--- title: "4% to 50k Car case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "4% to 50k Car ($1.45) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 90.30% over 45 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/4percent-to-50k-car rendered: 2026-11-12T14:27Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [4% to 50k Car](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/4percent-to-50k-car) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · 4% to 50k Car A box on Cases.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/4percent-to-50k-car?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/4percent-to-50k-car?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/4percent-to-50k-car) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/4percent-to-50k-car?window=all) Price · $1.45 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 90.30% · 45 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 19 openings · below min 30 days · 45 openings · below min since tracking started · 45 openings · below min -0.5% 285.3% 571.0% **Small sample.** 45 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/4percent-to-50k-car?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/4percent-to-50k-car?window=7d) | 19 | 212.92% ±357.4 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/4percent-to-50k-car) | 45 | 90.30% ±151.7 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/4percent-to-50k-car?window=all) | 45 | 90.30% ±151.7 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · none published **No catalog** Cases.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=4percent-to-50k-car) [Boros Guildgate (V.2) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/boros-guildgate-v-2) Hidden $1.45 $0.01 0.01x 2026-11-07 17:49 UTC [Boros Guildgate (V.2) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/boros-guildgate-v-2) Hidden $1.45 $0.01 0.01x 2026-11-07 17:49 UTC [Boros Guildgate (V.2) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/boros-guildgate-v-2) [Llorko](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Llorko) $1.45 $0.01 0.01x 2026-11-07 17:49 UTC [Boros Guildgate (V.2) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/boros-guildgate-v-2) Hidden $1.45 $0.01 0.01x 2026-11-07 17:48 UTC [Boros Guildgate (V.2) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/boros-guildgate-v-2) Hidden $1.45 $0.01 0.01x 2026-11-07 17:48 UTC [Boros Guildgate (V.2) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/boros-guildgate-v-2) Hidden $1.45 $0.01 0.01x 2026-11-07 17:48 UTC [Boros Guildgate (V.2) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/boros-guildgate-v-2) [Llorko](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Llorko) $1.45 $0.01 0.01x 2026-11-07 17:48 UTC [Boros Guildgate (V.2) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/boros-guildgate-v-2) Hidden $1.45 $0.01 0.01x 2026-11-07 17:46 UTC [Boros Guildgate (V.2) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/boros-guildgate-v-2) Hidden $1.45 $0.01 0.01x 2026-11-07 17:46 UTC [Boros Guildgate (V.2) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/boros-guildgate-v-2) Hidden $1.45 $0.01 0.01x 2026-11-07 17:46 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.30 on average: an expected loss of $9.70 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt