--- title: "5percent-huge-win case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "5percent-huge-win ($4.40) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 76.87% over 84 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/5percent-huge-win rendered: 2026-11-12T09:09Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [5percent-huge-win](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/5percent-huge-win) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · 5percent-huge-win A box on Cases.gg, first seen 8 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/5percent-huge-win?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/5percent-huge-win?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/5percent-huge-win) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/5percent-huge-win?window=all) Price · $4.40 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 76.87% · 84 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 84 openings · below min 30 days · 84 openings · below min since tracking started · 84 openings · below min -0.5% 85.8% 172.0% **Small sample.** 84 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/5percent-huge-win?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/5percent-huge-win?window=7d) | 84 | 76.87% ±94.7 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/5percent-huge-win) | 84 | 76.87% ±94.7 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/5percent-huge-win?window=all) | 84 | 76.87% ±94.7 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · none published **No catalog** Cases.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=5percent-huge-win) [Floppy Disk other](https://gambatracker.com/items/floppy-disk) Hidden $4.40 $0.10 0.02x 2026-11-08 19:44 UTC [Floppy Disk other](https://gambatracker.com/items/floppy-disk) Hidden $4.40 $0.10 0.02x 2026-11-08 19:44 UTC [Floppy Disk other](https://gambatracker.com/items/floppy-disk) Hidden $4.40 $0.10 0.02x 2026-11-08 19:44 UTC [Floppy Disk other](https://gambatracker.com/items/floppy-disk) Hidden $4.40 $0.10 0.02x 2026-11-08 19:44 UTC [Floppy Disk other](https://gambatracker.com/items/floppy-disk) Hidden $4.40 $0.10 0.02x 2026-11-08 19:44 UTC [Floppy Disk other](https://gambatracker.com/items/floppy-disk) [C4NTCRUSHER](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/C4NTCRUSHER) $4.40 $0.10 0.02x 2026-11-08 19:44 UTC [Floppy Disk other](https://gambatracker.com/items/floppy-disk) Hidden $4.40 $0.10 0.02x 2026-11-08 19:44 UTC [Floppy Disk other](https://gambatracker.com/items/floppy-disk) Hidden $4.40 $0.10 0.02x 2026-11-08 19:44 UTC [Floppy Disk other](https://gambatracker.com/items/floppy-disk) Hidden $4.40 $0.10 0.02x 2026-11-08 19:44 UTC [Floppy Disk other](https://gambatracker.com/items/floppy-disk) Hidden $4.40 $0.10 0.02x 2026-11-08 19:44 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 76.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $76.87 on average: an expected loss of $23.13 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt