---
title: "5%❄️Toyota to BMW $50 case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "5%❄️Toyota to BMW $50 ($50.00) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 209.49% over 57 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/5percent-toyota-to-bmw-dollar50
rendered: 2026-11-13T05:50Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [5%❄️Toyota to BMW $50](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/5percent-toyota-to-bmw-dollar50)

# [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · 5%❄️Toyota to BMW $50

A box on Cases.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/5percent-toyota-to-bmw-dollar50?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/5percent-toyota-to-bmw-dollar50?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/5percent-toyota-to-bmw-dollar50) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/5percent-toyota-to-bmw-dollar50?window=all)

Price · $50.00

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 209.49% · 57 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

7 days · 21 openings · below min

30 days · 57 openings · below min

since tracking started · 57 openings · below min

-0.5% 308.5% 617.5%

**Small sample.** 57 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/5percent-toyota-to-bmw-dollar50?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/5percent-toyota-to-bmw-dollar50?window=7d) | 21 | 292.40% ±324.6 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/5percent-toyota-to-bmw-dollar50) | 57 | 209.49% ±164.1 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/5percent-toyota-to-bmw-dollar50?window=all) | 57 | 209.49% ±164.1 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items and odds · none published

**No catalog** Cases.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[2002 Volkswagen Passat other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2002-volkswagen-passat) Hidden $50.00 $1,200 24.00x 2026-11-12 00:27 UTC

[2002 Volkswagen Passat other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2002-volkswagen-passat) [Snape](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Snape) $50.00 $1,200 24.00x 2026-11-12 00:26 UTC

[2002 Volkswagen Passat other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2002-volkswagen-passat) Hidden $50.00 $1,200 24.00x 2026-11-05 20:14 UTC

[Toyota Yaris 2002 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/toyota-yaris-2002) [C\_zum\_K](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/C_zum_K) $50.00 $900 18.00x 2026-11-05 10:40 UTC

[2000 Volkswagen Golf MK4 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2000-volkswagen-golf-mk4) Hidden $50.00 $800 16.00x 2026-11-03 10:09 UTC

[Segway Ninebot ES4 Foldable Electric Scooter other](https://gambatracker.com/items/segway-ninebot-es4-foldable-electric-scooter) [Snape](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Snape) $50.00 $670 13.40x 2026-11-12 00:23 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=5percent-toyota-to-bmw-dollar50)

[Steam Gems other](https://gambatracker.com/items/steam-gems) Hidden $50.00 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-12 00:29 UTC

[Steam Gems other](https://gambatracker.com/items/steam-gems) Hidden $50.00 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-12 00:29 UTC

[Steam Gems other](https://gambatracker.com/items/steam-gems) Hidden $50.00 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-12 00:29 UTC

[Steam Gems other](https://gambatracker.com/items/steam-gems) Hidden $50.00 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-12 00:29 UTC

[Steam Gems other](https://gambatracker.com/items/steam-gems) Hidden $50.00 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-12 00:29 UTC

[Steam Gems other](https://gambatracker.com/items/steam-gems) [Snape](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Snape) $50.00 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-12 00:29 UTC

[2002 Volkswagen Passat other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2002-volkswagen-passat) Hidden $50.00 $1,200 24.00x 2026-11-12 00:27 UTC

[Steam Gems other](https://gambatracker.com/items/steam-gems) Hidden $50.00 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-12 00:27 UTC

[Steam Gems other](https://gambatracker.com/items/steam-gems) Hidden $50.00 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-12 00:27 UTC

[Steam Gems other](https://gambatracker.com/items/steam-gems) Hidden $50.00 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-12 00:27 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit $1,200 (24.00x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 209.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $209.49 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
