---
title: "All or Nothing case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "All or Nothing ($14.41) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.47% from 18 items with odds, observed 66.49% over 1,389 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/all-or-nothing
rendered: 2026-11-11T18:38Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [All or Nothing](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/all-or-nothing)

# [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · All or Nothing

A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/all-or-nothing?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/all-or-nothing?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/all-or-nothing) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/all-or-nothing?window=all)

Price · $14.41

Advertised RTP · 89.47% · EV $12.89 from 18 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 66.49% · 1,389 openings, odds method

Variance · 97.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 250 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 99.1% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 258 openings · below min

7 days · 1,082 openings · below min

30 days · 66.49% ±51.94 1,389 openings

since tracking started · 66.49% ±51.94 1,389 openings

-0.5% 103.3% 207.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/all-or-nothing?window=24h) | 258 | 85.92% ±120.5 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/all-or-nothing?window=7d) | 1,082 | 50.88% ±58.8 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/all-or-nothing) | 1,389 | 66.49% ±51.9 | −0.9σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/all-or-nothing?window=all) | 1,389 | 66.49% ±51.9 | −0.9σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,389 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Casio G-Shock x Kith other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-x-kith) | 1 in 1,000 | $2,640 | 20.5% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [CARTIER D'AMOUR NECKLACE, SMALL MODEL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cartier-damour-necklace-small-model) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,584 | 12.3% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.44× |
| [CyberPowerPC Gamer Xtreme VR Gaming PC, Intel Core i7-13700F 2.1GHz, GeForce RTX 4060 Ti 16GB, 16GB DDR5, 1TB NVMe SSD other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cyberpowerpc-gamer-xtreme-vr-gaming-pc-intel-core-i7-13700f-2-1ghz-geforce-rtx-4060-ti-16gb-16gb-ddr5-1tb-nvme-ssd) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,430 | 11.1% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.44× |
| [SAMSUNG 55-Inch Class Neo QLED 4K other](https://gambatracker.com/items/samsung-55-inch-class-neo-qled-4k) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,375 | 10.7% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.72× |
| [SAMSUNG Galaxy S24+ Plus Cell Phone, 512GB, Marble Gray other](https://gambatracker.com/items/samsung-galaxy-s24-plus-cell-phone-512gb-marble-gray) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,332 | 10.3% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.72× |
| [Dior TEARS Ring Gold/Malachite (US M) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dior-tears-ring-gold-malachite-us-m) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,319 | 10.2% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.72× |
| [Chanel Mini Crystal Bow CC Stud Earrings Silver Hardware other](https://gambatracker.com/items/chanel-mini-crystal-bow-cc-stud-earrings-silver-hardware) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,260 | 9.8% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.72× |
| [Supreme Box Logo Hooded Sweatshirt Camo (US S) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-box-logo-hooded-sweatshirt-camo-us-s) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,243 | 9.6% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.72× |
| [Jordan 1 Retro High OG Sail (US 8) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-retro-high-og-sail-us-8) | 1 in 1,000 | $600 | 4.7% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.72× |
| [Bandaid other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bandaid) | 11.0% | $0.35 | 0.3% | 152 | 152.8 | 0.99× |
| [Ace Keychain other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ace-keychain) | 11.0% | $0.20 | 0.2% | 160 | 152.8 | 1.05× |
| [My Hero Academia- Ochaco #1 Button other](https://gambatracker.com/items/my-hero-academia-ochaco-1-button) | 11.0% | $0.20 | 0.2% | 143 | 152.8 | 0.94× |
| [Floppy Disk other](https://gambatracker.com/items/floppy-disk) | 11.0% | $0.10 | 0.1% | 144 | 152.8 | 0.94× |
| [Retro Off White Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/retro-off-white-sticker) | 11.0% | $0.05 | 0.0% | 160 | 152.8 | 1.05× |
| [Funko Pop Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-sticker) | 11.0% | $0.05 | 0.0% | 161 | 152.8 | 1.05× |
| [Realistic Mushroom Pin pin](https://gambatracker.com/items/realistic-mushroom-pin) | 11.0% | $0.03 | 0.0% | 152 | 152.8 | 0.99× |
| [Rock other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rock) | 11.1% | $0.01 | 0.0% | 161 | 154.2 | 1.04× |
| [Coin Pusher Token other](https://gambatracker.com/items/coin-pusher-token) | 11.0% | $0.01 | 0.0% | 146 | 152.8 | 0.96× |

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[CARTIER D'AMOUR NECKLACE, SMALL MODEL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cartier-damour-necklace-small-model) Hidden $14.41 $1,584 109.9x 2026-11-10 21:15 UTC

[CARTIER D'AMOUR NECKLACE, SMALL MODEL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cartier-damour-necklace-small-model) Hidden $14.41 $1,584 109.9x 2026-11-10 19:46 UTC

[CyberPowerPC Gamer Xtreme VR Gaming PC, Intel Core i7-13700F 2.1GHz, GeForce RTX 4060 Ti 16GB, 16GB DDR5, 1TB NVMe SSD other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cyberpowerpc-gamer-xtreme-vr-gaming-pc-intel-core-i7-13700f-2-1ghz-geforce-rtx-4060-ti-16gb-16gb-ddr5-1tb-nvme-ssd) [Mischievous Turtle](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Mischievous%20Turtle) $14.41 $1,430 99.24x 2026-11-05 14:23 UTC

[CyberPowerPC Gamer Xtreme VR Gaming PC, Intel Core i7-13700F 2.1GHz, GeForce RTX 4060 Ti 16GB, 16GB DDR5, 1TB NVMe SSD other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cyberpowerpc-gamer-xtreme-vr-gaming-pc-intel-core-i7-13700f-2-1ghz-geforce-rtx-4060-ti-16gb-16gb-ddr5-1tb-nvme-ssd) [MEN](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/MEN) $14.41 $1,430 99.24x 2026-11-03 01:28 UTC

[SAMSUNG 55-Inch Class Neo QLED 4K other](https://gambatracker.com/items/samsung-55-inch-class-neo-qled-4k) [bmw enjoyer](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/bmw%20enjoyer) $14.41 $1,375 95.42x 2026-11-09 21:26 UTC

[SAMSUNG Galaxy S24+ Plus Cell Phone, 512GB, Marble Gray other](https://gambatracker.com/items/samsung-galaxy-s24-plus-cell-phone-512gb-marble-gray) Hidden $14.41 $1,332 92.44x 2026-11-03 20:14 UTC

[Dior TEARS Ring Gold/Malachite (US M) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dior-tears-ring-gold-malachite-us-m) Hidden $14.41 $1,319 91.53x 2026-11-03 20:10 UTC

[Chanel Mini Crystal Bow CC Stud Earrings Silver Hardware other](https://gambatracker.com/items/chanel-mini-crystal-bow-cc-stud-earrings-silver-hardware) Hidden $14.41 $1,260 87.44x 2026-11-03 00:08 UTC

[Supreme Box Logo Hooded Sweatshirt Camo (US S) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-box-logo-hooded-sweatshirt-camo-us-s) Hidden $14.41 $1,243 86.26x 2026-11-08 22:26 UTC

[Jordan 1 Retro High OG Sail (US 8) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-retro-high-og-sail-us-8) Hidden $14.41 $600 41.64x 2026-11-05 17:41 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=all-or-nothing)

[Rock other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rock) Hidden $14.41 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:37 UTC

[Floppy Disk other](https://gambatracker.com/items/floppy-disk) Hidden $14.41 $0.10 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:37 UTC

[Coin Pusher Token other](https://gambatracker.com/items/coin-pusher-token) Hidden $14.41 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:37 UTC

[Funko Pop Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-sticker) Hidden $14.41 $0.05 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:37 UTC

[Realistic Mushroom Pin pin](https://gambatracker.com/items/realistic-mushroom-pin) Hidden $14.41 $0.03 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:37 UTC

[Realistic Mushroom Pin pin](https://gambatracker.com/items/realistic-mushroom-pin) [Pingvins](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Pingvins) $14.41 $0.03 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:37 UTC

[Coin Pusher Token other](https://gambatracker.com/items/coin-pusher-token) Hidden $14.41 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:15 UTC

[Floppy Disk other](https://gambatracker.com/items/floppy-disk) Hidden $14.41 $0.10 0.01x 2026-11-11 17:15 UTC

[Coin Pusher Token other](https://gambatracker.com/items/coin-pusher-token) Hidden $14.41 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:15 UTC

[Funko Pop Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-sticker) Hidden $14.41 $0.05 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:15 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $14.41 | 89.47% | 18 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed other 100.0% best hit $1,584 (109.9x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.47 on average: an expected loss of $10.53 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
