--- title: "5 percent for 5 to 440 case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "5 percent for 5 to 440 ($5.00) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 110.61% over 186 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/5-percent-for-5-to-440 rendered: 2026-11-13T07:05Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [5 percent for 5 to 440](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/5-percent-for-5-to-440) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · 5 percent for 5 to 440 A box on Cases.gg, first seen 6 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/5-percent-for-5-to-440?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/5-percent-for-5-to-440?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/5-percent-for-5-to-440) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/5-percent-for-5-to-440?window=all) Price · $5.00 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 110.61% · 186 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 36 openings · below min 7 days · 174 openings · below min 30 days · 186 openings · below min since tracking started · 186 openings · below min -0.5% 141.3% 283.0% **Small sample.** 186 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/5-percent-for-5-to-440?window=24h) | 36 | 128.69% ±153.9 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/5-percent-for-5-to-440?window=7d) | 174 | 114.73% ±81.7 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/5-percent-for-5-to-440) | 186 | 110.61% ±76.7 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/5-percent-for-5-to-440?window=all) | 186 | 110.61% ±76.7 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · none published **No catalog** Cases.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [2002 Yu-Gi-Oh! Metal Raiders 1st Edition Feral Imp #MRD-001 PSA 10 GEM MINT other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2002-yu-gi-oh-metal-raiders-1st-edition-feral-imp-mrd-001-psa-10-gem-mint) Hidden $5.00 $270 54.00x 2026-11-08 16:58 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=5-percent-for-5-to-440) [Playstation Triangle Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/playstation-triangle-sticker) Hidden $5.00 $0.05 0.01x 2026-11-12 23:47 UTC [Playstation Triangle Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/playstation-triangle-sticker) Hidden $5.00 $0.05 0.01x 2026-11-12 23:47 UTC [Demon Slayer Kimetsu no Yaiba Mugen Train Arc Limited Edition Blu-ray other](https://gambatracker.com/items/demon-slayer-kimetsu-no-yaiba-mugen-train-arc-limited-edition-blu-ray) Hidden $5.00 $100 20.00x 2026-11-12 23:47 UTC [Playstation Triangle Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/playstation-triangle-sticker) Hidden $5.00 $0.05 0.01x 2026-11-12 23:47 UTC [Playstation Triangle Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/playstation-triangle-sticker) Hidden $5.00 $0.05 0.01x 2026-11-12 23:47 UTC [Playstation Triangle Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/playstation-triangle-sticker) [K2nnuamblik](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/K2nnuamblik) $5.00 $0.05 0.01x 2026-11-12 23:47 UTC [Playstation Triangle Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/playstation-triangle-sticker) Hidden $5.00 $0.05 0.01x 2026-11-12 23:45 UTC [Playstation Triangle Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/playstation-triangle-sticker) Hidden $5.00 $0.05 0.01x 2026-11-12 23:45 UTC [Playstation Triangle Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/playstation-triangle-sticker) Hidden $5.00 $0.05 0.01x 2026-11-12 23:45 UTC [Playstation Triangle Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/playstation-triangle-sticker) Hidden $5.00 $0.05 0.01x 2026-11-12 23:45 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $270 (54.00x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 110.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $110.61 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt