--- title: "2%mattcases case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "2%mattcases ($0.10) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 25.62% over 89 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/2percentmattcases rendered: 2026-11-11T20:29Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [2%mattcases](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/2percentmattcases) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · 2%mattcases A box on Cases.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/2percentmattcases?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/2percentmattcases?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/2percentmattcases) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/2percentmattcases?window=all) Price · $0.10 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 25.62% · 89 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 67 openings · below min 30 days · 89 openings · below min since tracking started · 89 openings · below min -0.5% 35.8% 72.0% **Small sample.** 89 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/2percentmattcases?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/2percentmattcases?window=7d) | 67 | 30.75% ±40.7 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/2percentmattcases) | 89 | 25.62% ±30.6 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/2percentmattcases?window=all) | 89 | 25.62% ±30.6 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · none published **No catalog** Cases.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=2percentmattcases) [151: Divider other](https://gambatracker.com/items/151-divider) Hidden $0.10 $0.01 0.10x 2026-11-10 03:35 UTC [151: Divider other](https://gambatracker.com/items/151-divider) Hidden $0.10 $0.01 0.10x 2026-11-10 03:35 UTC [151: Divider other](https://gambatracker.com/items/151-divider) Hidden $0.10 $0.01 0.10x 2026-11-10 03:35 UTC [151: Divider other](https://gambatracker.com/items/151-divider) Hidden $0.10 $0.01 0.10x 2026-11-10 03:35 UTC [151: Divider other](https://gambatracker.com/items/151-divider) Hidden $0.10 $0.01 0.10x 2026-11-10 03:35 UTC [151: Divider other](https://gambatracker.com/items/151-divider) [mike](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/mike) $0.10 $0.01 0.10x 2026-11-10 03:35 UTC [151: Divider other](https://gambatracker.com/items/151-divider) Hidden $0.10 $0.01 0.10x 2026-11-10 03:03 UTC [151: Divider other](https://gambatracker.com/items/151-divider) Hidden $0.10 $0.01 0.10x 2026-11-10 03:03 UTC [151: Divider other](https://gambatracker.com/items/151-divider) Hidden $0.10 $0.01 0.10x 2026-11-10 03:03 UTC [151: Divider other](https://gambatracker.com/items/151-divider) Hidden $0.10 $0.01 0.10x 2026-11-10 03:03 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 25.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $25.62 on average: an expected loss of $74.38 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt