--- title: "5% CHEAPER case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "5% CHEAPER ($6.78) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 245.67% over 74 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/5percent-cheaper rendered: 2026-11-11T19:08Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [5% CHEAPER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/5percent-cheaper) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · 5% CHEAPER A box on Cases.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/5percent-cheaper?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/5percent-cheaper?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/5percent-cheaper) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/5percent-cheaper?window=all) Price · $6.78 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 245.67% · 74 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 35 openings · below min 30 days · 74 openings · below min since tracking started · 74 openings · below min -0.5% 326.8% 654.0% **Small sample.** 74 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/5percent-cheaper?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/5percent-cheaper?window=7d) | 35 | 244.26% ±409.0 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/5percent-cheaper) | 74 | 245.67% ±293.0 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/5percent-cheaper?window=all) | 74 | 245.67% ±293.0 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · none published **No catalog** Cases.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Scuf PS5 Reflex Pro Wireless Controller Orange other](https://gambatracker.com/items/scuf-ps5-reflex-pro-wireless-controller-orange) [Harryb4301](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Harryb4301) $6.78 $570 84.07x 2026-11-04 14:42 UTC [Nike SB Dunk Low Instant Skateboards (US 9) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-sb-dunk-low-instant-skateboards-us-9) Hidden $6.78 $490 72.27x 2026-11-06 11:26 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=5percent-cheaper) [Dirt other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dirt) Hidden $6.78 $0.05 0.01x 2026-11-09 02:57 UTC [Dirt other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dirt) Hidden $6.78 $0.05 0.01x 2026-11-09 02:57 UTC [Dirt other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dirt) Hidden $6.78 $0.05 0.01x 2026-11-09 02:57 UTC [Dirt other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dirt) Hidden $6.78 $0.05 0.01x 2026-11-09 02:57 UTC [Dirt other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dirt) Hidden $6.78 $0.05 0.01x 2026-11-09 02:57 UTC [Dirt other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dirt) [Sgodface](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Sgodface) $6.78 $0.05 0.01x 2026-11-09 02:57 UTC [Dirt other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dirt) Hidden $6.78 $0.05 0.01x 2026-11-08 03:27 UTC [Dirt other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dirt) Hidden $6.78 $0.05 0.01x 2026-11-08 03:27 UTC [Dirt other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dirt) Hidden $6.78 $0.05 0.01x 2026-11-08 03:27 UTC [Dirt other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dirt) [wolk08](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/wolk08) $6.78 $0.05 0.01x 2026-11-08 03:27 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $570 (84.07x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 245.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $245.67 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt