-coin) Hidden $11.17 $1.00 0.09x 2026-11-09 02:38 UTC [1948-1963 Franklin Half Dollar Gem Proof other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1948-1963-franklin-half-dollar-gem-proof) Hidden $11.17 $21.00 1.88x 2026-11-09 02:38 UTC [1922 Peace Dollar BU other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1922-peace-dollar-bu) [Sgodface](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Sgodface) $11.17 $40.00 3.58x 2026-11-09 02:38 UTC [United States Dollar Coin other](https://gambatracker.com/items/united-states-dollar-coin) Hidden $11.17 $1.00 0.09x 2026-11-09 02:37 UTC [United States Dollar Coin other](https://gambatracker.com/items/united-states-dollar-coin) Hidden $11.17 $1.00 0.09x 2026-11-09 02:37 UTC [United States Dollar Coin other](https://gambatracker.com/items/united-states-dollar-coin) Hidden $11.17 $1.00 0.09x 2026-11-09 02:37 UTC [United States Dollar Coin other](https://gambatracker.com/items/united-states-dollar-coin) [Sgodface](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Sgodface) $11.17 $1.00 0.09x 2026-11-09 02:37 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 61.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $61.77 on average: an expected loss of $38.23 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt