--- title: "3% Rolex 30K case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "3% Rolex 30K ($250.00) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 104.40% over 174 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/3percent-rolex-30k rendered: 2026-11-12T03:22Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [3% Rolex 30K](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/3percent-rolex-30k) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · 3% Rolex 30K A box on Cases.gg, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/3percent-rolex-30k?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/3percent-rolex-30k?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/3percent-rolex-30k) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/3percent-rolex-30k?window=all) Price · $250.00 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 104.40% · 174 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 156 openings · below min 30 days · 174 openings · below min since tracking started · 174 openings · below min -0.5% 112.0% 224.5% **Small sample.** 174 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/3percent-rolex-30k?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/3percent-rolex-30k?window=7d) | 156 | 69.01% ±95.8 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/3percent-rolex-30k) | 174 | 104.40% ±119.2 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/3percent-rolex-30k?window=all) | 174 | 104.40% ±119.2 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · none published **No catalog** Cases.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Rolex Submariner Date 41mm 126610LN Black Ceramic Bezel Black Dial Stainless Steel other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rolex-submariner-date-41mm-126610ln-black-ceramic-bezel-black-dial-stainless-steel) [C\_zum\_K](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/C_zum_K) $250 $18.5K 74.00x 2026-11-07 14:30 UTC [Rolex Submariner Date 41mm 126610LN Black Ceramic Bezel Black Dial Stainless Steel other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rolex-submariner-date-41mm-126610ln-black-ceramic-bezel-black-dial-stainless-steel) [Chavlin Exer](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Chavlin%20Exer) $250 $18.5K 74.00x 2026-11-04 13:11 UTC [Casio G-Shock 20th Anniversary MTG-B1000RB-2A other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-20th-anniversary-mtg-b1000rb-2a) Hidden $250 $3,120 12.48x 2026-11-07 14:40 UTC [Casio G-Shock x Kith other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-x-kith) Hidden $250 $2,640 10.56x 2026-11-07 15:09 UTC [Casio G-Shock x Kith other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-x-kith) Hidden $250 $2,640 10.56x 2026-11-05 22:53 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=3percent-rolex-30k) [Smart Guard Cardboard Toploader other](https://gambatracker.com/items/smart-guard-cardboard-toploader) Hidden $250 $0.08 0.00x 2026-11-08 23:25 UTC [Smart Guard Cardboard Toploader other](https://gambatracker.com/items/smart-guard-cardboard-toploader) Hidden $250 $0.08 0.00x 2026-11-08 23:25 UTC [Smart Guard Cardboard Toploader other](https://gambatracker.com/items/smart-guard-cardboard-toploader) Hidden $250 $0.08 0.00x 2026-11-08 23:25 UTC [Smart Guard Cardboard Toploader other](https://gambatracker.com/items/smart-guard-cardboard-toploader) Hidden $250 $0.08 0.00x 2026-11-08 23:25 UTC [Smart Guard Cardboard Toploader other](https://gambatracker.com/items/smart-guard-cardboard-toploader) Hidden $250 $0.08 0.00x 2026-11-08 23:25 UTC [Smart Guard Cardboard Toploader other](https://gambatracker.com/items/smart-guard-cardboard-toploader) [C\_zum\_K](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/C_zum_K) $250 $0.08 0.00x 2026-11-08 23:25 UTC [Smart Guard Cardboard Toploader other](https://gambatracker.com/items/smart-guard-cardboard-toploader) Hidden $250 $0.08 0.00x 2026-11-08 23:20 UTC [Smart Guard Cardboard Toploader other](https://gambatracker.com/items/smart-guard-cardboard-toploader) Hidden $250 $0.08 0.00x 2026-11-08 23:20 UTC [Smart Guard Cardboard Toploader other](https://gambatracker.com/items/smart-guard-cardboard-toploader) Hidden $250 $0.08 0.00x 2026-11-08 23:20 UTC [Smart Guard Cardboard Toploader other](https://gambatracker.com/items/smart-guard-cardboard-toploader) Hidden $250 $0.08 0.00x 2026-11-08 23:20 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $18.5K (74.00x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 104.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $104.40 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt