--- title: "5 Finger Discount case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "5 Finger Discount ($6.87) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.39% from 18 items with odds, observed 98.61% over 1,433 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/5-finger-discount rendered: 2026-11-12T00:40Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [5 Finger Discount](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/5-finger-discount) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · 5 Finger Discount A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/5-finger-discount?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/5-finger-discount?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/5-finger-discount) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/5-finger-discount?window=all) Price · $6.87 Advertised RTP · 89.39% · EV $6.14 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 98.61% · 1,433 openings, odds method Variance · 12.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 35 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 86.2% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 62 openings · below min 7 days · 105.69% ±20.84 1,085 openings 30 days · 98.61% ±18.13 1,433 openings since tracking started · 98.61% ±18.13 1,433 openings 20.0% 107.8% 195.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/5-finger-discount?window=24h) | 62 | 107.69% ±87.2 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/5-finger-discount?window=7d) | 1,085 | 105.69% ±20.8 | +1.5σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/5-finger-discount) | 1,433 | 98.61% ±18.1 | +1.0σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/5-finger-discount?window=all) | 1,433 | 98.61% ±18.1 | +1.0σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,433 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [HP Chromebook 14 Laptop other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hp-chromebook-14-laptop) | 1 in 500 | $280 | 9.1% | 2 | 2.9 | 0.70× | | [INSIGNIA 42-inch Class F20 Series Smart Full HD 1080p Fire TV other](https://gambatracker.com/items/insignia-42-inch-class-f20-series-smart-full-hd-1080p-fire-tv) | 1 in 200 | $214 | 17.4% | 8 | 7.2 | 1.12× | | [Viktor&Rolf - Spicebomb Nightvision Eau de Parfum other](https://gambatracker.com/items/viktor-and-rolf-spicebomb-nightvision-eau-de-parfum) | 1 in 250 | $190 | 12.4% | 9 | 5.7 | 1.57× | | [Razer BlackShark V2 X Gaming Headset other](https://gambatracker.com/items/razer-blackshark-v2-x-gaming-headset) | 1 in 133 | $55.00 | 6.7% | 12 | 10.7 | 1.12× | | [DualShock 4 Wireless Controller for PlayStation 4 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dualshock-4-wireless-controller-for-playstation-4) | 1 in 100 | $44.00 | 7.2% | 17 | 14.3 | 1.19× | | [Remington Hair Straightener other](https://gambatracker.com/items/remington-hair-straightener) | 1 in 67 | $35.00 | 8.5% | 26 | 21.5 | 1.21× | | [Silver Ring other](https://gambatracker.com/items/silver-ring) | 1 in 50 | $26.80 | 8.7% | 26 | 28.7 | 0.91× | | [Powerbank other](https://gambatracker.com/items/powerbank) | 1 in 40 | $14.00 | 5.7% | 40 | 35.8 | 1.12× | | [Phone Case container](https://gambatracker.com/items/phone-case) | 1 in 40 | $10.00 | 4.1% | 33 | 35.8 | 0.92× | | [Pack Of 3 White Men's Socks other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pack-of-3-white-mens-socks) | 1 in 40 | $8.99 | 3.7% | 39 | 35.8 | 1.09× | | [USB-C Cable other](https://gambatracker.com/items/usb-c-cable) | 1 in 40 | $5.00 | 2.0% | 41 | 35.8 | 1.14× | | [Ibuprofen other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ibuprofen) | 1 in 40 | $4.00 | 1.6% | 27 | 35.8 | 0.75× | | [Deodorant other](https://gambatracker.com/items/deodorant) | 1 in 40 | $3.20 | 1.3% | 30 | 35.8 | 0.84× | | [Nail Polish other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nail-polish) | 1 in 20 | $2.50 | 2.0% | 80 | 71.7 | 1.12× | | [Chapstick other](https://gambatracker.com/items/chapstick) | 1 in 13 | $2.00 | 2.4% | 120 | 107.5 | 1.12× | | [Pack of Gum other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pack-of-gum) | 15.0% | $1.30 | 3.2% | 217 | 215.0 | 1.01× | | [Battery other](https://gambatracker.com/items/battery) | 20.0% | $0.80 | 2.6% | 296 | 286.6 | 1.03× | | [Pencil other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pencil) | 31.1% | $0.25 | 1.3% | 410 | 446.4 | 0.92× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=5-finger-discount) [Pencil other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pencil) Hidden $6.87 $0.25 0.04x 2026-11-11 22:59 UTC [Pencil other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pencil) Hidden $6.87 $0.25 0.04x 2026-11-11 22:59 UTC [Pencil other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pencil) Hidden $6.87 $0.25 0.04x 2026-11-11 22:59 UTC [Battery other](https://gambatracker.com/items/battery) [blokey](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/blokey) $6.87 $0.80 0.12x 2026-11-11 22:59 UTC [Remington Hair Straightener other](https://gambatracker.com/items/remington-hair-straightener) Hidden $6.87 $35.00 5.09x 2026-11-11 22:52 UTC [Pencil other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pencil) Hidden $6.87 $0.25 0.04x 2026-11-11 22:52 UTC [Powerbank other](https://gambatracker.com/items/powerbank) Hidden $6.87 $14.00 2.04x 2026-11-11 22:52 UTC [Pack of Gum other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pack-of-gum) Hidden $6.87 $1.30 0.19x 2026-11-11 22:52 UTC [Pencil other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pencil) Hidden $6.87 $0.25 0.04x 2026-11-11 22:52 UTC [Chapstick other](https://gambatracker.com/items/chapstick) [wildman432](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/wildman432) $6.87 $2.00 0.29x 2026-11-11 22:52 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $6.87 | 89.39% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.39 on average: an expected loss of $10.61 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt