--- title: "1percent-big-gold-hit case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "1percent-big-gold-hit ($0.25) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 38.64% over 150 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/1percent-big-gold-hit rendered: 2026-11-13T02:45Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [1percent-big-gold-hit](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/1percent-big-gold-hit) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · 1percent-big-gold-hit A box on Cases.gg, first seen 7 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/1percent-big-gold-hit?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/1percent-big-gold-hit?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/1percent-big-gold-hit) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/1percent-big-gold-hit?window=all) Price · $0.25 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 38.64% · 150 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 150 openings · below min 30 days · 150 openings · below min since tracking started · 150 openings · below min -0.5% 53.3% 107.0% **Small sample.** 150 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/1percent-big-gold-hit?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/1percent-big-gold-hit?window=7d) | 150 | 38.64% ±67.9 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/1percent-big-gold-hit) | 150 | 38.64% ±67.9 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/1percent-big-gold-hit?window=all) | 150 | 38.64% ±67.9 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · none published **No catalog** Cases.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Haribo Goldbears (1kg Tub) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/haribo-goldbears-1kg-tub) Hidden $0.25 $13.00 52.00x 2026-11-07 20:18 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=1percent-big-gold-hit) [$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $0.25 $0.01 0.04x 2026-11-07 20:18 UTC [$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $0.25 $0.01 0.04x 2026-11-07 20:18 UTC [$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $0.25 $0.01 0.04x 2026-11-07 20:18 UTC [$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $0.25 $0.01 0.04x 2026-11-07 20:18 UTC [$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $0.25 $0.01 0.04x 2026-11-07 20:18 UTC [$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) [Zerifu](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Zerifu) $0.25 $0.01 0.04x 2026-11-07 20:18 UTC [$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $0.25 $0.01 0.04x 2026-11-07 20:18 UTC [$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $0.25 $0.01 0.04x 2026-11-07 20:18 UTC [$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $0.25 $0.01 0.04x 2026-11-07 20:18 UTC [$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $0.25 $0.01 0.04x 2026-11-07 20:18 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $13.00 (52.00x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 38.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $38.64 on average: an expected loss of $61.36 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt