--- title: "25% Win high rate case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "25% Win high rate ($0.43) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 97.72% over 56 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/25percent-win-high-rate rendered: 2026-11-12T12:30Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [25% Win high rate](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/25percent-win-high-rate) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · 25% Win high rate A box on Cases.gg, first seen 6 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/25percent-win-high-rate?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/25percent-win-high-rate?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/25percent-win-high-rate) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/25percent-win-high-rate?window=all) Price · $0.43 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 97.72% · 56 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 56 openings · below min 30 days · 56 openings · below min since tracking started · 56 openings · below min 40.0% 97.8% 155.5% **Small sample.** 56 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/25percent-win-high-rate?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/25percent-win-high-rate?window=7d) | 56 | 97.72% ±57.1 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/25percent-win-high-rate) | 56 | 97.72% ±57.1 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/25percent-win-high-rate?window=all) | 56 | 97.72% ±57.1 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · none published **No catalog** Cases.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=25percent-win-high-rate) [Pumpkin Stress Ball other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pumpkin-stress-ball) Hidden $0.43 $5.00 11.63x 2026-11-06 23:38 UTC [Misdreavus #63 Pokemon Silver Tempest other](https://gambatracker.com/items/misdreavus-63-pokemon-silver-tempest) Hidden $0.43 $0.99 2.30x 2026-11-06 23:38 UTC [CaDA Small ball connector 5M | JF4076 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cada-small-ball-connector-5m-jf4076) Hidden $0.43 $0.05 0.12x 2026-11-06 23:38 UTC [CaDA Small ball connector 5M | JF4076 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cada-small-ball-connector-5m-jf4076) [Wake Up](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Wake%20Up) $0.43 $0.05 0.12x 2026-11-06 23:38 UTC [Bananas other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bananas) Hidden $0.43 $0.70 1.63x 2026-11-06 23:38 UTC [CaDA Small ball connector 5M | JF4076 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cada-small-ball-connector-5m-jf4076) Hidden $0.43 $0.05 0.12x 2026-11-06 23:38 UTC [CaDA Small ball connector 5M | JF4076 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cada-small-ball-connector-5m-jf4076) Hidden $0.43 $0.05 0.12x 2026-11-06 23:38 UTC [CaDA Small ball connector 5M | JF4076 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cada-small-ball-connector-5m-jf4076) [Wake Up](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Wake%20Up) $0.43 $0.05 0.12x 2026-11-06 23:38 UTC [CaDA Bricks Steering Arm 5.5 x 2 with Towball Socket Rounded | JF4054 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cada-bricks-steering-arm-5-5-x-2-with-towball-socket-rounded-jf4054) Hidden $0.43 $0.20 0.47x 2026-11-06 23:37 UTC [CaDA Small ball connector 5M | JF4076 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cada-small-ball-connector-5m-jf4076) Hidden $0.43 $0.05 0.12x 2026-11-06 23:37 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 97.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $97.72 on average: an expected loss of $2.28 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt