---
title: "3% Apple Box case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "3% Apple Box ($4.93) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 211.49% over 48 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/3percent-apple-box
rendered: 2026-11-11T22:35Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [3% Apple Box](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/3percent-apple-box)

# [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · 3% Apple Box

A box on Cases.gg, first seen 11 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/3percent-apple-box?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/3percent-apple-box?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/3percent-apple-box) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/3percent-apple-box?window=all)

Price · $4.93

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 211.49% · 48 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 48 openings · below min

7 days · 48 openings · below min

30 days · 48 openings · below min

since tracking started · 48 openings · below min

-0.5% 250.7% 502.0%

**Small sample.** 48 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/3percent-apple-box?window=24h) | 48 | 211.49% ±289.7 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/3percent-apple-box?window=7d) | 48 | 211.49% ±289.7 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/3percent-apple-box) | 48 | 211.49% ±289.7 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/3percent-apple-box?window=all) | 48 | 211.49% ±289.7 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items and odds · none published

**No catalog** Cases.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Apple AirPods (3rd Generation) Wireless Ear Buds other](https://gambatracker.com/items/apple-airpods-3rd-generation-wireless-ear-buds) Hidden $4.93 $250 50.71x 2026-11-11 03:48 UTC

[Apple AirPods (3rd Generation) Wireless Ear Buds other](https://gambatracker.com/items/apple-airpods-3rd-generation-wireless-ear-buds) Hidden $4.93 $250 50.71x 2026-11-11 03:41 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=3percent-apple-box)

[$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $4.93 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-11 03:51 UTC

[$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $4.93 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-11 03:51 UTC

[$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $4.93 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-11 03:51 UTC

[$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $4.93 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-11 03:51 UTC

[$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $4.93 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-11 03:51 UTC

[$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) [K2nnuamblik](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/K2nnuamblik) $4.93 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-11 03:51 UTC

[$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $4.93 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-11 03:50 UTC

[$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $4.93 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-11 03:50 UTC

[$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $4.93 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-11 03:50 UTC

[$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $4.93 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-11 03:50 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit $250 (50.71x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 211.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $211.49 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
