--- title: "1% RTX case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "1% RTX ($20.84) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 12 items with odds, observed 76.78% over 1,656 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/1percent-rtx rendered: 2026-11-11T19:50Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [1% RTX](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/1percent-rtx) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · 1% RTX A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/1percent-rtx?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/1percent-rtx?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/1percent-rtx) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/1percent-rtx?window=all) Price · $20.84 Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $18.65 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 76.78% · 1,656 openings, odds method Variance · 24.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 100 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 99.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 118 openings · below min 7 days · 74.44% ±25.36 1,456 openings 30 days · 76.78% ±23.78 1,656 openings since tracking started · 76.78% ±23.78 1,656 openings 48.5% 146.8% 245.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/1percent-rtx?window=24h) | 118 | 155.07% ±89.1 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/1percent-rtx?window=7d) | 1,456 | 74.44% ±25.4 | −1.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/1percent-rtx) | 1,656 | 76.78% ±23.8 | −1.0σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/1percent-rtx?window=all) | 1,656 | 76.78% ±23.8 | −1.0σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,656 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [ASUS TUF Gaming GeForce RTX™ 4090 OG OC Edition Gaming Graphics Card other](https://gambatracker.com/items/asus-tuf-gaming-geforce-rtx-4090-og-oc-edition-gaming-graphics-card) | 1 in 2,000 | $2,010 | 5.4% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [NVIDIA GeForce RTX 4080 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nvidia-geforce-rtx-4080) | 1 in 1,429 | $1,760 | 6.6% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× | | [PNY GeForce RTX™ 4070 Super other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pny-geforce-rtx-4070-super) | 1 in 667 | $1,450 | 11.7% | 5 | 2.5 | 2.01× | | [MSI GeForce RTX 4070 Ti Super other](https://gambatracker.com/items/msi-geforce-rtx-4070-ti-super) | 1 in 667 | $900 | 7.2% | 0 | 2.5 | 0.00× | | [MSI Gaming GeForce RTX 3060 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/msi-gaming-geforce-rtx-3060) | 1 in 345 | $630 | 9.8% | 1 | 4.8 | 0.21× | | [ASUS Dual GeForce RTX™ 4060 Ti White OC Edition 8GB GDDR6 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/asus-dual-geforce-rtx-4060-ti-white-oc-edition-8gb-gddr6) | 1 in 345 | $620 | 9.6% | 5 | 4.8 | 1.04× | | [Amazon Basics Low-Profile Wired USB Keyboard with US Layout other](https://gambatracker.com/items/amazon-basics-low-profile-wired-usb-keyboard-with-us-layout) | 1 in 11 | $18.00 | 8.7% | 159 | 149.0 | 1.07× | | [Assetto Corsa Competizione (PC) - Steam Key - GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/assetto-corsa-competizione-pc-steam-key-global) | 10.0% | $16.00 | 8.6% | 176 | 165.6 | 1.06× | | [Noctua NF-P12 redux-1700 PWM, High Performance Cooling Fan other](https://gambatracker.com/items/noctua-nf-p12-redux-1700-pwm-high-performance-cooling-fan) | 10.0% | $15.95 | 8.6% | 171 | 165.6 | 1.03× | | [Logitech Mouse Pad - Studio Series other](https://gambatracker.com/items/logitech-mouse-pad-studio-series) | 20.0% | $9.66 | 10.4% | 316 | 331.2 | 0.95× | | [Sleeping Dogs: Definitive Edition Steam Key GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sleeping-dogs-definitive-edition-steam-key-global) | 25.0% | $6.97 | 9.3% | 390 | 414.0 | 0.94× | | [LEGO Marvel Super Heroes (PC) - Steam Key - GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/lego-marvel-super-heroes-pc-steam-key-global) | 25.0% | $3.10 | 4.2% | 433 | 414.0 | 1.05× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [PNY GeForce RTX™ 4070 Super other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pny-geforce-rtx-4070-super) Hidden $20.84 $1,450 69.58x 2026-11-11 09:09 UTC [PNY GeForce RTX™ 4070 Super other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pny-geforce-rtx-4070-super) Hidden $20.84 $1,450 69.58x 2026-11-06 16:39 UTC [PNY GeForce RTX™ 4070 Super other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pny-geforce-rtx-4070-super) Hidden $20.84 $1,450 69.58x 2026-11-06 16:25 UTC [PNY GeForce RTX™ 4070 Super other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pny-geforce-rtx-4070-super) Hidden $20.84 $1,450 69.58x 2026-11-04 23:43 UTC [PNY GeForce RTX™ 4070 Super other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pny-geforce-rtx-4070-super) Hidden $20.84 $1,450 69.58x 2026-11-03 02:59 UTC [MSI Gaming GeForce RTX 3060 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/msi-gaming-geforce-rtx-3060) Hidden $20.84 $630 30.23x 2026-11-03 00:32 UTC [ASUS Dual GeForce RTX™ 4060 Ti White OC Edition 8GB GDDR6 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/asus-dual-geforce-rtx-4060-ti-white-oc-edition-8gb-gddr6) Hidden $20.84 $620 29.75x 2026-11-11 10:19 UTC [ASUS Dual GeForce RTX™ 4060 Ti White OC Edition 8GB GDDR6 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/asus-dual-geforce-rtx-4060-ti-white-oc-edition-8gb-gddr6) Hidden $20.84 $620 29.75x 2026-11-11 10:06 UTC [ASUS Dual GeForce RTX™ 4060 Ti White OC Edition 8GB GDDR6 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/asus-dual-geforce-rtx-4060-ti-white-oc-edition-8gb-gddr6) Hidden $20.84 $620 29.75x 2026-11-06 23:43 UTC [ASUS Dual GeForce RTX™ 4060 Ti White OC Edition 8GB GDDR6 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/asus-dual-geforce-rtx-4060-ti-white-oc-edition-8gb-gddr6) [Oliveira16](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Oliveira16) $20.84 $620 29.75x 2026-11-06 16:27 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=1percent-rtx) [LEGO Marvel Super Heroes (PC) - Steam Key - GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/lego-marvel-super-heroes-pc-steam-key-global) Hidden $20.84 $3.10 0.15x 2026-11-11 19:43 UTC [Assetto Corsa Competizione (PC) - Steam Key - GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/assetto-corsa-competizione-pc-steam-key-global) Hidden $20.84 $16.00 0.77x 2026-11-11 19:43 UTC [Logitech Mouse Pad - Studio Series other](https://gambatracker.com/items/logitech-mouse-pad-studio-series) [Shoqx](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Shoqx) $20.84 $9.66 0.46x 2026-11-11 19:43 UTC [LEGO Marvel Super Heroes (PC) - Steam Key - GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/lego-marvel-super-heroes-pc-steam-key-global) Hidden $20.84 $3.10 0.15x 2026-11-11 19:43 UTC [Sleeping Dogs: Definitive Edition Steam Key GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sleeping-dogs-definitive-edition-steam-key-global) Hidden $20.84 $6.97 0.33x 2026-11-11 19:43 UTC [Amazon Basics Low-Profile Wired USB Keyboard with US Layout other](https://gambatracker.com/items/amazon-basics-low-profile-wired-usb-keyboard-with-us-layout) [Shoqx](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Shoqx) $20.84 $18.00 0.86x 2026-11-11 19:43 UTC [Sleeping Dogs: Definitive Edition Steam Key GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sleeping-dogs-definitive-edition-steam-key-global) Hidden $20.84 $6.97 0.33x 2026-11-11 18:43 UTC [LEGO Marvel Super Heroes (PC) - Steam Key - GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/lego-marvel-super-heroes-pc-steam-key-global) Hidden $20.84 $3.10 0.15x 2026-11-11 18:43 UTC [LEGO Marvel Super Heroes (PC) - Steam Key - GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/lego-marvel-super-heroes-pc-steam-key-global) [Shoqx](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Shoqx) $20.84 $3.10 0.15x 2026-11-11 18:43 UTC [LEGO Marvel Super Heroes (PC) - Steam Key - GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/lego-marvel-super-heroes-pc-steam-key-global) Hidden $20.84 $3.10 0.15x 2026-11-11 18:43 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $20.84 | 89.50% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $1,450 (69.58x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt