--- title: "5% Rain comeback case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "5% Rain comeback ($0.10) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 103.73% over 1,708 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/5percent-rain-comeback rendered: 2026-11-11T21:50Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [5% Rain comeback](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/5percent-rain-comeback) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · 5% Rain comeback A box on Cases.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/5percent-rain-comeback?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/5percent-rain-comeback?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/5percent-rain-comeback) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/5percent-rain-comeback?window=all) Price · $0.10 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 103.73% · 1,708 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 49 openings · below min 7 days · 768 openings · below min 30 days · 103.73% ±25.17 1,708 openings since tracking started · 103.73% ±25.17 1,708 openings -0.5% 164.3% 329.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/5percent-rain-comeback?window=24h) | 49 | 126.94% ±201.2 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/5percent-rain-comeback?window=7d) | 768 | 103.49% ±36.6 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/5percent-rain-comeback) | 1,708 | 103.73% ±25.2 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/5percent-rain-comeback?window=all) | 1,708 | 103.73% ±25.2 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · none published **No catalog** Cases.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Prada Pin pin](https://gambatracker.com/items/prada-pin) Hidden $0.10 $5.00 50.00x 2026-11-11 00:47 UTC [Prada Pin pin](https://gambatracker.com/items/prada-pin) Hidden $0.10 $5.00 50.00x 2026-11-10 21:51 UTC [Prada Pin pin](https://gambatracker.com/items/prada-pin) Hidden $0.10 $5.00 50.00x 2026-11-10 21:51 UTC [Prada Pin pin](https://gambatracker.com/items/prada-pin) Hidden $0.10 $5.00 50.00x 2026-11-10 21:40 UTC [Prada Pin pin](https://gambatracker.com/items/prada-pin) Hidden $0.10 $5.00 50.00x 2026-11-08 21:05 UTC [Prada Pin pin](https://gambatracker.com/items/prada-pin) Hidden $0.10 $5.00 50.00x 2026-11-04 22:23 UTC [Prada Pin pin](https://gambatracker.com/items/prada-pin) Hidden $0.10 $5.00 50.00x 2026-11-03 06:02 UTC [Prada Pin pin](https://gambatracker.com/items/prada-pin) Hidden $0.10 $5.00 50.00x 2026-11-03 05:45 UTC [Prada Pin pin](https://gambatracker.com/items/prada-pin) Hidden $0.10 $5.00 50.00x 2026-11-03 05:44 UTC [Prada Pin pin](https://gambatracker.com/items/prada-pin) Hidden $0.10 $5.00 50.00x 2026-11-03 05:39 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=5percent-rain-comeback) [Rock other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rock) Hidden $0.10 $0.01 0.10x 2026-11-11 01:03 UTC [Rock other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rock) Hidden $0.10 $0.01 0.10x 2026-11-11 01:03 UTC [Rock other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rock) Hidden $0.10 $0.01 0.10x 2026-11-11 01:03 UTC [Rock other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rock) Hidden $0.10 $0.01 0.10x 2026-11-11 01:03 UTC [Rock other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rock) Hidden $0.10 $0.01 0.10x 2026-11-11 01:03 UTC [Rock other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rock) Hidden $0.10 $0.01 0.10x 2026-11-11 01:01 UTC [Rock other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rock) Hidden $0.10 $0.01 0.10x 2026-11-11 01:01 UTC [Rock other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rock) Hidden $0.10 $0.01 0.10x 2026-11-11 01:01 UTC [Rock other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rock) Hidden $0.10 $0.01 0.10x 2026-11-11 01:01 UTC [Rock other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rock) Hidden $0.10 $0.01 0.10x 2026-11-11 01:00 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $5.00 (50.00x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 103.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $103.73 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt