--- title: "Amazon case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Amazon ($60.27) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 18 items with odds, observed 86.20% over 134 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/amazon rendered: 2026-11-11T16:42Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Amazon](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/amazon) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Amazon A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/amazon?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/amazon?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/amazon) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/amazon?window=all) Price · $60.27 Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $53.94 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 86.20% · 134 openings, odds method Variance · 2.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 13.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 70.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 86.20% ±28.49 134 openings 30 days · 86.20% ±28.49 134 openings since tracking started · 86.20% ±28.49 134 openings 57.0% 86.3% 115.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/amazon?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/amazon?window=7d) | 134 | 86.20% ±28.5 | −0.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/amazon) | 134 | 86.20% ±28.5 | −0.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/amazon?window=all) | 134 | 86.20% ±28.5 | −0.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 134 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Amazon Fire TV 65" Omni Series 4K UHD smart TV other](https://gambatracker.com/items/amazon-fire-tv-65-omni-series-4k-uhd-smart-tv) | 1 in 200 | $910 | 8.4% | 0 | 0.7 | — | | [Amazon Fire TV 55" Omni QLED Series 4K UHD smart TV other](https://gambatracker.com/items/amazon-fire-tv-55-omni-qled-series-4k-uhd-smart-tv) | 1 in 200 | $720 | 6.7% | 1 | 0.7 | — | | [Amazon Echo Show 10 (3rd Gen) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/amazon-echo-show-10-3rd-gen) | 1 in 100 | $300 | 5.6% | 3 | 1.3 | 2.24× | | [Amazon Fire Max 11 tablet other](https://gambatracker.com/items/amazon-fire-max-11-tablet) | 1 in 100 | $280 | 5.2% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.49× | | [Amazon Fire HD 10 tablet other](https://gambatracker.com/items/amazon-fire-hd-10-tablet) | 1 in 100 | $195 | 3.6% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× | | [Amazon Echo Buds with Active Noise Cancellation other](https://gambatracker.com/items/amazon-echo-buds-with-active-noise-cancellation) | 1 in 50 | $189 | 7.0% | 4 | 2.7 | 1.49× | | [Ring Spotlight Cam Plus other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ring-spotlight-cam-plus) | 1 in 100 | $185 | 3.4% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.75× | | [Amazon Echo Show 8 (3rd Gen) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/amazon-echo-show-8-3rd-gen) | 1 in 100 | $180 | 3.3% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.75× | | [Amazon Fire HD 8 Plus tablet, 8” HD Display, 32 GB other](https://gambatracker.com/items/amazon-fire-hd-8-plus-tablet-8-hd-display-32-gb) | 1 in 50 | $159 | 5.9% | 1 | 2.7 | 0.37× | | [New Amazon Kindle (16 GB) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/new-amazon-kindle-16-gb) | 1 in 33 | $156 | 8.7% | 2 | 4.0 | 0.50× | | [Amazon Echo Show 5 (3rd Gen) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/amazon-echo-show-5-3rd-gen) | 1 in 33 | $145 | 8.1% | 5 | 4.0 | 1.24× | | [Amazon Fire TV Stick 4K Max other](https://gambatracker.com/items/amazon-fire-tv-stick-4k-max) | 1 in 20 | $89.00 | 8.2% | 4 | 6.7 | 0.60× | | [Amazon Fire 7 tablet other](https://gambatracker.com/items/amazon-fire-7-tablet) | 1 in 25 | $75.00 | 5.6% | 4 | 5.4 | 0.75× | | [Amazon Echo Auto (2nd Gen) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/amazon-echo-auto-2nd-gen) | 1 in 20 | $69.00 | 6.4% | 8 | 6.7 | 1.19× | | [Amazon Echo Dot (5th Gen) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/amazon-echo-dot-5th-gen) | 1 in 20 | $56.00 | 5.2% | 6 | 6.7 | 0.90× | | [Amazon Echo Pop other](https://gambatracker.com/items/amazon-echo-pop) | 1 in 20 | $44.00 | 4.1% | 10 | 6.7 | 1.49× | | [Amazon.com Gift Card in a Mini Envelope - $20 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/amazon-com-gift-card-in-a-mini-envelope-20) | 10.0% | $20.00 | 3.7% | 21 | 13.4 | 1.57× | | [Unactivated $500 Amazon Giftcard other](https://gambatracker.com/items/unactivated-500-amazon-giftcard) | 50.0% | $1.00 | 0.9% | 61 | 67.0 | 0.91× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Amazon Fire TV 55" Omni QLED Series 4K UHD smart TV other](https://gambatracker.com/items/amazon-fire-tv-55-omni-qled-series-4k-uhd-smart-tv) Hidden $60.27 $720 11.95x 2026-11-06 00:40 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=amazon) [Amazon Echo Buds with Active Noise Cancellation other](https://gambatracker.com/items/amazon-echo-buds-with-active-noise-cancellation) Hidden $60.27 $189 3.14x 2026-11-10 06:21 UTC [Unactivated $500 Amazon Giftcard other](https://gambatracker.com/items/unactivated-500-amazon-giftcard) Hidden $60.27 $1.00 0.02x 2026-11-10 06:21 UTC [Unactivated $500 Amazon Giftcard other](https://gambatracker.com/items/unactivated-500-amazon-giftcard) Hidden $60.27 $1.00 0.02x 2026-11-10 06:21 UTC [Unactivated $500 Amazon Giftcard other](https://gambatracker.com/items/unactivated-500-amazon-giftcard) Hidden $60.27 $1.00 0.02x 2026-11-10 06:21 UTC [Unactivated $500 Amazon Giftcard other](https://gambatracker.com/items/unactivated-500-amazon-giftcard) Hidden $60.27 $1.00 0.02x 2026-11-10 06:21 UTC [Amazon.com Gift Card in a Mini Envelope - $20 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/amazon-com-gift-card-in-a-mini-envelope-20) [Nie](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Nie) $60.27 $20.00 0.33x 2026-11-10 06:21 UTC [Unactivated $500 Amazon Giftcard other](https://gambatracker.com/items/unactivated-500-amazon-giftcard) Hidden $60.27 $1.00 0.02x 2026-11-08 03:45 UTC [Unactivated $500 Amazon Giftcard other](https://gambatracker.com/items/unactivated-500-amazon-giftcard) Hidden $60.27 $1.00 0.02x 2026-11-08 03:45 UTC [Amazon Echo Pop other](https://gambatracker.com/items/amazon-echo-pop) Hidden $60.27 $44.00 0.73x 2026-11-08 03:45 UTC [Unactivated $500 Amazon Giftcard other](https://gambatracker.com/items/unactivated-500-amazon-giftcard) [wolk08](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/wolk08) $60.27 $1.00 0.02x 2026-11-08 03:45 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $60.27 | 89.50% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $720 (11.95x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt