---
title: "52 Faces case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "52 Faces ($20.36) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.46% from 9 items with odds, observed 81.27% over 307 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/52-faces
rendered: 2026-11-11T21:07Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [52 Faces](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/52-faces)

# [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · 52 Faces

A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/52-faces?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/52-faces?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/52-faces) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/52-faces?window=all)

Price · $20.36

Advertised RTP · 89.46% · EV $18.22 from 9 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 81.27% · 307 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 10.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 26 openings · below min

7 days · 82.24% ±19.16 253 openings

30 days · 81.27% ±17.40 307 openings

since tracking started · 81.27% ±17.40 307 openings

4.5% 65.0% 125.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/52-faces?window=24h) | 26 | 65.17% ±59.8 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/52-faces?window=7d) | 253 | 82.24% ±19.2 | −0.7σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/52-faces) | 307 | 81.27% ±17.4 | −0.9σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/52-faces?window=all) | 307 | 81.27% ±17.4 | −0.9σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items and odds · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 307 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Kith Kithmas Playing Card Set other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kith-kithmas-playing-card-set) | 1 in 100 | $180 | 9.9% | 4 | 3.1 | 1.30× |
| [Palace x Bicycle Playing Cards other](https://gambatracker.com/items/palace-x-bicycle-playing-cards) | 1 in 80 | $100 | 6.9% | 4 | 3.8 | 1.04× |
| [Fragment x Bicycle Playing Cards other](https://gambatracker.com/items/fragment-x-bicycle-playing-cards) | 1 in 67 | $100 | 8.2% | 0 | 4.6 | 0.00× |
| [Supreme Gold Foil Playing Cards other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-gold-foil-playing-cards) | 1 in 57 | $97.00 | 9.3% | 5 | 5.4 | 0.93× |
| [Travis Scott x Playboy Playing Cards other](https://gambatracker.com/items/travis-scott-x-playboy-playing-cards) | 1 in 57 | $95.00 | 9.1% | 3 | 5.4 | 0.56× |
| [Bearbrick Bicycle Playing Cards Poker Set other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bearbrick-bicycle-playing-cards-poker-set) | 1 in 36 | $62.00 | 9.4% | 12 | 8.4 | 1.42× |
| [OVO x Looney Tunes Bicycle Playing Cards other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ovo-x-looney-tunes-bicycle-playing-cards) | 1 in 20 | $59.00 | 16.2% | 16 | 15.4 | 1.04× |
| [Travis Scott Astroworld Playing Cards other](https://gambatracker.com/items/travis-scott-astroworld-playing-cards) | 1 in 20 | $49.00 | 13.5% | 10 | 15.4 | 0.65× |
| [Pack of Playing Cards other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pack-of-playing-cards) | 80.0% | $4.00 | 17.6% | 253 | 245.6 | 1.03× |

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=52-faces)

[Pack of Playing Cards other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pack-of-playing-cards) Hidden $20.36 $4.00 0.20x 2026-11-11 19:52 UTC

[Pack of Playing Cards other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pack-of-playing-cards) Hidden $20.36 $4.00 0.20x 2026-11-11 19:52 UTC

[Pack of Playing Cards other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pack-of-playing-cards) Hidden $20.36 $4.00 0.20x 2026-11-11 19:52 UTC

[Pack of Playing Cards other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pack-of-playing-cards) Hidden $20.36 $4.00 0.20x 2026-11-11 19:52 UTC

[Pack of Playing Cards other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pack-of-playing-cards) Hidden $20.36 $4.00 0.20x 2026-11-11 19:52 UTC

[Pack of Playing Cards other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pack-of-playing-cards) [FamiChiki](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/FamiChiki) $20.36 $4.00 0.20x 2026-11-11 19:52 UTC

[Travis Scott Astroworld Playing Cards other](https://gambatracker.com/items/travis-scott-astroworld-playing-cards) Hidden $20.36 $49.00 2.41x 2026-11-11 15:13 UTC

[Pack of Playing Cards other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pack-of-playing-cards) Hidden $20.36 $4.00 0.20x 2026-11-11 15:13 UTC

[Pack of Playing Cards other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pack-of-playing-cards) Hidden $20.36 $4.00 0.20x 2026-11-11 15:13 UTC

[Pack of Playing Cards other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pack-of-playing-cards) Hidden $20.36 $4.00 0.20x 2026-11-11 15:13 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $20.36 | 89.46% | 9 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed other 100.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.46 on average: an expected loss of $10.54 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
